Dan Björkegren

Dan Björkegren

@dbjork.bsky.social

AI for developing economies. Faculty at Columbia. dan.bjorkegren.com

1.2K followers212 following40 posts

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I did make all my students build demos—and they were great. I was impressed by how even nontechnical students made use of AI tools to build creative projects. The accompanying blog post shares a few! We were also grateful for a visit from @sebk.bsky.social

Ultimately, our future won’t be figured out only in AI labs. It will require tinkerers, entrepreneurs, and policymakers who can see a bit ahead. We need the next generation to think deeply about how to make the future good. I'm excited to see what my students build.

AI makes traditional policy school assignments trivial, so I make students agree what to create. This year, technical students suggested software demos. Opposed: all who had never coded. That debate helped us understand how people feel when a new technology upends their lives.

We think through how abundant intelligence might affect jobs, markets, and governance. There’s not much hard data—so we also use theory and thought experiments. Many of our laws and institutions were designed for human intelligence. We consider how they might be rethought for AI.

AI labs are releasing great data on how AI is affecting the jobs of knowledge workers. But we have almost no data on how it's reaching the world's poorest. New post: statistics the labs could release next week, and what we'd learn. dan.bjorkegren.com/blog/2026/04...

dan.bjorkegren.com(How) do the poorest use AI?Frontier AI labs have begun publishing remarkably detailed reports on how their products are used. Reports from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Microsoft have documented not only overall usage, but also ins…

Do markets believe that AI will transform the economy? Interest rates offer a clue. New working paper: I find that long-term bond yields appear to shift in opposite directions after releases of open vs. closed AI models. (1/3)

Isaiah Andrews and Maryam Farboodi documented the yield decline around mostly proprietary AI model releases in a thought provoking paper. Following closely, I find evidence that markets react differently to open weight model releases–possibly in the opposite direction. (2/3)

What could it mean? Perhaps open-weight AI models: - Shift who benefits - Induce different investments - Are more likely to lead to extreme outcomes - Or something else I’m trying to make sense of it, so thoughts are very welcome! Paper here: arxiv.org/abs/2512.14969 (3/3)

arxiv.orgMarket Beliefs about Open vs. Closed AIMarket expectations about AI's economic impact may influence interest rates. Previous work has shown that US bond yields decline around the release of a sample of mostly proprietary AI models (Andrews...

Dan Björkegren reposted

It's hard to plan for AGI without knowing what outcomes are even possible, let alone good. So we’re hosting a workshop! Post-AGI Civilizational Equilibria: Are there any good ones? Vancouver, July 14th www.post-agi.org Featuring: Joe Carlsmith, @richardngo.bsky.social‬, Emmett Shear ... 🧵

post-agi.orgPost-AGI Civilizational Equilibria Workshop | Vancouver 2025Are there any good ones? Join us in Vancouver on July 14th, 2025 to explore stable equilibria and human agency in a post-AGI world. Co-located with ICML.

Dan Björkegren reposted

🚨The Agentic Economy🚨 new paper w/ 9 co-authors: what happens to economy with expanded agent use for both consumers & businesses? The architecture of agentic communication will determine extent to which generative AI democratizes (or restricts) access to economic opportunity arxiv.org/abs/2505.15799

Dan Björkegren reposted

This is alarming. The US president is personally stating plans to remove people he personally deems to be "home-grown terrorists" to indefinite imprisonment overseas The same prison where he claims authority to send *anyone*, in secret and without criminal charges or opportunity for appeal

Danielle Kurtzleben@titonka.bsky.social

Before press came in — but while live feed was running on Bukele’s feed — Trump said to him: “home-growns are next. … You’re gonna need to build about 5 more places.” x.com/nayibbukele/...

Dan Björkegren reposted

Very important research. AI is better & cheaper for communities that don't yet use the web –– meaning it can unlock exponential gains for entire countries.

Dan Björkegren@dbjork.bsky.social

New working paper: Could AI leapfrog the web? Only 37% of sub-Saharan Africans use the internet. Cost is the #1 constraint. In a study with 469 teachers in Sierra Leone, we find AI works better than the web--and is 87% cheaper. arxiv.org/abs/2502.12397 Let's dive in... 🧵(1/X)

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Also, search results are low quality. Only 2% of results were from in-country. We asked teachers to rate responses, without telling them how the response was generated. Teachers rate AI responses as more helpful, relevant, and correct than web search results.

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85% of sub-Saharan Africans have mobile broadband signal, but few use the internet. Internet users use WhatsApp—but seldom web search (see plot). We study a GPT-based chatbot accessible through WhatsApp. Sierra Leonean teachers use AI more than web search (leapfrog!)

Dan Björkegren reposted

Applications are open for the Machine Learning in Economics Summer Institute (MLESI) 2025 are open! If you're a graduate student, come learn about ML/AI and its uses throughout economics. Apply by March 28. The application and more info can be found here: www.chicagobooth.edu/research/cen...

chicagobooth.eduMachine Learning in Economics Summer Institute 2025 (MLESI25)<span id="docs-internal-guid-53f97f20-7fff-b55c-c89c-4f85d663a48c" style="color: #39393a;"><span style="color: #000000;">MLESI<span id="docs-internal-guid-394e21c4-7fff-1437-16ff-fdbb1ce1d34c" style="...

New technologies allow--and may require--new ways of organizing society. How might education, economies, and governance be rethought for an AI era? That is the topic of my new course AI Institutions at Columbia SIPA.

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We'll be wrestling with the work of the future, who should train machines, and what values AI should encode. We'll explore whether decentralized minibus networks in Africa can tell us about planning cities for self driving cars, algorithms that bridge rather than divide, and ways to govern.

New technologies allow--and may require--new ways of organizing society. How might education, economies, and governance be rethought for an AI era? That is the topic of my new course AI Institutions at Columbia SIPA.

Much discussion about AI swings into hype or science fiction. It's easy to become unmoored. But most careful empirical studies tell us about marginal changes or the past. How can we understand the futures that are possible?

The challenge of understanding the impact of AI is grounding forecasts about possibly profound changes. We will base our discussions on first principles of the technology, theories of human behavior, and empirical evidence. We'll develop what Tirole has called 'social science fiction.'

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