John Cook

John Cook

@johnfocook.bsky.social

Researches climate & vaccine misinformation at the University of Melbourne. Founded SkepticalScience.com. Published Cranky Uncle vs. Climate Change. Developed the games Cranky Uncle (crankyuncle.com) and Cranky Uncle Vaccine (crankyunclevaccine.org)

7.8K followers866 following126 posts

View full thread

Logic-checking segues seamlessly into logic-based corrections that explain misleading techniques in misinformation. In 2017, I published research finding that logic-based corrections neutralise climate misinformation across the political spectrum: it's depolarizing sks.to/inoculation

View full thread

We also identified the most common fallacies in climate misinformation. Slothful induction and cherry picking were the most common, followed by oversimplification and misrepresentation. Single cause (a form of oversimplification) was fifth.

One of the most significant findings was that 91% of the claims we analysed contained hidden premises with fallacies. Almost all of misinformation tries to hide how they mislead. This underscores the importance of logic-checking as an essential tool in countering misinformation.

View full thread

We also did some conceptual work clarifying the differences between some fallacies that seemed difficult to distinguish. E.g., cherry picking from slothful induction, and misrepresentation from oversimplification. Wendy Cook created this lovely infographic for the paper.

The result was a detailed summary of climate myths, how we deconstructed them, the hidden premises in each myth, and the logical fallacies in each myth - this table is intended as a resource for anyone wishing to write debunkings of climate myths that use the fact-myth-fallacy format.

View full thread

In 2018, I worked with critical thinking philosophers to develop a step-by-step methodology for logic-checking. It involves deconstructing claims into an argument structure (premises & a conclusion), check for hidden premises, then examine each premise for logical fallacies sks.to/criticalclim...

For this new paper, we expanded the 2018 flowchart to make it more practical, working with a variety of real-world misinformation. Note: this work was initially done as an Honours project by Ruby Flack, then expanded into a full paper with the larger team of coauthors.

View full thread

We make the argument that there are limits to fact-checking which find policy claims, conspiracy theories, & ad hominem attacks challenging to fact-check. In particular, fact-checking struggles with arguments that contain hidden premises or unstated assumptions (which are common in misinformation).

We propose a complement (not a replacement) to fact-checking: logic-checking, or identifying the presence of logical fallacies. This is another way of tagging arguments as misleading and can address forms of misinformation that fact-checking struggle with (there's another benefit I'll come to later)

We started with the taxonomy of contrarian claims about climate change from our 2021 paper (sks.to/cardspaper). In our 2021 paper, we didn't make any judgements about whether the claims were misleading or not - that's what this new research set out to do.

Watched movie Einstein & Eddington today. Eddington (David Tennant) empirically confirms theory of general relativity by Einstein (Andy Serkis). At end, Eddington gives speech about time being relative. Wife comments to me "he's right, for you the movie was 5 minutes long, for me it was 5 hours."

We're looking to address these issues in a major update of the Skeptical Science website later this year. One major innovation is incorporating fallacy explanations in our rebuttals, building that into the database format. A much needed revamp given the website design hasn't been updated since 2007!

However, we were disturbed to see belief in climate facts go down for some participants as well, not something we wanted to see. We looked at the worst performing rebuttals and identified some places where they could have been written better.

For example, the facts could have been explained clearer & simpler (following the old mantra: fight sticky myths with stickier facts). Also, few of the rebuttals explained the logical fallacies committed by the myth - a debunking approach recommended by the Debunking Handbook sks.to/db2020

6261 people filled out both the pre-rebuttal and post-rebuttal form from Nov 2021 to Jul 2025. The first thing that jumped out at us was that nearly half of visitors strongly agreed with the fact or strongly disagreed with the myth. We think most SkS visitors come to arm themselves with info.

The strongest result from our data was that the website had its biggest effect in improving climate perceptions among climate dismissives (strongly disagreed with climate facts/strongly agreed with climate myths). Belief in climate myths overall went down.

