Igor Grossmann, PhD

Igor Grossmann, PhD

@igi.bsky.social

Professor of psychology. Study culture and societal change, wisdom, good judgment (and lack thereof), forecasting, and new methods. Forecasting Collaborative founder | 🇺🇦🇩🇪🇺🇸🇨🇦 Psych Inquiry Editor. igorgrossmann.com OnWisdompodcast.com

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Igor Grossmann, PhD reposted

Replying to @onwisdompodcast.bsky.social

They join @igi.bsky.social Charles Cassidy to explore why getting older or going through difficult experiences doesn't necessarily make us wiser, and can we take what we know about individual wisdom and use it to build wiser organizations and societies?

Many talks r entirely genAI generated today. OK... But hearing a person becoming a bot, an "emissary" of the genAI-generated script.. where NOTHING sounds like a human talk... Is is worth it? & Can I force myself to sit through such a presentation? Questions for a brave new world we live in today.

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Finally, Kristján Kristjánsson bridges psychology and Aristotelian phronesis (practical wisdom): how children graduate from moral habits around age 8–10 when virtues clash (e.g., honesty vs. compassion), and why institutions need collective phronesis in teams.

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To unlock wise reasoning under stress, you need a mental timeout. Ethan Kross breaks down self-distancing: shifting from "I" to your own name, temporal time-travel, expressive writing, and outsourcing distance to other people to shift from recounting to reframing.

A twist on #SolomonParadox: when colleagues tried to replicate our US finding in China, it only showed up among highly independent people. For interdependent populations who integrate others into the self by default, the self-other reasoning gap disappears.

First, let’s dismantle two myths with data: - "With age comes wisdom". Meta-analytic correlation? R = 0.04. - "What does not kill you make you wiser". Longitudinal data shows no clear pattern. Without active regulation, adversity breeds defensiveness and cynicism, not wisdom.

If experience isn't enough, what works? Judith Glück explains the Integrative Model of Wise Behavior: you can have high cognitive wisdom (intellectual humility, perspective-taking), but if you’re angry or chasing ego-driven goals, those capacities get locked out. State vs. trait.

Igor Grossmann, PhD reposted

Replying to @onwisdompodcast.bsky.social

@igi.bsky.social and Charles Cassidy confront a fundamental question about what a wisdom score is actually telling us, and discover that the answer may be less about choosing between traits and states than understanding how they fit together.

Igor Grossmann, PhD reposted

Episode 2 of On Wisdom's five-part special series is live! This week features a discussion on Metacognition and Judgment with hosts Igor Grossmann and Charles Cassidy. They are joined by guests Gord Pennycook, Steve Fleming, and Thomas Costello. 🎧Listen here: www.onwisdompodcast.com/70

Igor Grossmann, PhD reposted

What does it actually take to think wisely? On Wisdom digs into the empirical science of wisdom, judgment, and decision-making, and what it means for how we live. 🎧 Listen across Fireside, Apple Podcasts, and more here: www.onwisdompodcast.com

We're hiring research engineers, research associates & several postdocs at the Wisdom & Culture Lab @UWaterloo to build experiments, tools & models on how AI shapes human reasoning, decisions & culture. Psych, cogsci, ML/NLP, HCI & eng backgrounds welcome. uwaterloo.ca/wisdom-and-c...

Job-market season hot take: Ivy League + R1 schools (yes, Michigan and Stanford, looking at you 2) should stop requiring recommendation letters from all faculty applicants. I beg you, ask at shortlist stage! Otherwise you’re wasting everyone’s time, & incentivizing AI-slop letters. What’s the point?

No Easy Answers - Decided to start a Substack in conjunction with the new @onwisdom.bsky.social special series on navigating uncertainty, technological, political, personal... Irony in arriving rather late here: Waterloo alumni helped create this platform. igorgrossmann.substack.com/subscribe?pa...

igorgrossmann.substack.comSubscribe to No Easy AnswersExploring how we think, disagree, and act when the world resists easy answers. Click to read No Easy Answers, by Igor Grossmann, a Substack publication. Launched 34 minutes ago.
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The conversation expands further: Tehila Kogut, Shaul Shalvi & Yoella Bereby-Meyer → social & moral decisions Michal Maimaran → children in the marketplace Oana Stanciu & Azzurra Ruggeri → building an integrated developmental JDM

Across a decade of SJDM programs, research with children appeared in only 0.1% of talks and posters. The authors propose an Origins of Judgment and Decision-Making (OJDM) framework. 10 commentaries take up the challenge ↓

Nadia Chernyak asks what developmental science can reveal about cultural input vs. core cognitive competencies. Shoham Choshen-Hillel & Tom Gordon-Hecker extend the question to the origins of moral judgment and decision-making.

