The Cook Political Report

The Cook Political Report

@cookpolitical.com

Non-partisan analysis featuring the trusted voices of Amy Walter, David Wasserman, Carrie Dann, Jessica Taylor, and Erin Covey. The right analysis for getting it right. Learn more: cookpolitical.com/subscribe

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Today, we moved another 19 House races in Democrats’ direction. Following this latest round of ratings changes, Democrats now are favored outright in the 218 seats they need to win control of the House.

Democratic Senate candidates narrowly lead their GOP opponents in three red states critical to control of the U.S. Senate: Ohio, Texas and Iowa. The Democratic candidates for governor lead in two out of three of these states.

Today, The Cook Political Report moves eleven more House races towards Democrats. Half of our latest changes are in Ohio, Nebraska and Kansas — three states that, for the same reasons, also have competitive Senate races. Read this from @erincovey.bsky.social:

cookpolitical.comEleven More House Races Shift Toward DemocratsRepublicans’ troubles this cycle are particularly pronounced in Midwestern red states, where voters are frustrated by both the federal and state governments’ handling of economic issues. Half of our l...

Today, the Cook Political Report is moving four governors' races, all in Democrats' direction. • Alaska: Toss Up to Lean Democrat • Oklahoma, Nebraska and Vermont: Solid Republican to Likely Republican

The difference between a bad loss and a catastrophic one for Republicans this fall now depends almost entirely on their ability to get their disaffected voters in traditionally red states and districts to the polls.

cookpolitical.comHere’s the Difference Between a Bad Election Night for the GOP and a Catastrophic OneWith just under a month until Election Day, the political environment is as brutal for Republicans as any I’ve seen in at least 20 years.

This week, The Cook Political Report moved 18 House races, all in Democrats' direction. With these new moves, we’re also adjusting our range: the most likely outcome is now that Democrats will pick up nine to 19 seats. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

cookpolitical.comEighteen More House Race Ratings Move in Democrats’ FavorIn the final weeks of the election, Republicans have hoped that a massive ad campaign effort could dent Democratic candidates' images and shore up Republicans struggling to free themselves of the anch...

The Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up nine to 19 seats. That would give them 224 seats on the lower end and 234 on the upper end.

Today, The Cook Political Report is moving 18 House races, all in Democrats' direction. With these new moves, we’re also adjusting our range: the most likely outcome is now that Democrats will pick up nine to 19 seats. Read more from @erincovey.bsky.social:

cookpolitical.comEighteen More House Race Ratings Move in Democrats’ FavorIn the final weeks of the election, Republicans have hoped that a massive ad campaign effort could dent Democratic candidates' images and shore up Republicans struggling to free themselves of the anch...

👉 NEW Editors Roundtable pod! AI data centers were not on our bingo card at the start of the year. But just a few weeks out from Election Day, voters have very strong feelings on this topic.

We have moved these two governors races from Likely Republican to Lean Republican: • Texas: Gina Hinojosa (D) vs. Greg Abbott (R) • Florida: David Jolly (D) vs. Byron Donalds (R)

The Cook Political Report is moving 15 House races, all in Democrats' direction, as the worsening political environment for Republicans has made the GOP's chances of keeping control of the chamber almost impossible. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's overview here:

cookpolitical.comGOP on Track to Lose House Majority as 15 Race Ratings Shift Towards DemsDespite a push for mid-decade redistricting, a massive reserve of cash, and an unpopular opposition party, Republicans are on track to lose their House majority this November.Unlike in 2018, the last ...