The first challenge was collecting live data. Readers who came directly to a Skeptical Science rebuttal via google were asked how much they agreed with either a climate fact or myth. Then if they read all the way down to the end of the rebuttal, they received the same survey.

View full thread

In fact, I was inspired by Tolkien's writing approach. He created detailed tables for each character in Lord of the Rings, detailed where they were on each day of the story, describing environmental details like moon phases and wind direction.

Taking a similar approach, I created a spreadsheet of the characters' journey. I also added climate data along the way - temperature, precipitation, biome, season (arcing into winter as the story gets dire, trending to spring at the end). Then used that to add immersive details to the story.

View full thread

I was especially drawn to the simulation of biomes - which parts of the world are forest, grasslands, desert, etc. The biome maps became my guide in designing a map for the fantasy world (called Terrios).

Why go to all this trouble? First, because it's fun & I'm an uber-nerd. But more importantly, verisimilitude & immersion are crucial to compelling stories (particularly fantasy). Tolkien himself was meticulous in crafting a detailed, intricate world which has captivated millions of readers.

View full thread

Bristol climate scientist Alex Farnsworth took it on. He had a small request - provide a digital elevation map of the entire planet providing the elevation of every point of land (including ocean ocean). Easy! So I gave them this (well, I had to write R code to convert the PNG into a CSV)

Months passed, then Alex came back with the results of the climate model simulation - temperature, precipitation, wind strength & direction, humidity, sea ice, the weather patterns of the entire world all year around. Next level world-building!

Since then Dan Lunt also collaborated with his Bristol colleagues to climate model the worlds of Westeros (Game of Thrones), Arrakis (Dune), and the world of the Wheel of Time. So when I began work on a climate fiction set in a fantasy world, I reached out to them asking if they'd model my world.

Want to test how good you are at recognising authors? Fill out this (anonymous) survey, checking authors you recognise but also avoiding checking fake authors (purpose is to measure which authors are too well known or not known at all) q.surveys.unimelb.edu.au/jfe/form/SV_...

q.surveys.unimelb.edu.auQualtrics Survey | Qualtrics Experience ManagementThe most powerful, simple and trusted way to gather experience data. Start your journey to experience management and try a free account today.

John Cook reposted

Replying to @dananuccitelli.bsky.social

I talked to @johnfocook.bsky.social about dealing with climate misinformation, and he recommended learning about the common techniques that bad actors use to distort facts: Fake experts Logical fallacies Impossible expectations Cherry-picking Conspiracy theories or FLICC, for short (4/11)

skepticalscience.comA history of FLICC: the 5 techniques of science denialIn 2007, Mark Hoofnagle suggested on his Science Blog Denialism that denialists across a range of topics such as climate change, evolution, & HIV/AIDS all employed the same rhetorical tactics to sow c...

John Cook reposted

Joe Rogan has one of the world's most popular podcasts. Unfortunately, like nearly all of the most popular online shows, his tends to spread climate misinformation. For @climateconnections.bsky.social I scrutinize his recent episode with octogenarian climate contrarians Lindzen & Happer 🧵 (1/11)

yaleclimateconnections.orgFive ways Joe Rogan misleads listeners about climate change  » Yale Climate ConnectionsRogan exposes millions to climate denial. Let’s break down his tactics.

Proud to have contributed to the blockbuster new volume Climate Obstruction: A Global Assessment, documenting the many, many ways that corporations & orgs try to block climate action. Comprehensive, global in scope, authors from all over the world & the ebook version is FREE cssn.org/news-researc...

cssn.orgGlobal Assessment - Brown Climate Social Science NetworkClimate advocacy has not failed, climate policy has been sabotaged, explains a new open access book, Climate Obstruction: A Global Assessment.

The Debunking Handbook 2020 has now been translated into Basque, making it the 21st translation of this influential guide to the psychological research into debunking misinformation. Many thanks to translator Laida Arbizu Aguirre and Wendy Cook for typesetting sks.to/db2020

John Cook reposted