Ben M

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Best subscription I have ever made. This is the best election resource out there, and you can come join the bustling and informative Discord with me (and lots of smart election analysts)!

Another banger from @donnermaps.bsky.social: September polls of House races with named candidates suggested a D+11 environment. But does that actually mean anything for the midterms? The answer is yes.

This is quite something. Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar, who faces a competitive reelection battle in #FL27, posted a tweet critical of Trump's oil "deal" (her scare quotes) with Venezuela on Saturday. She then quickly deleted it and posted a new tweet calling it a "great deal."

We've got a fantastic announcement: The Downballot has just released a new version of our one-of-a-kind "hexmap," which shows every congressional district as the same size. @donnermaps.bsky.social has been hard at work updating it for all 10 states with new maps. Check it out here! 🧵

Folks, a *very* exciting announcement: The Downballot has just published updated 2024 presidential results by congressional district for every state with a new map this year! That's 10 states in all, covering a full one-third of the House. Please dive in!

NEW 🧵: Here's how Dems could redraw 9 congressional maps by 2028 & target more than 20 GOP seats. The GOP tried to rig the national map in 2026, & Dems had few ways to respond. But Dems could fully counteract them by 2028. We have example maps for each state www.the-downballot.com/p/how-democr...

Republicans have tried to meddle in nine Democratic* primaries this year. So far, though, they're 0-for-3. The remaining races are unresolved. See our complete list below. *One is a top-two primary, but it centers on two Dems.

New Mexico Republicans have made history, just not in a way anyone wants to: For the first time since the Land of Enchantment became a state in 1912, Republicans won’t field a candidate in a U.S. Senate race.

BREAKING: Democrats have flipped a conservative state House seat in Georgia in yet another upset. It's a 14-point overperformance *and* the 25th legislative flip of the year for Dems. Republicans? Zero. Read our complete writeup here -->

After racking up decisive wins across the country last week, how can Democrats keep up the momentum at the ballot box next year, when Congress will be on the line? An exclusive poll for The Downballot offers an answer.

We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this one—our guide to the top races of 2025. We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more! Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->

It's the most delicious time of the year: The Downballot's annual election prediction contest—aka the babka contest—is back! Enter to prove your prognostication prowess *and* for the chance to win amazing prizes from our sponsor, Green's Babka! Good luck, one and all!

There's been a lot of confusion about which states could redraw their House maps before the midterms, so we've put together a definitive guide to every state that could actually do so—16 in all. We explain the likelihood of new maps, probable targeted districts, and any obstacles to passage.

Electricity now costs 267% more (!!) for 1 month vs. what it cost 5 years ago near data center hotspots. Awesome reporting from Josh Saul @dinabass.bsky.social Leonardo Nicoletti @naurtorious.bsky.social Demetrios Pogkas (gift link) www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...

UNTIL IT'S DONE, Ep. 2 When the Brownsville Clinic opened in 1916, it was the first birth control center in America. Its very existence felt impossible. For young women, it was a lifeline. 109 years later, the Clinic is long closed—but Brownsville mothers are still struggling.

Somehow, we're already celebrating The Downballot's first anniversary today! It's been *quite* the year, and our fiercely loyal readers have made it all possible. We're also marking the occasion with a special 25% off sale! If you haven't upgraded yet, check out all the perks you'll unlock →→