Luc Turgeon

Luc Turgeon

@lturgeon.bsky.social

Professeur de science politique/Professor of Political Science. Ottawa.

1.7K followers555 following733 posts

Allan Hubley might lose the election in Kanata South (after being the councillor since 2010) and things are tight in Rideau-Vanier, but otherwise, I expect almost all incumbent to be re-elected at City Hall. Pretty depressing in my opinion considering the state of the city.

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Sutcliffe's share of the vote is currently lower than when he was first elected in 2022 (it could change, obviously). Jim Waton, his predecessor, on the other hand, saw his support continuously increase after his first mandate. By these standard, Sutcliffe is not an especially popular mayor.

* Actually, Watson did lose some support after his second mandate, but from 76% of the vote to 71%. He was still very popular at the beginning of his third mandate (before it all started going down and decided not to run again).

Allan Hubley might lose the election in Kanata South (after being the councillor since 2010) and things are tight in Rideau-Vanier, but otherwise, I expect almost all incumbent to be re-elected at City Hall. Pretty depressing in my opinion considering the state of the city.

Matt Luloff will likely be relected because of the division of the votes amongst candidates. Sean Devine will be re-elected despite the fact that two of his colleagues at City hall campaigned against him in his own ward (awkward!). I expect a more acrimonious/dysfunctional council the next 4 years.

Luc Turgeon reposted

“These are the people who have us maple syrup” — Obama mocks Trump picking a fight with Canada

As a citizen, I hope Jeff Leiper wins the mayoral election. However, I have doubts the results will be as close as this morning’s poll suggests. But what a disappointing campaign. Vague and abstract commitments. A bad social media strategy (very few videos, for example).

Et comme francophone, je suis frustré par le fait que l’utilisation du francais n’est pas systématique. Son compte Facebook est d’ailleurs presque exclusivement en anglais. Les communications de Sutcliffe sont elles toujours dans les deux langues. Décevant.

A reminder that, contrary to what we often read or hear, Quebec is currently (and has been for a while) the province that is the most supportive of immigration in Canada (or the least anti-immigration).

Fine. No property tax. Put a tollbooth at the end of their driveway so that they pay to use the road every time they want to leave their house. Unplug their property from the sewer and water systems, or make them pay for every gallon of water they use.

Politico@politico.com

“I’m old. I’ve paid my home off,” said Ray Warner, a 72-year-old Akron resident. “Why would I pay property tax?” Across the country, homeowners are asking the same question and revolting against property taxes at a scale not seen in a half century.

🙄 Pre-emptive post in case of flooding today by a mayor who has pursued a long city of Ottawa tradition of artificially low tax increases and under-investment in infrastructure.

mark-sutcliffe.bsky.social@mark-sutcliffe.bsky.social

Recent floods and extreme weather events have shown why we need to keep strengthening our infrastructure. I’ll prioritize investments in flood-prone communities and move fast to make sure Ottawa is ready and resilient against future extreme weather. See my full plan: marksutcliffe.ca/priorities/e...

Je viens d'une famille souverainiste qui connaissait et appéciait même le reste du Canada (et oui, c'est possible). Gilles Duceppe a déjà d'ailleurs dit quelque chose de semblable. Et puis il y a Bock-Côté qui ne peut s'empêcher, fréquemment, d'écrire des trucs méprisant sur le ROC comme ce matin.

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MBC dirait-il aux Écossais qu'ils ont la même culture ou qu'ils n'ont pas d'identité nationale propre parce qu'il parle la même langue que les Anglais? Que les Wallons ne sont que des Français?

Outre le fait qu'il y a plusieurs ressorts de l'identité nationale, la culture canadienne (anglaise) est fortement liée à la litérature, à l'art visuelle, et même à la chanson. Il est vrai qu'elle ne passe pas autant par la télévision qu'au Québec. Ça ne fait pas d'elle une simple copie américaine.

Je viens d'une famille souverainiste qui connaissait et appéciait même le reste du Canada (et oui, c'est possible). Gilles Duceppe a déjà d'ailleurs dit quelque chose de semblable. Et puis il y a Bock-Côté qui ne peut s'empêcher, fréquemment, d'écrire des trucs méprisant sur le ROC comme ce matin.

MBC ce matin: "Eux qui n’ont pas vraiment d’identité propre et qui ne sont qu’une banlieue enneigée en endormie de l’empire américain, même s’ils sont dans le déni le plus total.." Ça démontre à la fois une connaissance limitée du ROC et de ce qu'est l'identité nationale.

Et également quelques commentaire de votre autre humble serviteur.

Martin Pâquet@martinpaquet.bsky.social

Pour son 50e anniversaire, L'Actualité propose un article de Marie-Hélène Proulx sur l'effilochage du tissu social au Québec. Votre humble serviteur contribue à la réflexion en offrant son analyse historique sur le sujet. #Québec #société #histoire lactualite.com/societe/le-q...

I took the bus for most of the 15 years I've been living in Ottawa. It's always been fairly bad and hence why I was involved in transit advocacy in the early 2010. Two years ago I decided I couldn't take it anymore and started to drive to work (which is only a 10 minutes drive).

Shannon Proudfoot@sproudfoot.bsky.social

Transit in Ottawa is broken. Four times in the last two weeks a bus has blown by my stop, busy but not packed, and you wait 10-15 minutes for the next and hope it’s not too overloaded to stop. No one cares. You can complain to OC Transpo but you might as well write a message in a bottle.

