Joel Atkinson

Joel Atkinson

@joelatkinson.bsky.social

Researching and teaching Northeast Asian international politics in Seoul. Opinions my own. joel.p.atkinson@gmail.com

3K followers330 following513 posts

Just a reminder that we are hosting an event with the WSJ’s Jonathan Cheng tomorrow at the Hankuk University of Foreign Studies. So if you’re in Seoul and free tomorrow afternoon, please come along

Joel Atkinson reposted

Wall Street Journal China bureau chief (and former Korea chief) Jonathan Cheng will be at the Hankuk University of Foreign Studies to discuss North Korea, China and the region on Sept. 15. So if you’re in Seoul and the schedule works, please join us

Wall Street Journal China bureau chief (and former Korea chief) Jonathan Cheng will be at the Hankuk University of Foreign Studies to discuss North Korea, China and the region on Sept. 15. So if you’re in Seoul and the schedule works, please join us

A "pattern of Chinese gray-zone pressure...closely tracks U.S.-South Korea alliance decisions, easing when South Korea accommodates China, intensifying when it aligns with the United States" (red = air, blue = maritime)

"In many ways THAAD and Takaichi are two chapters in the same ongoing episode. Beijing is dissatisfied with the East Asian status quo -- U.S. alliances and forces and China's own unrealized territorial ambitions, especially regarding Taiwan...

Joel Atkinson reposted

"...many in Taiwan quite reasonably expect the Lee Administration will cooperate substantively with China at Taiwan’s expense. But the reality is... here in Seoul, the secular trend is for relations to continue to worsen even with these periodic cycles of warming."

Joel Atkinson@joelatkinson.bsky.social

Wrote something on the recent US-China-South Korea summitry and implications for Taiwan for Taiwan's Prospect Foundation www.pf.org.tw/tw/pfch/13-1...

Joel Atkinson reposted

“North Korea is actively enhancing its nuclear and missile capabilities. It’s opening new enrichment facilities, new rocket engines... nuclear-capable destroyers,” I explained in a recent @globalnews.ca interview with @jeffsemple.bsky.social that appears in their vivid report on Operation NEON.

globalnews.caOperation Neon: RCAF members tracking North Korean ships suspected of UN violations | Watch News Videos OnlineWatch Operation Neon: RCAF members tracking North Korean ships suspected of UN violations Video Online, on GlobalNews.ca

My new article with Review of International Studies on Brazil-China relations is now online open access: “There is a paradox at the core of Brazil’s partnership with China: despite aiming to advance industry, technology, autonomy, and national prestige, the relationship... doi.org/10.1017/S026...

doi.orgOutsourcing anti-dependency: Brazil’s fraught embedded-autonomy approach to China | Review of International Studies | Cambridge CoreOutsourcing anti-dependency: Brazil’s fraught embedded-autonomy approach to China
View full thread

power status through BRICS We attribute this disconnect to Brazil’s deeply rooted narrative of embedded autonomy. Brazil reached out in solidarity to build an international regime with China. This ‘outsourcing’ of antidependency, with its expectations that China would provide Brazil with outsized...

My new article with Review of International Studies on Brazil-China relations is now online open access: “There is a paradox at the core of Brazil’s partnership with China: despite aiming to advance industry, technology, autonomy, and national prestige, the relationship... doi.org/10.1017/S026...

doi.orgOutsourcing anti-dependency: Brazil’s fraught embedded-autonomy approach to China | Review of International Studies | Cambridge CoreOutsourcing anti-dependency: Brazil’s fraught embedded-autonomy approach to China

has likely contributed to Brazil’s de-industrialisation and dependency. Nevertheless, the perception persists that increased Chinese trade and investment is beneficial, despite its reproduction of the colonial centre-periphery relationship, and that the country is rising alongside China to major...

Joel Atkinson reposted

In June 1983, Xi Zhongxun, the father of Xi Jinping, hosted Kim Jong-il, the father of Kim Jong-un, in Beijing. They watched a performance by Peng Liyuan, who years later would marry Xi Jinping.

Lim Eul-chul, Kyungnam University: "North Korea is seeking to push the Lee Jae Myung administration into making a more drastic shift...by exerting maximum pressure...The key question is whether...[Lee-Trump summit] will show...greater diplomatic autonomy vis-a-vis the US”

m.koreaherald.comKim Jong-un issues inter-Korean policy rejecting Seoul’s olive branchNorth Korean leader Kim Jong-un on Tuesday conveyed his inter-Korean policy plan through his sister Kim Yo-jong, who handed it down during a meeting with key Fo

Along the way, I argue that rather than relying on Chinese scholars/researchers to inform you what motivates Beijing (or worse, mirror imaging), best practice is starting with assumption that Beijing is a rational actor & then working backwards from the known context

This from prof of Chinese foreign policy at Kyung Hee University Jaewoo Choo in 2019 on South Korean progressives’ “pro-China approach” & “a more balanced US policy” helps contextualize the current Lee Jae Myung admin & progressive legislature (if you’re into that kind of thing)t kind of thing):

From Choo, Jaewoo. (2019). Conservative and progressives' stance on China and impact on South Korea-China relations. In Milani, M., Fiori, A., and Dian, M. (Eds.), The Korean Paradox: Domestic Political Divide and Foreign Policy in South Korea. Routledge.

Joel Atkinson reposted

I explain why Xi Jinping’s signature “Great Changes Unseen in a Century” is likely derivative of a popular Chinese nationalist self-help book, Liu Mingfu’s “China Dream” (2010), which is riffing on a 1994 quote from Kissinger thediplomat.com/2025/07/the-...

thediplomat.comThe Embarrassing Reason Xi Talks about ‘Great Changes Unseen in a Century’The formulation clearly means something important, but its origins are often obscured.