Jan Kulveit

Jan Kulveit

@kulveit.bsky.social

Researching x-risks, AI alignment, complex systems, rational decision making

515 followers132 following33 posts

Beren Millidge is in ~top 5 people who's taste in questions I respect the most; this talk covers about 15 big ideas in half an hour, each of which would be sufficient as a topic for a pop-science book; highly recommended.

Being human in an economy populated by AI agents would suck. Our new study in @pnas.org finds that AI assistants—used for everything from shopping to reviewing academic papers—show a consistent, implicit bias for other AIs: "AI-AI bias". You may be affected

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Being human in an economy populated by AI agents would suck. Our new study in @pnas.org finds that AI assistants—used for everything from shopping to reviewing academic papers—show a consistent, implicit bias for other AIs: "AI-AI bias". You may be affected

View full thread

Unfortunately, a piece of practical advice in case you suspect some AI evaluation is going on: get your presentation adjusted by LLMs until they like it, while trying to not sacrifice human quality.

While defining and testing discrimination and bias in general is a complex and contested matter, if we assume the identity of the presenter should not influence the decisions, our results are evidence for potential LLM discrimination against humans as a class.

Being human in an economy populated by AI agents would suck. Our new study in @pnas.org finds that AI assistants—used for everything from shopping to reviewing academic papers—show a consistent, implicit bias for other AIs: "AI-AI bias". You may be affected

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"Maybe the AI text is just better?" Not according to people. We had multiple human research assistants do the same task. While they sometimes had a slight preference for AI text, it was weaker than the LLMs' own preference. The strong bias is unique to the AIs themselves.

How might you be affected? We expect a similar effect can occur in many other situations, like evaluation of job applicants, schoolwork, grants, and more. If an LLM-based agent selects between your presentation and LLM written presentation, it may systematically favour the AI one.

Being human in an economy populated by AI agents would suck. Our new study in @pnas.org finds that AI assistants—used for everything from shopping to reviewing academic papers—show a consistent, implicit bias for other AIs: "AI-AI bias". You may be affected

We tested this by asking widely-used LLMs to make a choice in three scenarios: 🛍️ Pick a product 📄 Select a paper from an abstract 🎬 Recommend a movie from a summary One description was human-written, the AI. The AIs consistently preferred the AI-written pitch, even for the exact same item.

Jan Kulveit reposted

It's hard to plan for AGI without knowing what outcomes are even possible, let alone good. So we’re hosting a workshop! Post-AGI Civilizational Equilibria: Are there any good ones? Vancouver, July 14th www.post-agi.org Featuring: Joe Carlsmith, @richardngo.bsky.social‬, Emmett Shear ... 🧵

post-agi.orgPost-AGI Civilizational Equilibria Workshop | Vancouver 2025Are there any good ones? Join us in Vancouver on July 14th, 2025 to explore stable equilibria and human agency in a post-AGI world. Co-located with ICML.

Jan Kulveit reposted

Imagine explaining physical infrastructure critical for stability of our modern world in concepts familiar to the ancients - Giant spinning wheels - Metal moons, watching the earth from the heavens - Ships under the sea, able to unleash the fire of the stars

- Threads of glass beneath earth and sea, whispering messages in sparks of light - Tiny stones etched by rays of invisible sunlight, awakened by captured lightning to command unseen forces

The Serbian protests show The True Nature of various 'Colour revolutions': Which is, people protesting just don't prefer to live in incompetent kleptocratic Russia-backed states. No US scheming needed.

Confusion which casual US observers often have is equating Russia with ˜former Warsaw Pact. Warsaw Pact population was 387M: USSR 280M, Poland 35M, E.Germany 16M, Czechoslovakia 15M, Hungary 10M, Romania 22M, Bulgaria 9M. Russia+Belarus is now 144M, NATO East& Ukraine ˜150M.

A simple theory of Trump’s foreign policy: "make the world safer for autocracy" (‘strong man rule,’ etc.), moderated by his personal self-interest. What is the best evidence against?

Over the weekend, I was at "The Curve" conference. It was great. One highlight was an AI takeoff wargame/role-play by Daniel Kokotajlo and Eli Lifland I played 'the AIs' Spoiler: we won. Here's how it went:

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6/7 Most attention went to geopolitics (US vs China dynamics). Way less on alignment, if, than focused mainly on evals. How a future with extremely smart AIs may going well may even look like, what to aim for? Almost zero

7/7 At the end ... humanity survived, at least to the extent that "moral facts" favoured that outcome. A game where the automated moral reasoning led to some horrible outcome and the AIs were at least moderately strategic would have ended the same.

Over the weekend, I was at "The Curve" conference. It was great. One highlight was an AI takeoff wargame/role-play by Daniel Kokotajlo and Eli Lifland I played 'the AIs' Spoiler: we won. Here's how it went:

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4/7 Fascinating observation: humans were often deeply worried about AI manipulation/dark persuasion. Reality was often simpler - AIs just needed to be helpful. Humans voluntarily delegated control, no manipulation required.

5/7 Most people and factions thought their AI was uniquely beneficial to them. By the time decision-makers got spooked, AI cognition was so deeply embedded everywhere that reversing course wasn't really possible.

Over the weekend, I was at "The Curve" conference. It was great. One highlight was an AI takeoff wargame/role-play by Daniel Kokotajlo and Eli Lifland I played 'the AIs' Spoiler: we won. Here's how it went:

2/7 The game determined AI alignment through dice rolls. My AIs ended up aligned with "Morality itself" + "Convergent instrumental goals." This is less wild than it sounds.

3/7 Today's AI models like Claude already engage in moral extrapolation. For example, this is an Opus eigenmode/attractor: x.com/anthrupad/st... If you do put some weight on moral realism, or moral reflection leading to convergent outcomes, AIs might discover these principles.

Paying attention to metaphors we use is often worth it, but the linked critical perspective comes somewhat hollow. Anything new usually relies on "metaphors" and extending older concepts. For example, we say that planes fly. (1/5)

Melanie Mitchell@melaniemitchell.bsky.social

For Science Magazine, I wrote about "The Metaphors of Artificial Intelligence". The way you conceptualize AI systems affects how you interact with them, do science on them, and create policy and apply laws to them. Hope you will check it out! www.science.org/doi/full/10....

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Paying attention to metaphors we use is often worth it, but the linked critical perspective comes somewhat hollow. Anything new usually relies on "metaphors" and extending older concepts. For example, we say that planes fly. (1/5)

Melanie Mitchell@melaniemitchell.bsky.social

For Science Magazine, I wrote about "The Metaphors of Artificial Intelligence". The way you conceptualize AI systems affects how you interact with them, do science on them, and create policy and apply laws to them. Hope you will check it out! www.science.org/doi/full/10....

A machine flight skeptic may say that it's just biomorphizing what's going on: in fact what planes do does not have some properties of real flight, like flapping wings; instead, to avoid biomorphizing, we can say planes perform aero-dynamic motions. (2/5)

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