I'm not proud of it, but I just gave up. I just lost hope things would get better. The city is structurally built (politically and geographically) in a way that is just not conducive to improving transit. And citizens favour politicians promoting tax freeze.

Il y a de bons chroniqueurs politiques au Québec. Paul Journet en est un bon exemple. Ses chroniques sont toujours bien documentées et amènent souvent un éclairage unique. Mais comme politologue, il y a des trucs que l'on entend à la télévision ou lit dans certains journaux qui m'horripilent.

C'est particulièrement le cas de cette idée selon lequel les Québécois auraient "choisi" de donner un mandat minoritaire ou limité au Parti Québécois. C'est tellement ridicule comme idée. Personne ne vote consciemment pour un gouvernement majoritaire ou minoritaire.

C'est le fruit de millions de décisions individuelles dans 127 circonscriptions et du système électoral en place, pas d'un effort collectif de coordination.

"In the last six months, Carney scheduled 10 trips to Alberta, he was in B.C. — now in the throes of an election — seven times, including on Quebec’s national day. He made eight visits to Quebec, the last one on Aug. 24." I mean, who can blame him. It's a long way from Ottawa to Quebec.

thestar.comAlthia Raj: Quebec’s election results mean Mark Carney must finally address the provinceMonday’s election results in Quebec delivered a Parti Québécois minority government that will prove thorny to handle, but the prime minister escaped the worst-case scenario, a sovereigntist premier wi...

Parti Québécois à l’élection soi-disant catastrophique de 2008 qui a mené au virage identitaire: 28,35% des votes. Parti Québécois à l’élection de 2026: 28,02% (à 8h41).

I have mixed feelings about this and I'm curious to see what other colleagues think. On the one hand, I'm very happy that the challenges faced by first-generation scholars is being ackowledged. On the other hand, I'm afraid the definition is too broad based on my own personal experience.

APSA@apsa.bsky.social

This week is your chance to support #firstgeneration political scientists! Make a contribution to the #APSAAnnualFund thru October 4! Your gift will directly support travel grants for scholars and will be matched up to $6K. Learn more and donate here: buff.ly/AtaWAfW #polisky

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And perhaps there is also a difference here between Canada and the US in terms of the proportion of professors that have parents with graduate degrees.

I have mixed feelings about this and I'm curious to see what other colleagues think. On the one hand, I'm very happy that the challenges faced by first-generation scholars is being ackowledged. On the other hand, I'm afraid the definition is too broad based on my own personal experience.

APSA@apsa.bsky.social

This week is your chance to support #firstgeneration political scientists! Make a contribution to the #APSAAnnualFund thru October 4! Your gift will directly support travel grants for scholars and will be matched up to $6K. Learn more and donate here: buff.ly/AtaWAfW #polisky

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While my parents did not always understand the nature of grad school, they were able to help me financially when it took me longer than expected to finish my PhD. So I'm not sure I would have been the person most in need of such financial help.

Anyhow, while I recognize that a lot of academics have academic parents and it's good that we are aware of this, it seems to me that there is a significant difference between someone like me and some of my colleagues who were the first one to attend university (but perhaps I'm wrong on this issue).

I have mixed feelings about this and I'm curious to see what other colleagues think. On the one hand, I'm very happy that the challenges faced by first-generation scholars is being ackowledged. On the other hand, I'm afraid the definition is too broad based on my own personal experience.

APSA@apsa.bsky.social

This week is your chance to support #firstgeneration political scientists! Make a contribution to the #APSAAnnualFund thru October 4! Your gift will directly support travel grants for scholars and will be matched up to $6K. Learn more and donate here: buff.ly/AtaWAfW #polisky

I was the second person in both my families to go to university after my dad (who grew up poor). According to the definition adopted, I am a first generation scholar because I was the first to go to grad school. But my dad was fairly succesful and I never lacked anything financially.

I promised my doctor to try to reduce my blood pressure, but some people make it hard, especially the current mayor and his “kick-the-cost-of-running-the-city-when-I’m-not-the-mayor-anymore” strategy. Has nothing to do with caring for Ottawa families and everything to do with political ambitions.

mark-sutcliffe.bsky.social@mark-sutcliffe.bsky.social

Ottawa families are managing their costs carefully. They deserve to know there’s someone working hard to keep their property taxes low. I’m the only mayoral candidate committing to a clear limit: 2% to 2.5% for the next two years.

Paul LePage est au sommet de ma liste de politiciens qui me répugne. Un politicien d'origine canadienne-française qui a adopté, vis-à-vis des communautés immigrantes au Maine, le même type de discours xénophobes qui visaient autrefois sa propre communauté.

J'avais besoin d'un break/I needed a break. Ma liste des meilleures séries TV des années 2000 via le New York Times. (heureux d'avoir eu le choix de séries québécoises!)

Frédéric Lacroix mentionne le “frériste Zohran Mandani” dans une publication Facebook ce matin à propos du maire progressiste de New York. C’est une affirmation complotiste que l’on trouve chez des extrémistes aux Etats-Unis. Ce n’est pas nouveau pour lui.

Ce qui choque, c’est que des commentateurs publics, des militants et des politiciens nationalistes continuent de relayer les propos ou les “analyses” de cet individu.

Need help. I'm trying to come up with a list of third rails of provincial politics. So far, I'm thinking something like this for these three provinces: Quebec: abolishing subsidies to private schools Ontario: abolishing the catholic school system Alberta: Sales tax. Suggestions for other provinces?