James Marinero reposted
James Marinero
James Marinero
@jamesmarinero.com
Defence tech, Espionage, Nuclear+Energy, Geopolitics commentary. Worked/lived Russia+Middle East+Kazakhstan+more. Conceived the idea of modelling geopolitics using linear algebra, results now live at GVIndex.io. Lives on a boat.
1.8K followers1.1K following1.3K posts
James Marinero reposted
Steady state resilience for Brazil. Quick free read: jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/brazils-gv...
I'm just noting that those are precisely the target class that Storm Shadows were designed to punch through to. And you can't build data centres overnight, even if you can get the GPUs and swtiches.
⚡️️ Russian ministry recommends underground data centers following Ukrainian drone strikes. Existing data centers should be protected by reducing their visibility from the air and through layered defense systems, including reinforced structures, electronic warfare measures, and drone defense systems.
James Marinero reposted
The targets are becoming scarcer and therefore harder to find.
mod.gov.ua/assets/xl_ru... as always less orcs, less problems. May have to walk back on my previous assumption regarding less logistic hits. The numbers here might well be not quads but buchankas/trucks. Can't tell from here. But there are about 30% lower than the median it seems.
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
First Musk said he did not disable Starlink for Ukraine. Now he's confessing to disabling it but says he was justified in doing so. Congress, if you can hear me, we need hearings when Dems take over. www.cnn.com/2026/10/25/e...
James Marinero reposted
Jared’s father, Charles Kushner, pleaded guilty to 18 counts of tax evasion and witness tampering. He hired a prostitute to seduce his brother-in-law, videotaped it, and mailed the tape to his sister. Trump pardoned him and made him Ambassador to France and Monaco. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles...
James Marinero reposted
The Trump Regime is making up bullshit about election fraud to disenfranchise millions of voters. @kamlager-dove.house.gov visited the LA County Ballot Processing Center & joins me to explain their security procedures & to give the latest on how CA is fighting back. youtu.be/JvE3FcOiaXs?...
James Marinero reposted
A nurse who spends election season getting neighbors to the polls won't be a poll monitor this year. DHS agents, some armed, had started knocking on doors. So the nurses' union took DHS to court. www.dworkinsubstack.com/p/trump-is-o...
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
DHS agents, some armed, knocked on doors in Kansas City, Missouri, and San Francisco asking about voting. One nurse quit going to campaign events. 225,000 nurses sued instead. They won in 33 days. www.dworkinsubstack.com/p/trump-is-o...
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
☕ Happy Sunday, Tooniacs. Tony was just minding his business, enjoying a quiet Sunday stroll when the Open #ToonieTuesday found him again.😂 Apparently, there are no days off until these four cross the finish line. SOMEBODY - $9,778 / $17,960 - $8,182 to go 🅿️🅿️Bogdan.nelen@gmail.com 🧵⤵️
🌻𝑮𝒐𝒐𝒅 𝒎𝒐𝒓𝒏𝒊𝒏𝒈, 𝑻𝒐𝒐𝒏𝒊𝒂𝒄𝒔! 𝑭𝒐𝒖𝒓 𝑶𝒑𝒆𝒏 𝑻𝒐𝒐𝒏𝒊𝒆 𝑻𝒖𝒆𝒔𝒅𝒂𝒚𝒔. 𝑶𝒏𝒆 𝑭𝒊𝒗𝒆𝒓 𝑭𝒓𝒊𝒅𝒂𝒚. 𝑳𝒆𝒕’𝒔 𝒎𝒂𝒌𝒆 𝒕𝒉𝒐𝒔𝒆 𝒇𝒊𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒔 𝒄𝒐𝒖𝒏𝒕! All the info and links in the🧵⤵️ If you can spare a fiver today, thank you. If not, a share helps more than you know, we appreciate it all. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦 #FiverFriday #ToonieTuesday #NAFO #Ukraine
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
Musk slowed Starlink/Starshield. And hobbling the F-25 is possible. jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/the-f-35s-...
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
Did China save the world economy with a 50% drop in oil imports? Free read with the numbers... jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/chinas-qui...
James Marinero reposted
BREAKING: @democracydefendersfund.org & partners just sued ICE over a nasty catch-22 ICE detains people, takes their IDs & work papers, releases them, keeps the papers. Now they can't work & risk getting picked up again for having no ID We're going to court to get it ALL back -TN
Hormuz ship attacks hit an all time high and supertankers divert. Quick free briefing: jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/warning-up...
Understanding conflict outcomes: The seemingly overwhelming power of the USA is unable after 8 months of 2026 to vanquish Iran which has had 47 years to harden itself. in our model USA scores 48, Iran 79. The answers are deeply buried, almost literally. and soft too. gvindex.io/conflict-set
Paper strength does not finish a war. Hardness gaps and systemic damping explain unfinished fights in Ukraine and Iran, using GVIndex conflict-set scores jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/what-may-l...
Why the Aframax Rio attack is really important. 🎁 medium.com/the-dock-on-...
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
Carney announced a new million-barrel pipe to the Pacific. A 10% US energy tariff has been on the books since March 2025; USMCA-qualified barrels can still clear. Canadian barrels are the heavy feedstock US refineries are tuned to. First new oil flow planned for 2032. gvindex.io/tariffs-are-...
In an update, NBC News said that there were injuries to US marines during the Sept 14 attack in the Strait of Hormuz. 8 US Marines injured when an Iranian cruise missile hit the non-Navy vessel they were aboard in the Strait of Hormuz. Ship: St Helena? jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/8-marines-...
Yanbu is loading again. Perim still owns the exit. Petroline is back at 2.65 mn b/d, not 5.5. Asia still chooses Hormuz or a halved Bab. Oman STS working The scarce barrel is diesel. Europe’s crack cleared $100. StanChart has prices elevated through 2027. jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/yanbu-is-l...
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
It's Tuesday and it's time for SIDEBAR Live! Join me at 5:30 pm ET and we'll kick off today's show with @macfarlanenews.bsky.social who was at Former Special Counsel Jack Smith's testimony today before Senate Judiciary! youtube.com/live/x8ZPTJn...
The same gallon is now a White House problem. $6.50 diesel pushes Washington to end two wars. It does not decide which ending. 4/4 james-marinero.medium.com/an-army-marc...
James Marinero reposted
James Marinero reposted
Saudi oil transfers to the fleet off Oman, now full. A 2nd transfer station off India would raise throughput but not open a new door. Empty VLCCs still have to return to Hormuz. 7 million b/d is a rebound, not a reopening. Iran's offer is on the table. jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/the-omani-...
European governments spent the week warning of Russian drones and sabotage. Official Mi-8 probe in Poland; El Mundo: CIA warned Spain, France and Italy of Gerbera drone launches from Mediterranean shipping containers — one source, unconfirmed. EU GVI: 29 jamesmarinero.substack.com/p/mediterran...
James Marinero reposted
Once again, and despite court orders & the federal law, Todd Blanche is trying to delay production in the Epstein Files; specifically, he doesn’t want to have to review & produce the foreign-language documents. My latest filing exposes Blanche for his legal hackery. youtu.be/72FTfVLdUS8?...
Nuclear warheads do not stop massed drone attacks. Russia’s MOD said it downed about 1,110 Ukrainian drones across the country, Crimea and the Black Sea (20/9) A nuclear state claims more than 1,000 drones shot down and still has a refinery burning in the capital. gvindex.io/nuclearlimits