David Fickling

David Fickling

@davidfickling.bsky.social

Climate columnist at @opinion.bloomberg.com. Migrant from London to Warrane/Sydney. These are my views. If you don't like them, well, I have others.

10.7K followers689 following870 posts

Bali has been facing a near breakdown in its transport system as fuel shortages lead to hours of queues at petrol stations. The government’s chaotic policy on support for battery motorbikes, and its economy-breaking subsidies for petrol, are to blame: www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

bloomberg.comBali’s Tourist Paradise Is Stuck in a Gasoline QueueIf you’re hoping a trip to Bali might give you a relaxing taste of paradise amid the turmoil of 2026, you might want to think again. Ripples from the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz are lapping Indon...

Hoisted from the comments, a more detailed explanation of why EV bike sales have been failing to take off: bsky.app/profile/davi...

David Fickling@davidfickling.bsky.social

It’s mainly just terrible policymaking rather than deliberate obstruction, I think. Byzantine requirements to qualify for e-scooter subsidies to ensure the problem never costs more than $170m (in reality it is unlikely to reach even $17m rupiah), whereas $17bn fuel subsidies are unconstrained

Imagine if the CEOs of Accenture or SAP spent all their time musing about building secret moon bases and nuking Earth from space, or whatever.

Jenny Cohn@jennycohn.bsky.social

“‘There are basically two ways to know you have a future,’” Palantir CEO Alex Karp said. ‘One, you have some vocational training. Or two, you’re neurodivergent.’” 3/25/26 share.google/BSpEdevJ0wx9...

The whole thread is worth reading and makes much more serious points about cultish aspects of SF AI, but this one made me LOL

Faine Greenwood@faineg.com

Imagine if, instead of regulating drones (which we did!), we instead decided to let drone companies self-regulate, and ALSO dedicated tons of money and time to "problems" like "what if, in 1000 years, hyper-intelligent dogs learn to fly drones into mailmen." This is what we are doing with AI.

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Maybe the CPC are naive or insouciant, but I think we should take seriously the possibility that it’s actually the EA/AI/SV rationalist sex cult people who have got out over their skis and are getting distracted by bad sci-fi rather than just regulating the industry they run.

To reiterate before people get mad: to reflect on this, you don’t need to believe the CPC is good or even not-evil. You just need to believe it is a. Paranoid about threats to its power b. Aware of Chinese AI and c. Not completely stupid. I think it’s pretty easy to believe that! Hard not to, TBH.

The whole thread is worth reading and makes much more serious points about cultish aspects of SF AI, but this one made me LOL

Faine Greenwood@faineg.com

Imagine if, instead of regulating drones (which we did!), we instead decided to let drone companies self-regulate, and ALSO dedicated tons of money and time to "problems" like "what if, in 1000 years, hyper-intelligent dogs learn to fly drones into mailmen." This is what we are doing with AI.

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It should be pause for thought that the Communist Party of China, one of the world’s most paranoid organizations about threats to its power, doesn’t appear to be having a SV-style millennarian/apocalyptic freakout *despite* overseeing lots of frontier AI development.

To continue the @faineg.com dog metaphor, this is to me a bit of a dog-that-didn’t-bark moment. Why is this incredibly-paranoid-about-control organization not worried about losing *mere political control to AI*, the way SV culture is paranoid about losing control of the entire future of humanity?

The whole thread is worth reading and makes much more serious points about cultish aspects of SF AI, but this one made me LOL

Faine Greenwood@faineg.com

Imagine if, instead of regulating drones (which we did!), we instead decided to let drone companies self-regulate, and ALSO dedicated tons of money and time to "problems" like "what if, in 1000 years, hyper-intelligent dogs learn to fly drones into mailmen." This is what we are doing with AI.

It’s darkly funny that data center bros are all installing gigawatts of diesel generators because batteries are girly and foreign, just at the moment the entire global diesel production system is breaking apart.

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This is the bit where a data center dude breaks in with the killer riposte that they will just spark to a few gigawatts of fusion generators if the engineering and economics of diesel proves too challenging…

It’s darkly funny that data center bros are all installing gigawatts of diesel generators because batteries are girly and foreign, just at the moment the entire global diesel production system is breaking apart.

David Fickling reposted

I wrote this quickly at a bus stop and didn't realize it would go viral, or else I would have worded it better. But the point is that the media is too credulous about AI killing everyone in 10 years (how?) when climate change is killing people now and will only get worse (we know exactly how).

David Ho@davidho.bsky.social

I resigned from ExxonMobil today. I spent the last three years doing fossil fuel extraction research at both BP and ExxonMobil. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing to maximize extraction while the window to act closes, and gambling with our lives. More below.

A thing that people need to reckon with when they theorize that AI swarms could brute-force engineer superviruses is that *this is what viruses do anyway*. There have likely been roughly a sextillion — a billion trillion — Covid virions generated since 2019.

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Just to underline this point a bit, because “one sextillion” just sounds like “a bit bigger than a billion”: A sextillion is a larger number, by more than an order of magnitude, than the number of grains of sand on our planet. Carbon is already waaaay ahead of silicon on this measure.

A thing that people need to reckon with when they theorize that AI swarms could brute-force engineer superviruses is that *this is what viruses do anyway*. There have likely been roughly a sextillion — a billion trillion — Covid virions generated since 2019.

That is a billion trillion goes at coming up with a recipe to overwhelm our immune systems. And it required no GPUs, server racks, ACs or power grids, just the biochemical machinery of our own cells. And (though it is slightly silly to frame it this way) the virus lost.

When you have a viral infection, pretty much any viral infection, you have more virions in your body than there are people on the planet. Many of them evolving novel mutations. To believe the “AI supervirus” thing you have to drastically underestimate how good viruses are at what they do.

I would find a lot of the apocalyptic warnings about AI a lot more convincing if the industry wasn’t steeped in an effective altruism, a movement that repeatedly spawns cultic offshoots

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But “AGI will kill us all” from people who got freaked out about Roko’s basilisk is about as convincing to me as a Squeaky Fromme warning about hidden messages in Beatles lyrics.

I would find a lot of the apocalyptic warnings about AI a lot more convincing if the industry wasn’t steeped in an effective altruism, a movement that repeatedly spawns cultic offshoots

Casual users of AI like Richard Dawkins and Boy George keep losing their marbles in public because of their engagement with it. Elon Musk is one of its leading figures and has spent years melting down into White Supremacist madness in the most visible way possible.

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We have a dish invented in 18th century England, using French and Italian ingredients, turned into a packaged food by Americans, flavoured via a Japanese interpretation of Anglo-Indian cuisine, sold in an Australian supermarket by a company founded by a Chinese-Vietnamese refugee.

Anecdotal impression, but IMO the most implacably anti-EV group of people you will ever meet are middle management in legacy carmakers whose C-suite is all-in on the energy transition.

David Fickling@davidfickling.bsky.social

As China and the world pivots to EVs, the Chinese arms of European carmakers have actually been cutting their production of EVs, quite radically. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

If you think about it, it’s an important and under-discussed dynamic. The people responsible for the nuts and bolts of steering this vital and wrenching change often believe in their bones that it is all nonsense, and want to make it go away. They want to prove their would-be customers wrong!

Drivers just want something that handles nicely, fits the kids and shopping, and doesn’t break the bank. But people who have spent 30 years climbing through the hierarchy of an engine-based business have philosophical and emotional attachments to the technology they have spent their careers with.

“That’s one of those irregular verbs, isn’t it? *I* restore orderly functioning in FX markets, *you* are manipulating your currency, *China* is using predatory mercantilism to deindustrialize the planet”