howardappel.bsky.social

howardappel.bsky.social

@howardappel.bsky.social

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7/x the propagandists and the militarists. Replacements promise instead to focus on rebuilding russia's infrastructure, housing, jobs, GROCERIES, etc., and you might even see a joint Ukraine-Russia "Marshall Plan," utilizing all of the frozen russian assets as well as oil/gas exports. Heck, that

5/x militarily defeat Ukraine, and it cannot do a general mobilization, for reasons stated in article. Also, IMHO, at some point Ukraine is going to destroy the Kerch bridge and cut-off all supplies to Crimea, and again, IMHO, Ukraine is going to surprise russia and retake Crimer. WHEN that happens,

6/x I don't see Putin surviving, especially if he looks like he is going to go nuclear. I believe that there are still some sane Russian generals who would stop him. And once Putin is gone, his replacements can, and will, blame the whole thing on him and the people who aided and abetted, e.g.,

3/x the overall population was much less and we were still continuing to fight in VN through the early 70's. Additionally, LBJ was not Putin-LBJ had a conscience, morals and ethics, and felt GREAT PAIN over American casualties. Putin doesn't give a rat's ass. I agree with the rest of the analysis-

4/x Putin is fucked no matter what. America will never fully abandon Ukraine. The EU is stepping up bigly-they recognize the russian bear for the threat it is. Ukraine, IMHO, can hold out indefinitely solely with EU help (including non-EU states, e.g., Japan), russia doesn't have the manpower to

1/x It is interesting, in some ways, how the Russian involvement mirrors the US-Vietnam involvement. The majority of the US didn't really give a damn about the level of US casualties as long the casualties were largely black/brown and not middle class kids, which mirrors the Russian attitude-the

2/x russian elites/middle class, ie., Moscow/St. Petersburg, haven't been really effected. The American middle class turned against the war once college deferments went away-Putin is afraid of essentially the same issue. Returning soldiers were not an issue for America as the percentage of them re:

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