doomsdaydebunks.bsky.social

shortdebunks.substack.comUK’s 3-day emergency kit is to reduce pressure on emergency departments in case of winds, fire, earthquake, flooding etc - example: major storm cut off thousands from electricity for several daysThe main things you might not have around the house anyway are three days supply of water and an electric torch - some might find powerbrick useful too

BLOG: UK’s 3-day emergency kit is to reduce pressure on emergency departments in case of winds, fire, earthquake, flooding etc — example: major storm cut off thousands from electricity for several days You can read it here: shortdebunks.substack.com/p/uk-recomme...

robertinventor.substack.comWe can NEVER get a pandemic from plague - easy to stop with antibiotics - endemic in Siberian marmot and ground squirrels - small outbreaks sometimes amongst people with close associations with themIt’s easy to stop the plague ever since we discovered the first antibiotics.

BLOG: We can NEVER get a pandemic from plague — easy to stop with antibiotics — endemic in Siberian marmot and ground squirrels — small outbreaks sometimes amongst people with close associations with them You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/no-we-can-...

robertinventor.substack.comWe can NEVER get a pandemic from plague - easy to stop with antibiotics - endemic in Siberian marmot and ground squirrels - small outbreaks sometimes amongst people with close associations with themEmoticon summary: 💊 Plague Pandemic Risk? 🚫 Easily stopped by antibiotics and has been endemic to wild Siberian rodents for millennia: 🌲☃️❄️🐹📜💊

Emoticon summary: 💊 Plague Pandemic Risk? 🚫 Easily stopped by antibiotics and has been endemic to wild Siberian rodents for millennia: 🌲☃️❄️🐹📜💊 There 🌲☃️❄️ is to symbolize Siberia 🐹for marmots 📜for millennia 💊for antibiotics robertinventor.substack.com/p/no-we-can-...

robertinventor.substack.comAmazon Forest safe in Brazil - at most 1% lost even if Bolsonaro reaches his father’s deforestation levels - Brazil race too close to call for Lula / Bolsonaro runoff- and Amazon protected by Brazil’s constitution - and Tropical Forests Forever Foundation likely established after COP31 well before new president term starts in January 2027

🇧🇷 Brazil Runoff Too Close to Call! 🌳 Amazon Forest Safe: <~1% lost at Bolsonaro]s Father's rate. 📜 Protected by Brazil’s constitution. 💰 Tropical Forests Forever Foundation likely established post-COP31 before Jan 2027 term. robertinventor.substack.com/p/amazon-saf...

BLOG: Amazon Forest Safe in Brazil – at Most 1% Lost at Bolsonaro's Father’s Deforestation – Brazil Runoff Too Close to Call — Amazon protected by Brazil’s constitution — Tropical Forests Forever Foundation likely established well before new president robertinventor.substack.com/p/amazon-saf...

robertinventor.substack.comYou are Safe from Chatbots - Need Time to Train - to Act Like Humans Committed to Non Harming, Truthfulness and Helping Others – As for: Monastic Vows or Asimov’s Laws of Robotic + to Secure Internet- experts rebut claims of death by hacking printed virus DNA (just one component of a virus) - or to take down the internet - and nukes can’t be fired by computer - designed to need humans in chain

MID EDIT: You are Safe from Chatbots - Need Time to Train - to Act Like Humans Committed to Non Harming, Truthfulness & Helping Others – As for: Monastic Vows or Asimov’s Laws of Robotic + to Secure Internet + experts rebut death by printed virus or hacks robertinventor.substack.com/p/you-are-sa...

I saved it mid edit because we get so many questions about it. Lots more to come.

robertinventor.substack.comAfD (populist far right populist): NO realistic prospect to govern Germany at Federal level - failed bid for local State government - except maybe to some extent in Saxony Anhalt (currently tied)- and very limited in what it can do at local level if it does get a chance to govern in Saxony Anhalt

20 Sept

BLOG: AfD (populist far right populist): NO realistic prospect to govern Germany at Federal level — failed bid for local State government — except maybe to some extent in Saxony Anhalt (currently tied) You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/afd-populi...

ddebunked.orgThe MoU for Iran / US is NOT ended - Motjaba supports the pragmatists - this is an incident caused by heightened emotions during the funeral of Al Khamenei - there will be sustained secret negotiation...No the MoU is NOT ended. This is a temporary thing as a result of tensions that got high during the funeral of the Ayatollah Khamenei who the Israelis assass...