The @onwisdompodcast special lineup: 01 Legare · McAdams · Paul 02 Pennycook · Costello · Fleming 03 Glück · Ardelt · Jayawickreme 04 Glück · Kross · Kristjánsson 05 Jeste · Schwartz · Brienza Five episodes, built on a new Annual Review of Psychology doi.org/10.1146/annu...

We’re hiring! Wisdom & Culture Lab @uwaterloo.ca seeks a Research Project Manager for a 12+ country project on cultural narratives, economic games & decision-making, via Wise Judgment Consortium. Please apply/share! 👇 uwaterloo.ca/wisdom-and-c... #AcademicJobs #ResearchJobs #CulturalPsychology

uwaterloo.caJob Ad! WAC lab is searching for a Research Project Manager | Wisdom and Culture Lab | University of WaterlooJob Ad! WAC lab is searching for a Research Project Manager for Cultural Narratives, Economic Games, & Decision-making project.

Concern with WEIRD cultures and behaviours does not only concern humans. It gets much worse when we look at the animal models and the study of non-human animal cognition, affect, and behavior. Incredibly proud of @jespinosa.bsky.social and colleagues for making this provocative, needed argument.

jespinosa.bsky.socialJulia Espinosa (@jespinosa.bsky.social)Postdoc in comparative psychology, biology, & neuroscience @YorkU & @Harvard | Studying the nature & nurture shaping social behaviour in diverse dog populations 🐩🐕🐕‍🦺 | #ManyDogs Founder & Co-Director...
Association for Psychological Science@psychscience.bsky.social

Would a dog in New York City respond in the same way as a dog in Kyoto? @jespinosa.bsky.social and colleagues address how studies on domestic dogs tend to focus on a Westernized subset.

Presenting at #ECP22 in Edinburgh: Wed 16:45 (Salisbury): Multilingual Topic Modeling for Cross-Cultural Research (for Y. Li who can't come due to visa). Thu 11:00 (St Trinnean): Intellectual humility & forecast accuracy. DM to connect. #CrossCulturalPsychology #Forecasting #Intellectualhumility

2/ The premise was open: what kind of social AI do we actually want, and do we want it at all? Nothing off the table. Camel and dog social intelligence. Hive minds. Trisolarans...

3/ The one I keep returning to: a system that can mask its own abilities well enough that we can no longer test/ benchmark for them... A genuinely fun and intellectually stimulating crowd. Perhaps, "social" selected for a very social type of bunch of open-minded scholars.

After three months on the road, I'm finally putting the bags down for a bit — Freiburg, for the next month, on an Alexander von Humboldt Research Award. A short thread on landing here 🧵

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The work: metacognitive foundations of judgment under uncertainty, forecasting, and cultural evolution. The road here ran through Konstanz (CASCB, hosted by Wolfgang Gaissmaier) and St. Gallen (IBT-HSG, hosted by Tobias Ebert).

After three months on the road, I'm finally putting the bags down for a bit — Freiburg, for the next month, on an Alexander von Humboldt Research Award. A short thread on landing here 🧵

Two academic homes for the month: the Dept of Psychology at the University of Freiburg (with Christoph Klauer) and the Max Planck Institute for the Study of Crime, Security & Law (hosted by Isa Thielmann).

The broader point: intractable problems require metacognitive control over object-level strategies. AI alignment may depend not just on optimizing outputs, but on building systems that can reflect on their own limits, alternatives, and uncertainty. #AIalignment #metacognition

2/ Grateful for visits with colleagues in Genoa, Milan & Lucca, connecting with the Italian Young Academy, and esp. GabyUmbach's hospitality and our exchanges on strengthening the evidential value of science in policy foresight, & the role of social scientists in the AI age.

"If there is anything that still ails psychology... it is the neglect of investigation of environmental or ecological texture." Brunswik, '57 @bayesandbounds.bsky.social takes that seriously in the new Psychological Inquiry 37:1. Check in out! 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1047840X.2026.2650209

doi.orgIn the Mind or in the World? Types of Beliefs and the Locality of EvidencePeople’s beliefs appear to be divisible into two distinct types. Some beliefs refer directly to the observable world, readily guide behavior, and are easily revised when challenged. Others, includi...
Joseph Sommer@bayesandbounds.bsky.social

Thrilled this is out! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 🧵 Do we have 2 kinds of beliefs? Some beliefs seem insensitive to evidence and rarely guide behavior, etc. To explain this, several theories divide belief into 2 types. I argue the explanation isn't in the *mind* but in the *world*