Instinctive

Instinctive

@fplinstinctive.bsky.social

instinctive.substack.com | FPL — Brighton Predictor, Threads, and Analytics | Writer — Economics and Psychology | Football and Tactics | UCL and F1 Fantasy

2.1K followers93 following1.3K posts

View full thread

... recovered from faster than expected, just before the World Cup. Assuming we do see my predicted lineup, I think four of the five subs are quite predictable: • Welbeck → Georginio, between the 76th and 82nd minute

• Hinshelwood → Ayari/Milner/Kostoulas, between the 76th and 82nd minute • Baleba → Ayari/Milner • Gómez → Veltman, meaning Kadıoğlu shifts over to RW, or Gómez → March, with the latter getting 10ish mins at most • Minteh or de Cuyper would likely be the fifth sub, depending on fatigue (Minteh).

View full thread

...especially with Minteh compensating for de Cuyper’s defensive limitations. I do actually think there’s some chance Baleba misses out for Milner or Ayari here, given the persistent noise around a move to United. Hürzeler has been pretty careful with Baleba in that regard, while he’s been...

...willing to trust Milner/Ayari at times across the season, so that does give him some room to make the swap if he needs to. I think Diego Gómez starts after having been eased back from injury, but I’d be surprised if he got 90, given he’s only just coming back from an injury that he...

There’s a nonzero chance Veltman starts ahead of de Cuyper, but Hürzeler has clearly only given him minutes when he’s been forced to. Moreover, he’s spoken about how well de Cuyper has done in replacing Wieffer, albeit at LB, so there’s no real reason to change that dynamic...