8 July

The MoU for Iran / US is NOT ended - Motjaba supports the pragmatists - this is an incident caused by heightened emotions during the funeral of Al Khamenei - there will be sustained secret negotiations to get back on track ddebunked.org/d/4818-the-m...

shortdebunks.substack.comIgnore claimed Russian plan to attack Poland - implausible scenario - single unnamed Polish intelligence source - hare-brained scheme that is low risk for Russia - no risk of war - but wouldn't work- aim to stage helicopter crash then take over part of Poland under guise of recovery operation - to get Poland to negotiate for peaceful return of territory - Poland would just escort them out

5 July

BLOG: Ignore claimed Russian plan to attack Poland — hare-brained scheme that is low risk for Russia — no risk of war — but wouldn't work — aim to stage helicopter crash then take over part of — Poland would just escort them out You can read it here: shortdebunks.substack.com/p/ignore-cla...

robertinventor.substack.comAn El Nino is warm surface water moving around - deeper ocean gets cooler - a Super El Nino is just a strong El Nino - effects similar to a normal El Nino but more soCLOSED FOR COMMENTS when first posted, comment on ddebunked.org

21 June

An El Nino is warm surface water moving around — deeper ocean gets cooler — a Super El Nino is just a strong El Nino — effects similar to a normal El Nino but more so robertinventor.substack.com/p/an-el-nino...

robertinventor.substack.comIran / US Memorandum of Understanding agreed and ready to sign - but may take a few more days - confirmed by US, Iran and Pakistan - "Peace has never been this close as it is now."CLOSED FOR COMMENTS when first posted, comment on ddebunked.org

13 June

BLOG: Iran / US Memorandum of Understanding agreed and ready to sign — but may take a few more days — confirmed by US, Iran and Pakistan — "Peace has never been this close as it is now." You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/iran-us-me...

ddebunked.orgIran deal is now agreed - Strait of Hormuz open - and the official signing is on 19 June in Switzerland - also includes ceasefire in LebanonShehbaz Sharif PM of Pakistan: Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Re...

14 June

It has now been reached. Iran deal is now agreed - Strait of Hormuz open - and the official signing is on 19 June in Switzerland - also includes ceasefire in Lebanon - details: ddebunked.org/d/4466-iran-...

ddebunked.orgFinal text of the Iran agreement - looks as good as it would get after the Iran war - all parties already said they are okay with it and independent politicians like Mark Carney (Liberal leader of Can...We now have the final text of the agreement as read out by US officials to US journalists. It looks reasonable. I’ve added comments after most of the point...

17 June

Final text of the Iran agreement — looks as good as it would get after the Iran war — all parties already said they are okay with it and independent politicians like Mark Carney (Liberal leader of Canada) agree it is a good deal ddebunked.org/d/4511-final...

ddebunked.orgNATO is NOT being attacked - Romanian apartment was likely hit by a stray drone from the Ukraine war - likely response to beef up drone defences and investigate to find out why they missed itThe first important thing to realize if panicking is that this is NOT an attack on NATO. We can be confident about that as it makes no sense. It will just...

29 May

BLOG: NATO is NOT being attacked — Romanian apartment was likely hit by a stray drone from the Ukraine war — likely response to beef up drone defences and investigate to find out why they missed i You can read it here: ddebunked.org/d/4258-nato-...

robertinventor.substack.comEbola can't spread as a pandemic - wrong kind of disease - only three cases of spread to nurses outside of Africa - spreads in the Congo because of funeral customs, collapsed health care etc.- also covers what is being done to help with the outbreak - CLOSED FOR COMMENTS when first posted, comment on ddebunked.org

27 May

Ebola can't spread as a pandemic — wrong kind of disease — only three cases of spread to nurses outside of Africa — spreads in the Congo because of funeral customs, collapsed health care etc. — also covers what is being done to help with the outbreak See: robertinventor.substack.com/p/ebola-cant...

ddebunked.orgFirst Oreshnik already hit Kyiv and looks just like the others - no details in yet but previously the Odessa one had 2 injuries, only one needing hospital, Lviv had noneThe Oreshnik strike on Kyiv has now happened - very distinctive and just the same as the others in appearance. Unlikely to cause much damage and since the Uk...

23 May

Debunk: First Oreshnik already hit Kyiv and looks just like the others - no details in yet but previously the Odessa one had 2 injuries, only one needing hospital, Lviv had none ddebunked.org/d/4197-first...

ddebunked.orgFirst Oreshnik already hit Kyiv and looks just like the others - no details in yet but previously the Dnipro one had 2 injuries, only one needing hospital, Lviv had noneThe Oreshnik strike on Kyiv has now happened - very distinctive and just the same as the others in appearance. Unlikely to cause much damage and since the Uk...

