Ilayda B. Onder

Our latest publication with @markberlin2.bsky.social is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social. We examine what happens when armed groups deny responsibility for violence and find that denials can erode trust in government and shape how people feel about violence. Read more here: doi.org/10.1111/pops...

Our new article is out in the JoGSS! We look at why armed groups use extreme forms of violence like beheadings and find that irregular leadership successions are a big factor in explaining escalation to extreme tactics. But groups deescalate as new leaders consolidate power. It's open access👇

Finn Klebe will be presenting our joint project that we’ve been developing over the past year. Join the panel tomorrow to hear about our dataset on defections across and co-membership among rebel and nonviolent resistance groups.

We’re accepting submissions for Fall 2025 until August 14. If you’re on the market, it’s a great chance to practice your job talk with an audience! We also welcome paper presentations. Apply here: iu.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

In our new article, we show that groups that claim credit for attacks have shorter lifespans. Not because of government crackdowns, but likely from internal breakdowns. These findings raise questions about how state threats shape terrorist behavior and whether the logic of deterrence really holds.

One of my recent articles has now been officially assigned page numbers in Journal of Conflict Resolution. 🔍 Key finding: The spatial distribution of loyal, disloyal, and wavering rebel supporters explains who gets targeted and where. Check it out here: doi.org/10.1177/0022...

Check out this new JoGSS article on rebel fragmentation! Using the PKK in Turkey as a case study, @ulaserdogdu.bsky.social identifies two pathways to rebel fragmentation: democratization creating divides over armed struggle and foreign military intervention empowering rival groups.

Double trouble, couch snuggle…

Based on overwhelming community feedback (okay, 3 people), I’ve decided that @polviolencepapers.bsky.social will also cover new publications on political violence in addition to working papers. Tag the account when sharing your new articles to help grow this space!

Resharing this for those who missed it last night. Follow @polviolencepapers.bsky.social and share if you think this could be a useful resource. I’m trying to assess interest in this initiative.

Our article on the lasting impact of rebel governance on post-conflict state and citizens' perceptions of state institutions now has page numbers and is open-access in Comparative Political Studies. Check out here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

We are now accepting proposals for this year's Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop. Please share, apply, and volunteer, if you can, to serve as a discussant.

New publication! What is the long-term impact of rebel governance? We use survey data from Turkey to show that individual engagement with rebel governance institutions and personal conflict experience decrease future trust in the Turkish state. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

It has been official for a while but I am happy to share that I will be joining the Department of Political Science at Texas A&M University as an Assistant Professor in Fall 2024. Thanks to everyone who has offered support throughout this process!

Polisky: please help us spread the word about the Saltzman Institute’s postdoc, and tell your best students to apply! www.siwps.org/programs/cal...

🎙️FYI @danigilbert.bsky.social also did an interview on the Politicology podcast talking about this piece and more on the hostage crisis: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/p...

My article titled "Signaling Resolve through Credit-Claiming" now has an issue number in International Interactions. I show that younger armed groups and groups that recently suffered leadership decapitation publicly claim more attacks to burnish their reputation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Honestly, this website could use some enhancements. We're still missing bookmarking and the ability to save draft posts for later sharing. I feel like if folks are going to use this platform for meaningful exchange of ideas/information, bookmarks are a must.

Today's the day! @goodauth.bsky.social is here! Good Authority is the successor to The Monkey Cage, a site about politics + political science founded in 2007 + published at The Washington Post from 2013-22. The spirit of TMC will carry on here. Excited to be on the team! goodauthority.org #polisky

Junior Scholars in International Security's (JSISE) call for proposals for Fall 2024 is open! Are you a junior scholar studying topics in international security? We have a space for you to receive feedback! 🗓 Deadline: September 25, 10 pm EST. 📎 Info on our website: sites.google.com/view/jsise-w...

My article titled "Signaling Resolve through Credit-Claiming" is now published online in International Interactions. I show that groups that are younger or have recently suffered the loss of a leader claim attacks to burnish their organizational reputation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...