fplresearch

fplresearch

@fplresearch.bsky.social

23/24 Massive Data (xMins) #1 "No matter how sophisticated our choices, how good we are at dominating the odds, randomness will have the last word."

1.2K followers633 following5 posts

fplresearch reposted

A few upgrades to the sites linear optimisation tool in advance of GW29 - Sensitivity Analysis added! - Chip plans now solved at once, rather than sequentially - Solver setting interface updated - Live output + ability to exit solves early added - Results now downloadable as a .jpg Details below

fplresearch reposted

Step 5 of 5 complete✅ The Chip Timing function now has the Assistant Manager chip integrated. This is the last of the 5 milestones, though there are still a few bits and pieces to tidy up I'd suggest considering risk preferences when timing chips, as there will be big swings based on activation

fplreview@fplreview.com

Will get the new chip added in stages over the next weeks, expect it will look something like this: 1- Projections for managers added to site (by start of next week) 2- Enable using chip & picking manager (by end the of next week) 3- Link into Linear Optimiser (over Christmas)

fplresearch reposted

Step 1 of 5 complete✅ Assistant manager projections are included on the site and will be influenced by custom fixture schedule % inputs These projections update hourly along with the rest of the data and will reflect the impact of results shortly after the game is finished

fplreview@fplreview.com

Will get the new chip added in stages over the next weeks, expect it will look something like this: 1- Projections for managers added to site (by start of next week) 2- Enable using chip & picking manager (by end the of next week) 3- Link into Linear Optimiser (over Christmas)

fplresearch reposted

for those of you asking for a view of five-year moving-average team strength in the English men's top flight going back to 1889

Wee Rogue@wee-rogue.bsky.social

Visualising the strength of the Premier League "Big Six" with a long-term moving average of their xG dominance: a (logged) ratio of their xG relative to their xGA. For the first time in the last 6 years Man City are not 1st by this measure, but in fact 3rd behind Arsenal (1st) & Liverpool (2nd).

fplresearch reposted

Visualising the strength of the Premier League "Big Six" with a long-term moving average of their xG dominance: a (logged) ratio of their xG relative to their xGA. For the first time in the last 6 years Man City are not 1st by this measure, but in fact 3rd behind Arsenal (1st) & Liverpool (2nd).

fplresearch reposted

Salah and Haaland ownership% in Analytics Elite 64 and Elite64 minileagues Elite64 managers were less keen to start with Salah, but were quicker to pick him up for GW4/5, and much keener to double up with Haaland for that period. AE64 managers were quicker to drop Haaland for Salah in GW10.

fplresearch reposted

Arsenal Predicted line up for this game week. Ordered by predictor skill. Thanks to all of our predicting team, @spacemanjonny & @JamesHancock97 for great work on the data preparation. I will share commentary to go with these predictions. Good luck this game week everyone! #FPL

fplresearch reposted

The Season Review tool is back up and running for 24/25! A few background changes on the way to make it a bit easier to run & maintain, this will mean xG rank updates daily overnight- rather than after the final match as per last season fplreview.com/season-review

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