John Bingham

John Bingham

@johnbingham.bsky.social

618 followers145 following1.2K posts

I am curious what political cleavages are gonna emerge between the young/old as our population ages. Housing is the big one I think of, where older homeowners block new construction or vote to freeze property taxes as they don’t feel an obligation to the young.

Still think the most like Senate result is Marshal wins like 51% to Hamilton’s 46%. So like 10 points closer than this race should be

Poll Tracker 📊@polltracker.bsky.social

Kansas Senate poll (Co/efficent) 🔴Roger Marshall 49% 🔵Adam Hamilton 44% 9/8-9/10 battlegrounds.coefficient.org

I love that Kansas occasionally has a Senate race that looks kinda close before all the quiet conservatives break for the GOP on Election Day. Maybe that won’t happen this time. I think Hamilton might manage to win 45% of the vote instead of the typical 41% a Dem wins

Polling USA@usapolling.bsky.social

Kansas - Senate Polling: 🔵Hamilton: 44% 🔴Marshall: 43%* ⚪️Graham: 5% GSG / Aug 16, 2026 (Current Model Result In KS-SEN is GOP 51% - DEM 43%) usapolling.substack.com/p/democrats-...

One of the most deranged sections of internet discourse I occasionally run into are the people who have intense debate over whether men and women can be friends. Just be normal! Very easy to be friends if you follow that simple rule.

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I continue thinking one version of the Bad Future (20 years or so from now) is Democratic lead states eventually endorsing a form of quasi-nullification to get around an aggressive, sectarian, far-right, and ineffecitve Federal government trying to force its will on them.

Nathan Goldwag@goldwagnathan.bsky.social

To paraphrase @diplomatofnight.com on another issue, they reason they act like they have total impunity is that they have always been given total impunity. It is an entirely rational decision to treat their opponents with contempt, because their opponents have contempt for themselves.

Eventually, I do think populated coastal regions are going to resent their tax dollars being sent to hinterlands which hold them back from more progressive policy efforts and world integration .

Representation is necessary for basic political stability, and unfortunately many in our country seem to have forgotten what actually keeps this Republic together and secure

Does the NYT publish any essays about the numerous state schools that have extensive agricultural programs? My small public school had a full farm with cattle, chickens, horses, and pigs

The New York Times@nytimes.com

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com The problem on college campuses is not just that students lack civility, Michal Leibowitz writes, but that “our college education does almost nothing to develop the sense that what we do in our day-to-day lives resonates with people beyond ourselves.”

Bush '08 numbers speedrun Hope he gets down to 29% in November so we can see what the bottom falling out looks like

James Downie@jamescdownie.bsky.social

There's no other way to say it: This AP-NORC poll is atrocious for Trump. – Overall: 33-67 – Immigration: 40-59 – Iran: 32-67 – Economy: 30-70 – Cost of living: 23(!)-76 37% of Republicans disapprove of his handling of the economy, 47% disapprove on cost of living. apnorc.org/projects/few...

Lowkey if they face a total blowout (Dems gain 10+ in the Senate and 50+ in the House) then I could honestly see there being 10 R votes in the Senate for conviction if he’s impeached

Secretary of Defense Rock@sodrock.bsky.social

I honestly have a hard time believing he’s going to make it to the end of his presidency at this rate

Ft. Scott, Brown v. Board Museum, and some pioneer town I do not remember the name or location of Oh and the Cosmosphere - single coolest place in the entire state of Kansas

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I do find it funny whenever a tech oligarch is like "yeah we're just going to destroy the white collar middle class in this country" and doesn't stop for two seconds to think about The Implications of such a revolution

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Bad for me as a graduate looking for a job, but at least November 3 will be cathartic as fuck Hope the GOP does not take office at the national level again until I’m in my 40s

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Yeah this is why I think the risk of a cool zone moment post-election are increasingly. They’re in a deeply radicalized ideological bubble that does not believe legitimate liberals/leftists exist. Some of these guys seem eager for an American Tlatelolco to occur.

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Do think one consequence of the Trump Era is the chances of another Great War erupting that kills 100 million people around the globe has jumped up significantly. Worried the period between 2022-2060 will rhyme with 1900-1945

I do think one possible, but also very bad, outcome of this is a legitimate quasi-breakdown of the Union over the course of 25-50 years or so that sees state’s exert greater levels of authority as the Federal government becomes increasingly unstable

John Bingham@johnbingham.bsky.social

Yeah even if we get out if it this time I’m not quite sure how we deal with the fact that 30% of the population and 23 states seem hell-bent on dragging the whole Union down a reactionary path. They simply will not leave California, Minnesota, and New York alone as they desire to extend control

Blue states don’t want to fund an entity that every 4-8 years treats them like occupied territories while Red Stars seek to destroy the whole New Deal and Great Society orders. End result is a country that is much more regionally unequal and dysfunctional

Trump has the unique ability to engineer incredible backlash by the sheer force of just asshole governance And this time around it’s 100% more intense, cruel, and unhinged

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Not to mention real cuts to the social insurance state will be hitting in a way they did not last time. Plus the Federal Occupation of Minneapolis is clearly solidifying the image of the Admin as a bunch of lawless thugs

Building off of this, I kinda think Obama might be remembered in a mythical Kennedyish way among our generation. The last "Great President" before this country went off the deep end of right-wing authoritarianism. His flaws paved over as, compared to what came after, he was a saint

John Bingham@johnbingham.bsky.social

I think two big things shaping my political orientation as someone whose life experience with politics has been dominated by Donald Trump. 1. An intense disgust towards populism/anti-expert sentiment of any kind. 2. General intense partisanship due to the GOP's descent into authoritarianism

I beat this dead horse a lot, but I am quite worried about what public education is going to look like in Red States in 20 years plus the knock on effects of their systems decaying. Will there be quite meaningful quality of life differences between Blue and Red states in the coming decades?

ghost malone ergo propter bones@proptermalone.bsky.social

I don’t really have a lot to say about the OU thing except 1) it’s obviously about the trans instructor and 2) red state publics are all so, so vulnerable to this

Strong enough Dem majorities in Congress from 2029-2035 could help alleviate this problem. One outcome of the Trump years is perhaps a form of regional divergence in governance, social assistance, and civil rights as the Federal Government grows weaker

I do not think there is an Administration in modern history that misunderstood why they were elected or their own coalition more than this one. We're at Bush '07 numbers and the bottom hasn't even fallen out yet!

Eric Michael Garcia@ericmgarcia.bsky.social

New Gallup poll shows Trump's approval hit a new low for his second term: -36% approve -60% disapprove His approval among Republicans went from 91% in January to 84% in November news.gallup.com/poll/699221/...

It's going to be fun to see how well polarization can hold this Administration together cause I think if they face a real crisis (Financial Crisis in Aug. 2026 for instance) it will break the GOP apart