Daniel Csillag

Daniel Csillag

@dccsillag.xyz

Applied mathematician working on machine learning, statistics and compilers. Currently doing research at FGV EMAp. dccsillag.xyz

890 followers378 following62 posts

I'll be presenting Strategic Conformal Prediction at AISTATS next week. Looking forward to chatting about all things uncertainty quantification!

Daniel Csillag@dccsillag.xyz

Happy to announce that our paper, ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป, is now accepted to AISTATS 2025! Is your uncertainty quantification robust to people trying to break it? Ours is :)

Happy to announce that our paper, ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป, is now accepted to AISTATS 2025! Is your uncertainty quantification robust to people trying to break it? Ours is :)

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In this paper we propose strategic conformal prediction, a simple extension of the standard conformal prediction methods which ensures that the uncertainty quantification is robust to strategic alterations.

Happy to announce that our paper, ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป, is now accepted to AISTATS 2025! Is your uncertainty quantification robust to people trying to break it? Ours is :)

Existing approaches to uncertainty quantification are great (especially conformal prediction!), but all break under strategic alterations -- i.e., when people try to alter the model's inputs in order to obtain particular undesirable outputs.

Daniel Csillag reposted

The 41st Conference on #Uncertainty in #AI will be held in Rio de Janeiro ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท, July 21-25! The CfP is out ๐Ÿ‘‰ www.auai.org/uai2025/call... ๐Ÿšจ Feb 10: Paper submission ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Apr 3-10: rebuttal period ๐ŸŽ‰/๐Ÿ’€ May 6: Author notification #UAI2025 #ML #stats #learning #reasoning #uncertainty

Daniel Csillag reposted

๐Ÿ“ข Outstanding PhD student wanted! ๐Ÿค“ The successful candidate will be based at The University of Manchester Dept. of CS โœจ to work on learning theory and methods for novel types of distributional shifts, co-supervised with @samikaski.bsky.social โณ DL 31.Jan.2025. www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

findaphd.comLearning theory and methods for novel types of distributional shifts. at The University of Manchester on FindAPhD.comPhD Project - Learning theory and methods for novel types of distributional shifts. at The University of Manchester, listed on FindAPhD.com

@johndcook.bsky.social I just read your recent 'Categorical Data Analysis' post www.johndcook.com/blog/2018/04.... As a ML&stats person who tried to incorporate category theory in my work, I'd say the problem is that it just doesn't look like CT adds much. Whenever I try to incorporate it, ..

johndcook.comCategorical Data AnalysisCategorical data analysis could mean a couple different things. One is analyzing data that falls into unordered categories (e.g. red, green, and blue) rather than numerical values (e.g. height in cent...

.. I'm left with a lingering feeling of 'but why do all this work, for something so menial?'. Would *love* to see a case where this is is not true, though. Thoughts?

Daniel Csillag reposted

Many think Rust is primarily about memory safety, but the real reason to use Rust is developer productivity (for C++-like system programming) from having a sane package manager and type system.

Daniel Csillag reposted

For those who donโ€™t know yet, I am organising an online talk series together with Arno Solin on โ€œAdvances in Probabilistic Machine Learning (APML)โ€. Itโ€™s free for everyone to join and support early career researchers! You can register and check out the schedule here: aaltoml.github.io/apml/

aaltoml.github.ioSeminar on Advances in Probabilistic Machine LearningThis seminar series aims to provide a platform for young researchers (PhD student or post-doc level) to give invited talks about their research, intending to have a diverse set of talks & speakers on ...

Anthropic published a paper telling people to use confidence intervals for evals. I now await for their next paper, which will explain multiple comparisons to the LLM people

NeurIPS registrations following a *randomized lottery* is absurd to me. Especially once you consider all the logistics involved with attendance (e.g., flights, stay, etc.)

Daniel Csillag reposted

Ran my text through ChatGPT arguing why oversampling usually doesnโ€™t make sense, and it flipped my argument to support oversampling instead. A reminder that AI often defaults to consensusโ€”even when it's wrong. Always double-check! #AI #MachineLearning #Statistics

Like, the fact that it's Python doesn't even bother it. Of all the progress bar libs I've ever used, it has the lowest overhead by far, is the most versatile, and is just a joy to use

Useful fact: you can bound the gap between any two probability distributions using f-divergences. A rather nice case is with the Pearson chi-squared f-divergence.

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