Ian Vandewalker

Ian Vandewalker

@ianvan.bsky.social

Policy advocacy and research on money in politics and elections. Senior Counsel & Manager, Brennan Center.

6.8K followers382 following347 posts

Donors from the traditional finance industry give more money, but they are being outpaced by rapid growth in giving by crypto and the biggest donor, Elon Musk. Labor unions, once the #2 sector, didn't make it into the top 40 this cycle.

Dark money is still on the rise. Among the top 40 donors, nonprofits that hide their sources gave $675 million, more than 2X last midterm. Half this money comes from groups closely tied to party leaders in Congress.

The biggest megadonors favor Republicans 3 to 1. Among the top 40 donors, bipartisan giving to influence both sides' primaries from industries like crypto, AI, and online gambling, has also surged to 100X prior cycles.

Ian Vandewalker reposted

The system of campaign finance limits that has governed American elections since Watergate is virtually dead, which has major implications for the midterm campaign as it enters its final weeks. We are hosting a Reddit AMA on how big money is shaping the Midterms on Tuesday, Oct 20, at 12 - 2pm ET.

Ian Vandewalker reposted

Super PACs backed by the sports betting industry have spent nearly $8.3 million on New York political races in 2026 so far, and have ramped up their general election spending in recent weeks. Here's how sports gambling Is betting big in New York.

nysfocus.comDraftKings and FanDuel Double Down on Political Parlays in NYSuper PACs backed by sports betting companies spent $4 million on New York elections since the June primary — most of it spent in recent weeks.

Across the 6 Senate elections most likely to decide control of the chamber (AK, IA, OH, ME, MI, TX), Republicans have a spending advantage, with $700M to Democrats’ $600M.

The parties' funding strategies are completely different. Democratic candidates are raising much more money directly, under $7,000 contribution limits. Republicans are relying much more on super PACs funded by multi-million dollar donors.

The most extreme example is Texas, where James Talarico outspent Ken Paxton by $100M, and Republicans’ super PACs outspent Democrats’ by $200M. That includes pro-Cornyn spending from the primary, but the bulk is from Elon Musk, who has given at least $168M to pro-Paxton groups.

In a sign that dark money is breaking records, the super PACs affiliated with congressional party leadership all took in more than ever through their dark money arms that keep donors identities secret. On the Senate side, both parties more than doubled their prior record.

Ian Vandewalker reposted

Replying to @eepetry.bsky.social

Federal law already bars contractors from election spending, but it has big gaps. It doesn't reach donations like these, or spending by a contractor’s owners and executives. Congress should close the loopholes. My @justsecurity.org piece:

justsecurity.orgClosing Pay-to-Play Loopholes: Strengthening the Ban on Federal Contractor Political SpendingTo help curb government corruption, Congress should close the gaps in and expand the ban on contractor political spending.
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SLF PAC also took $158 million from Elon Musk and transferred $158 million to the super PAC it has fully funded to spend in support of Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race. (Musk has also given millions directly to pro-Paxton super PACs.)

SLF PAC is the biggest spender in the midterms. Its unprecedented reliance on secret donors and a prominent megadonor (who holds billions in federal contracts) is a signal that the Citizens United campaign finance system is a disaster.

Ian Vandewalker reposted

NEW: November will decide the super important officials in charge of running elections. These are the people who'll oversee the next presidential race. This is true in *35* states, so we at Bolts broke down each state one by one. Notably: election deniers running to take over swing states, again.

boltsmag.orgThese 35 States Are Deciding Who’ll Run Their Elections - BoltsUpon retaking the White House, Donald Trump demanded that states share sensitive voter data with federal agencies—a key step in his broader project of controlling and manipulating election administrat...

Amid the spending deluge, we don't have an FEC to enforce the laws. The agency has been without a quorum for most of this election cycle because Trump isn't filling vacancies.

Americans are fed up. $2 billion in super PAC spending largely from special interests who want govt policy to help their bottom line is a corruption crisis. Whoever controls govt next year needs to make reform a priority. www.brennancenter.org/our-work/ana...

brennancenter.orgPoll: Voters Want Solutions for Government CorruptionOverwhelming majorities across parties see corruption as a major problem and back measures to limit self-dealing by officials and the influence of money in politics.

The biggest big spenders are heavily favoring Republicans this election. The party-affiliated groups and the Trump-affiliated MAGA Inc. are spending heavily to boost GOP senate candidates, especially in Texas.

The megadonors providing much of this money mostly represent the tech and finance industries. Elon Musk is reportedly beating his own record as the biggest donor of an election with $366 million. AI, crypto, venture capital, and gambling interests are spending tens of millions each.

Musk is working to elect Republicans, especially Texas Senate candidate Ken Paxton. His super PAC strategy relies much more on canvassing and get-out-the-vote activities than the traditional TV ads.

Ian Vandewalker reposted

From 16,000 to 185 to Zero: Trump’s Claims of Illegal Voting in Nevada Fizzle. "The state sent a strongly worded rebuke to the federal government: Every single person on the list was a lawful citizen."

nytimes.comFrom 15,000 to 185 to Zero: Trump’s Claims of Illegal Voting in Nevada FizzleIt was the Trump administration’s latest stumble in its effort to find proof of widespread noncitizen voting, despite decades of evidence that it is extremely rare.

Perhaps the most shocking thing is how much pay-to-play seems to be business as usual for the people involved, including congressional staff, campaign fundraisers, super PAC heads, and military officials. Some didn’t even bother to avoid putting things in writing.