25 May

(typo 1st one was Dnipro - and a few updates) Debunk: First Oreshnik already hit Kyiv and looks just like the others - no details in yet but previously the Dnipro one had 2 injuries, only one needing hospital, Lviv had none ddebunked.org/d/4197-first...

ddebunked.orgYou can continue to use Google exactly as before - its upcoming changes will only add new options if you clickYou can continue to use Google exactly as you did before with this new update. You won’t see any changes unless you click “show more” on the AI generated sea...

20 May

Debunk: You can continue to use Google exactly as before - its upcoming changes will only add new options if you click "Show more" on the AI generated search snippet ddebunked.org/d/4134-you-c...

shortdebunks.substack.comA mathematician's joke from 1960: the human population can't grow to infinity by Nov 13, 2026 - or ever - the humorous impossible prediction of Heinz Von FoesterThis is a joke from 1960 by Heinz Von Foester.

18 May

BLOG: A mathematician's joke from 1960: the human population can't grow to infinity by Nov 13, 2026 — or ever — the humorous impossible prediction of Heinz Von Foester You can read it here: shortdebunks.substack.com/p/a-mathemat...

robertinventor.substack.comTrump has some leverage over Iran but not huge: experts say Iran can easily withstand blockade of oil exports - oil capacity will be largely restored after war - manageable small LNG production drop- comments closed when first posted, discuss on ddebunked.org or contact via email

12 May

BLOG: Trump has some leverage over Iran but not huge: experts say Iran can easily withstand blockade of oil exports — oil capacity will be largely restored after war — manageable small LNG production drop You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/trump-has-...

robertinventor.substack.comBlock on Hormuz strait nowhere enough to cause global recession - not even in IMF scenario where it's blocked to end of 2027 - and US IS affected - Trump under pressure to unblock well before midterms- and effect on consumer price increases for G20: 1.2%; extra half percent if prolonged - discuss on ddebunked.org, comments closed when first posted

12 May

BLOG: Block on Hormuz strait nowhere enough to cause global recession — not even in IMF scenario where it's blocked to end of 2027 — and US IS affected — Trump under pressure to unblock well before midterms — and consumer price increases for G20: 1.2% robertinventor.substack.com/p/the-block-...

robertinventor.substack.comHantavirus outbreak is small - only 7 contacts infected from initial case - all infected on cruise ship - no contacts of contacts tested positive - may be more cases but no risk of epidemicWill keep comments disabled when first published - if you have any comments contact me privately or discuss on ddebunked.org

10 May

BLOG: Hantavirus outbreak is small — only 7 contacts infected from initial case — all infected on cruise ship — no contacts of contacts tested positive — may be more cases but no risk of epidemic You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/hantavirus...

robertinventor.substack.comIran negotiations underway for Memorandum of Understanding - Trump: US attempt to get ships through the blockade paused - Rubio: Epic Fury war has ended - Iran and US blockades continue for nowWill keep comments disabled when first published - if you have any comments contact me privately or discuss on ddebunked.org

6 May

BLOG: Iran negotiations underway for Memorandum of Understanding — Trump: US attempt to get ships through the blockade paused — Rubio: Epic Fury war has ended — Iran and US blockades continue for now You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/iran-negot...

6 May

BLOG: Hantavirus outbreak on cruise ship is unlikely to spread far — human to human spread rare — dozens of disease outbreaks every year of various dieases — often in small clusters in special conditions You can read it here: shortdebunks.substack.com/p/hantavirus...

robertinventor.substack.comHow Trump can end the Iran negotiations impasse - just shift to a new position - and say he never shifted and that he's won - why you almost never catch him changing positionWill keep comments disabled when first published - if you have any comments contact me privately or discuss on ddebunked.org

5 May

BLOG: How Trump can end the Iran negotiations impasse — just shift to a new position — and say he never shifted and that he's won — why you almost never catch him changing position You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/how-trump-...

robertinventor.substack.comTrump needs a majority in each chamber to continue Iran war beyond 60 days - likely can't get it - told Congress war terminated before its one week recess- only minor breaches of ceasefire on MondayWill keep comments disabled when first published - if you have any comments contact me privately or discuss on ddebunked.org

5 May

BLOG: Trump needs a majority in each chamber to continue Iran war beyond 60 days — likely can't get it — told Congress war terminated before its one week recess — only minor breaches of ceasefire on Monday You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/trump-need...

ddebunked.orgGraphic of 65 current Black African American members of the House - if proportiuonal to population would be 60This is a graphic I did which found 65 black African American members of the House. Not the usually quoted figure of 61. I’m not sure the reason for the disc...

