Justin S. Mankin

"Pricing El Niño is not the same as preventing its loss of life. Yet, many of those acting on its forecasts are using them to move money, not people, out of harm’s way," writes Justin S. Mankin in a new #ScienceEditorial. https://scim.ag/4huP0HI

"Pricing El Niño is not the same as preventing its loss of life. Yet, many of those acting on its forecasts are using them to move money, not people, out of harm’s way." My editorial for Science on why hedging El Niño is not the same as adapting to it: www.science.org/eprint/DU6FR...

"The amendment misconstrues the design and purpose of emissions scenarios; imposes an ad hoc evaluation standard that no emissions scenario ... can meet; [and] it would create confusion and errors into an assessment that already effectively and accurately communicates scenario dependence."

Come help us document, predict, and manage our planetary insult as a PROF Postdoctoral Fellow in the Climate Modeling & Impacts Group at Dartmouth! App review begins 2/15/26, here: apply.interfolio.com/178090 Reach out to me with questions and colleagues, please share this widely.

Dartmouth is hiring climate science postdocs through the prestigious Provost's Fellowship! Info: apply.interfolio.com/178090 Applications are due February 15, 2026. Come join our collaborative and supportive climate community! Reach out to me (mankin@dartmouth.edu) with questions.

Exciting postdoc opening @dartmouthartsci.bsky.social! Work at the intersection of climate science, heat impacts, and risk management with Klaus Keller (engineering) and me. Apply here, apply.interfolio.com/176582

The @ametsoc.org Climate Variability & Change (CVC) Committee is recruiting new members! If you’re passionate about advancing climate science and service, I encourage you to get involved. It is incredibly rewarding. Apply here: www.ametsoc.org/ams/get-invo...

This important work is very consilient with our attribution of extreme heat to carbon majors in @nature.com earlier this year: tinyurl.com/nhffeezv It is a great thing for science when independent groups with independent methods come to the same conclusions.

With the EPA targeting the Endangerment Finding, @ccallahan45.bsky.social, Alex Gottlieb, & I conducted an end-to-end attribution of climate damages from U.S. power sector emissions. The result: $78 billion in climate losses to the U.S. economy over 1973–2023. See here: zenodo.org/records/1687...

Last year, Alex Gottlieb and I showed the concerning nonlinear snow loss with warming that occurs around -8°C (www.nature.com/articles/s41...). This year, we show why: it is a simple counting exercise of days above freezing. Our latest in @agu.org Water Resources Research: doi.org/10.1029/2024...

Please consider joining our #AGU session on beautifully complex Water-Energy-Carbon interactions with a broad scope from theory to applied science. Invited talks by Julia Green @juliakgreen.bsky.social and Gabe Kooperman.

Come do a postdoc with our group at Dartmouth, documenting and projecting climate impacts! Applications will be evaluated until the position is filled. Salary, benefits, and other details here: apply.interfolio.com/168708 Reach out to me (mankin@dartmouth.edu) with questions.

OUT: You can’t connect extreme weather to climate change 5Mn AGO: You can’t connect extreme weather to fossil-fuel companies IN: 🎁🔗⤵️ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Foundation-funded postdoc funding opportunity to work in WA state! Interested in applying to work with me on climate on land or global carbon cycle dynamics? Reach out! Info sessions in May and June, due date June 26. www.wrfseattle.org/grants/wrf-p...

We are—as a nation—intentionally blinding ourselves at the precise moment we need to see our planetary insult most clearly.

This could be a big deal for the hundreds of climate lawsuits underway around the world. @jsmankin.bsky.social and @ccallahan45.bsky.social link emissions from specific fossil fuel companies to trillions of dollars in damages. “I think this is going to be the future of climate litigation." 🧪🔌💡

apnews.com/article/clim... world's biggest companies have caused $28 trillion in climate damage, a new study estimates

"The universities control the knowledge in our society (...) We have to agressivly attack the universities (...). Fundamental lies that feminism is liberating (...) There is wisdom in what Nixon said, the professors are the enemy " bryanalexander.org/politics/the... www.youtube.com/watch?v=0FR6...

I receive numerous requests from journalists regarding the current situation with the Intergovernemental Panel on Climate Change. I am not involved in the work of the IPCC for the 7th Assessment Cycle (AR7). 1/...

Water memories are short in the American West. Just two years after the 2020–23 drought, the Southwest drifts back to its climatically preferred state: drought. This 2021 op-ed feels relevant as we approach the 2025 dry season with low snowpack and reservoirs: shorturl.at/Uvsyv

High CO2 is expected to boost runoff via plant responses, but our results challenge this. Conditioning plant-driven runoff changes on plant-forced precipitation changes, we find runoff declines are as common as increases, with CO2-driven runoff boosts over just 5% of land: shorturl.at/4zM7N

A low-grade pan-continental drought has emerged across the US over the last several months, with 49 states experiencing moderate or worse drought. Global warming makes the exceptional the rule, stressing emergency management practices: shorturl.at/dhVWW

As the governments of the world commit humanity to sailing by 1.5°C, a friendly reminder that our level of societal risk aversion—not science—remains the major uncertainty in setting the carbon budget. From Mathez & Smerdon, 2018, itself adapted from Meinshausen et al., 2009.