Aaron Freedman

Aaron Freedman

@freedaaron.bsky.social

History PhD candidate at Columbia, dissertating on the political economy of Wall Street in the 1980s

201 followers110 following42 posts

Did Paul Volcker actually say "the standard of living of the average American has to decline"? The Congressional record shows it as "has declined"—not a defense of tight monetary policy, but a description of the impact of lower productivity and higher energy prices.

Now the Congressional hearing text is published after the fact. But even in the next-day New York Times coverage, which uses "has to decline," the intent is clearly about describing existing macroeconomic changes, not demanding new ones.

For Computational History I wrote about my AI workflow for turning photos of archival documents into OCR’ed PDFs and structured metadata in Zotero—a huge time saver in the archive and when I’m taking notes after.

My new masterpiece: vibe-coded chart showing the collapse of the New Deal financial order and rise of Wall Street, by flow of deposits from small to big banks. From 1990 to 2024 NYC banks more than double their deposit share. Small banks and thrifts go from more than half of deposits to <20%.

Try to play "spot the neoliberalism" here and you see something interesting: 1. with the brief but notable exception of 2000-05, housing's share of wealth was on a secular decline from the Volcker Shock through the Great Recession 2. Retirement funds become more important instead

What's happening in sports betting now is an even stupider version of what happened in banking and investing in the 80s/90s: regulatory arbitrage that in theory offers better consumer prices and choices but ultimately fuels social and economic instability. www.wsj.com/finance/kals...

wsj.comKalshi’s Competitiveness Still Limited Despite Parlay DebutAnalysts say the prediction market platform’s new product is bare bones and could bring legal scrutiny, giving traditional sportsbooks an edge.

Another way to think about it is the evolution of asset classes and derivatives to be ever more remote from real investment. CDOs and interest rate swaps have underlying bets that affect home prices and government borrowing, but sports betting just amplifies domestic violence.

Aaron Freedman reposted

Aaron Freedman@freedaaron.bsky.social

My dissertation project, “The Securities State: Washington, Wall Street and the Financialization of America, 1979-1992” asks how and why Wall Street become the central force in intermediating credit, savings, investment, and liquidity throughout the entire US economy

This is insulting, he should settle for nothing less than Ambassador to Turkey

Jeff Coltin@jccoltin.bsky.social

SCOOP, with Nick Reisman and Emily Ngo: Eric Adams has been offered a position at the HUD, according to a person with direct knowledge of the offer. www.politico.com/news/2025/09...

J Levy's "Accounting for Profits" is really brilliant but a big blind spot is it doesn't talk at all about cash flow. A cash-flow focused accounting history of the 20th c US would center Penn Central as much as GM!

I think my teaching in the age of AI position is basically "wax on, wax off": forcing students to arbitrarily work without AI (ie blue books) forces them to learn valuable, lifelong skills (ie critical reasoning) that they would/could not otherwise. It's about karate, not waxing.

I don't love this framing but I think it succinctly captures what we in the humanities are out here doing: teaching skills that at best are used for individual human flourishing and civilizational advancement, and at worst for training the next generation of managers

The better version of "wax on, wax off" is shifting US higher ed to an Oxford tutorial model that emphasizes 1-1 or very small group oral discussion. But at scale that would require many more instructors, and realistically that's not happening any time soon.

It’s very illuminating that the 2008 financial crisis was driven by the collapse in asset-backed securities, the most “safe” and “real” financial assets, backed by actual cash flows (ie mortgage payments) and even physical assets (homes). The opposite of crypto, or ‘00 dot-com 1/

But that perception of safety in “realness” is exactly why the 2008 crash was so significant—the assets that no one wanted to buy were the very ones believed to be safest. The false security of the real was the problem, rather than a contemporary tulip mania.

Anyone interested in joining a roundtable on new directions in the history of US economic thought at the S-USIH conference in Detroit this November? Feel free to share with anyone interested, email alf2212@columbia.edu

Trump and Musk are unfortunately operating in the Goldilocks zone for right wing politics: cutting the administrative state as much as possible without spooking Wall Street (which depends on predictable expectations) and triggering economic chaos and a mass streets opposition

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