2 May

Will post at some point about how Black African Americans have already achieved more than proportional representation in the House. Louisiana case won't change that. I make it 65 directly verified to the Clerk of House photos. 30 of the 65 women still in proportion. ddebunked.org/d/3828-graph...

2 May

Mainstream media says 61 for some reason. But without giving a list. But I verified 65 in the House. So I think the mainstream media figure somehow got miscounted? Anyone know how that happened?

3 May

Found out one of them died so it is 64 not 65 and the difference in number from 61 is likely due to how they count Afro-Latinos, Affro-Carribean and others

robertinventor.substack.comMinimal effect from SCOTUS Louisiana rulin: 1-2 seats for House in 2026 - at most 10 in 2028 likely counteracted by Dems - House margins typically larger - election of president or senate unchangedComments disabled when first posted - contact me directly or comment on ddebunked.org

1 May

BLOG: Minimal effect from SCOTUS Louisiana ruling: 1-2 seats for House in 2026 — at most 10 in 2028 likely counteracted by Dems — House margins typically larger — election of president or senate unchanged You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/effect-of-...

robertinventor.substack.comNew second round of talks in Islamabad at low level and indirect - with possibly Vance joining later - "the ice seems to be melting" - Pakistnai journalist Anas MallakComments disabled when first posted - contact me directly or comment on ddebunked.org

25 Apr

BLOG: New second round of talks in Islamabad at low level and indirect — with possibly Vance joining later — "the ice seems to be melting" — Pakistani journalist Anas Mallak You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/new-second...

robertinventor.substack.comIran / US close to a deal - built surprising though minimal level of trust - many issues resolved - but still stuck in a stand-off that may last days - probably over zero enrichment v. zero stockpilesWill disable comments to start with - for any comments, contact me or debate on ddebunked.org

23 Apr

BLOG: Iran / US close to a deal — built surprising though minimal level of trust — many issues resolved — but still stuck in a stand-off that may last days — probably over zero enrichment v. zero stockpiles You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/iran-us-cl...

robertinventor.substack.comUS and Iran talks seem a go - likely simple Islamabad declaration with core points - America doesn't have experts for a robust deal - Iran does and offered far stronger than JCPOA before war startedComments disabled to start with - discuss on ddebunked.org

21 Apr

BLOG: US and Iran talks seem a go — likely simple Islamabad declaration with core points — America doesn't have experts for a robust deal — Iran does and offered far stronger than JCPOA before war started You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/us-and-ira...

robertinventor.substack.comShift of Hungary from far right to centre-right: Peter Mayar's 2/3 majority will completely overturn all far right changes Orban made - restore LGBT rights - won't block EU aid to UkraineVictor Orban conceded to Peter Magyar with a very clear majority.

17 Apr

BLOG: Shift of Hungary from far right to centre-right: Peter Mayar's 2/3 majority will completely overturn all far right changes Orban made — restore LGBT rights — won't block EU aid to Ukraine You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/hungary-el...

robertinventor.substack.comMany signals suggest US and Iran close to a framework no nukes deal to end the war - likely second round of negotiations in Islamabad - Trump may go himself to sign the deal - then 60 days to completeSome editing still to do - comments disabled for first few days, can discuss in ddebunked.org or message me privately (see contact details at end)

17 Apr

BLOG: Many signals suggest US and Iran close to a framework no nukes deal to end the war — likely second round of negotiations in Islamabad — Trump may go himself to sign the deal — then 60 days to complete You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/many-signa...

robertinventor.substack.comMythos AI is a coding tool that DETECTS vulnerabilities AND builds EXPLOITS for them - so Anthropic will use it to ALERT developers to vulnerabilities and not release it - to make software MORE SECUREClaude Mythos is a coding chatbot.

16 Apr

BLOG: Mythos AI is a coding tool that DETECTS vulnerabilities AND builds EXPLOITS for them — so Anthropic will use it to ALERT developers to vulnerabilities and not release it — to make software MORE SECURE You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/mythos-ai-...

robertinventor.substack.comReplacing Powell by Warsh as FOMC Chair will likely have no significant effect on Federal Bank decisions - they attempt a consensus - or if no consensus, choose by majority of 7 out of 12Trump has to choose a nominee amongst the sitting governors.

