Jon Harvey
Jon Harvey
@jonrv.bsky.social
southwest colorado | geoscientist | professor | dad | geomorphology | lidar | landslides | rivers |
158 followers78 following36 posts
Incoming #flood wave on the #SanJuanRiver is now expected to be >50,000 cfs at the Bluff gage - that is >14 ft ABOVE major flood stage. Absolutely devastating for the Navajo Nation / Aneth / Montezuma Creek / Mexican Hat / Bluff areas.
Watch the #SanJuanRiver near Mexican Hat, Utah go from ~700 to ~17000 cfs in this timelapse made from images at the nearby #USGS river gage location. Final frame is from this morning. A higher #flood peak of ~33,000 cfs is heading this way, moving through Farmington, NM as I type...
we are now up to 10,800 cfs in-town Durango, it seems like it really wants to break the 1970 record!
Not all gages reporting, but the #AnimasRiver is now >7700 cfs (as of 6:30 AM oct 23), which makes it the largest #flood since 2005 (so far!). Still likely to see that number rise over the coming hours.
The winter that wasn't. Next 2 weeks arent likely to change this much. Trying to catch up on all the ramifications of Powell possibly hitting minimum power pool in 12 months...
A quick Colorado River 2026 snowpack check: -currently trending below 2002 (lowest runoff on record) -about to tie 2018 (lowest snowpack on record for late January) -warm and dry conditions predicted for February, March, April across the Southwest
You are up to date.