The Cook Political Report is moving the Ohio Governor's race from Toss Up to Lean Democrat. Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
The Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report
@cookpolitical.com
Non-partisan analysis featuring the trusted voices of Amy Walter, David Wasserman, Carrie Dann, Jessica Taylor, and Erin Covey. The right analysis for getting it right. Learn more: cookpolitical.com/subscribe
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Read about our latest House race rating changes here:
Today, The Cook Political Report is moving 19 more House races, all in Democrats' direction. Six districts are moving from the Toss Up column to Lean Democrat. Two more open seats are moving from Lean Republican to Toss Up. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Despite being outspent by millions in TV advertising, Democratic Senate candidates narrowly lead their GOP opponents in three red states critical to control of the U.S. Senate: Iowa, Texas and Ohio.
View the Senate Battleground District Project October 2026 Toplines here:
Read more on the latest installment of our Battleground Project poll, a collaboration with Democratic firm New River Strategies and Republican firm GS Strategy Group.
Today, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races. Two shifts are in Democrats’ direction. One shift is toward Republicans. Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/sen...
Today, The Cook Political Report moves eleven more House races towards Democrats. Half of our latest changes are in Ohio, Nebraska and Kansas — three states that, for the same reasons, also have competitive Senate races. Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:
Republican advertisers have outspent Democrats by nearly $300M across the eight Senate races we currently rate as Toss Up or Lean. Learn more about each competitive Senate race from @adimpactmirror.bsky.social's new report: adimpact.com/fight-for-co...
In 2024, a diverse coalition of voters backed Donald Trump, united by the belief that he was the right candidate to repair the ailing economy. Two years later, that same coalition has splintered.
"This is the election Democrats fantasized about. This is the election Republicans had nightmares about." Read Charlie Cook's latest column:
The difference between a bad loss and a catastrophic one for Republicans this fall now depends almost entirely on their ability to get their disaffected voters in traditionally red states and districts to the polls.
This week, The Cook Political Report moved 18 House races, all in Democrats' direction. With these new moves, we’re also adjusting our range: the most likely outcome is now that Democrats will pick up nine to 19 seats. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:
👉 NEW Editors Roundtable with @erincovey.bsky.social and Carrie Dann. They walk through our new round of House race rating changes and give an update on our latest range of how many possible seats Democrats could pick up.
🎧 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/d... 🎧 Listen and watch on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/dems-prosp...
Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest story and see our latest race rating changes.
Today, The Cook Political Report is moving 18 House races, all in Democrats' direction. With these new moves, we’re also adjusting our range: the most likely outcome is now that Democrats will pick up nine to 19 seats. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:
"With just under a month until Election Day, the political environment is as brutal for Republicans as any I’ve seen in at least 20 years." Read Amy Walter's latest column:
View the full table as well as past CPR Race Ratings here: www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/sena...
Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social and read about our three race rating changes.
With less than a month until the midterm election, we are starting to see a certain clarity in the Senate races. Read Charlie Cook's latest column:
Today, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races, all towards Democrats. • Kansas from Lean R -> Toss Up • North Carolina from Lean D -> Likely D • New Hampshire from Toss Up -> Lean D Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's full analysis:
As gas prices climb and consumer confidence plummets, Republican candidates for Congress are struggling to prove to voters that they feel their economic pain.
Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
Today, The Cook Political Report is moving the races for governor in Texas and Florida from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
🎧 How many seats will Democrats pick up? For our latest Editors Roundtable: here's @jessicataylor.bsky.social and @erincovey.bsky.social on our thinking for the House and Senate five weeks out.
👏 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h... 👏 Listen and watch on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/how-many-s...
As both parties scramble to identify any small advantage they can leverage to motivate voters before the midterm elections, one issue that barely registered a few years ago looms larger with each passing week: data centers.
🎧 How many seats will Democrats pick up? For our latest Editors Roundtable: here's @erincovey.bsky.social and @jessicataylor.bsky.social on our thinking for the House and Senate five weeks out.
👏 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h... 👏 Listen and watch on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/how-many-s...
NEW Odd Years pod: Amy talks with @c-span.bsky.social's Sam Feist about their new project covering downballot candidates and the role of C-SPAN at a time of changing consumer habits and media upheaval.
🎧 Listen wherever you get your podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t... 📺 Watch on YouTube: youtube.com/@thecookpoli...
Read the full outlook from @erincovey.bsky.social here:
The Cook Political Report is moving 15 House races, all in Democrats' direction, as the worsening political environment for Republicans has made the GOP's chances of keeping control of the chamber almost impossible. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's overview here:
Of all the electoral subgroups to watch with less than 40 days until November 3, one matters more than any other: the voters who disapprove of President Trump's job performance but aren't yet sold on voting for a Democrat. Read @redistrict.bsky.social's latest:
Our current outlook for the Senate predicts Democrats could net between one and five Senate seats come Election Day. But where could those gains come from among our Toss Up column? Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social for a quick recap of each contest.
With just under six weeks until Election Day, the Cook Political Report released our range of possible Senate outcomes. Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/sen...
NEW Senate outlook from the Cook Political Report: our current range of possible outcomes we see is Democrats netting between one and five seats; they must net four to win back control. Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
We are also moving three Senate races in the direction of Democrats: ->Georgia: Lean D to Likely D -> Kansas: Likely R to Lean R -> South Carolina: Solid R to Likely R