16 Apr

BLOG: Replacing Powell by Warsh as FOMC Chair will likely have no significant effect on Federal Bank decisions — they attempt a consensus — or if no consensus, choose by majority of 7 out of 12 You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/replacing-...

robertinventor.substack.comNo risk of Emperor penguin or fur seal going extinct - Emperor penguin bounce back in second half of century on our low emissions path - Fur seal populations large and likely reach new equilibrium[Will disable comments for first day or two - comment on ddebunked.org instead]

15 Apr

BLOG: No risk of Emperor penguin or fur seal going extinct — Emperor penguin bounce back in second half of century on our low emissions path — Fur seal populations large and likely reach new equilibrium You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/no-risk-of...

BLOG: The long negotations in Islamabad were very positive — central issue: US wants zero enrichment — Iran wants zero stockpiles — both methods stop nukes — US likely concedes to Iran's demands eventually You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/the-long-n...

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There is so little attention to the achievements in Islamabad in the news. But it’s the basis for future negotiations. This meeting is what will be in future history books. The US blockade after will likely soon be forgotten as a minor detail.

robertinventor.substack.comTalks likely to resume in a couple of days - blockade is limited to Iran and just attempt to pressure Iran - Not likely to last long - Trump likely to Chicken Out as oil prices riseMID EDIT - also as usual will disable comments for a few days - discuss on ddebunked.org

14 Apr

BLOG: Talks likely to resume in a couple of days — blockade is limited to Iran and just attempt to pressure Iran — Not likely to last long — Trump likely to Chicken Out as oil prices rise You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/talks-like...

This helps you understand how Iran will respond. Just endure the blockade and meanwhile use private messaging via mediators try to get Trump to understand that it is their final offer. Most likely it will just stop exporting oil and sit it out.

ddebunked.orgUpdate: Hungary's Victor Orban conceded and looks like a 2/3 majority to Tisza / Peter Magyar which means he can change the constitution and undo Orban's changesPeter Magyar set to win a ⅔ majority and Victor Orban already conceded, for Hungary. Shift away from far right: pro EU, pro LGBT, pro fair elections in Hunga...

12 Apr

Peter Magyar set to win a 2/3 majority and Victor Orban already conceded, for Hungary. Shift away from far right: pro EU, pro LGBT, pro fair elections in Hungary, not exactly pro Ukraine but unlikely to block Ukraine aid in the EU. ddebunked.org/d/3551-updat...

ddebunked.orgUpdate: Hungary's Victor Orban conceded and looks like a 2/3 majority to Tisza / Peter Magyar which means he can change the constitution and undo Orban's changesUpdate, Victor Orban conceded to Peter Magyar with a very clear majority. 138 at 72.44%. It’s 133 for a ⅔ majority. These are not final results but the resul...

12 Apr

Peter Magyar set to win a 2/3 majority and Victor Orban already conceded, for Hungary. Shift away from far right, pro EU, pro LGBT, pro fair elections in Hungary, not exactly pro Ukraine but unlikely to block Ukraine aid in the EU. ddebunked.org/d/3551-updat...

robertinventor.substack.comDirect high level talks between Iran and the US in presence of Pakistani mediators in the same room - for first time since 1979 - Four sessions - last one 1.30 - 3.30 am!This is looking very promising so far, they wouldn’t be talking for so long unless they were far beyond just talks about talks.

12 Apr

BLOG: Direct high level talks between Iran and the US in presence of Pakistani mediators in the same room — for first time since 1979 — Four sessions — last one 1.30 — 3.30 am! You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/direct-hig...

robertinventor.substack.comIran ceasefire holds and is very positive - the ceasefire holds so far and many things are promising for it to last- will close comments for the first few days - discuss on ddebunked.org

10 Apr

BLOG: Iran ceasefire holds and is very positive — the ceasefire holds so far and many things are promising for it to last You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/iran-cease...

robertinventor.substack.comTrump can't end a civilization in 4 hours - COULD get Israel to TEMPORARILY cut major bridges + disconnect major power plants - US generals would refuse - BIG risk is to Trump not US- likely TACO Trump Always Chickens Out - BUT IF NOT it's mainly about when he is impeached, before or after the mid terms - MID EDIT - COMMENTS DISABLED FOR NOW - DISCUSS ON DDEBUNKED.ORG

7 Apr

BLOG: Trump can't end a civilization in 4 hours — COULD get Israel to TEMPORARILY cut major bridges + disconnect major power plants — US generals would refuse — BIG risk is to Trump not US You can read it here: robertinventor.substack.com/p/trump-cant...