Lara Goscé

Lara Goscé

@laragosce.bsky.social

Assistant Professor in Modelling at LSHTM, TB modeller

361 followers256 following5 posts

Lara Goscé reposted

Poverty is a major driver of TB.Conditional cash transfers combined with counselling improve pre-treatment loss to follow-up.In this economic analysis our modelling projections show that this intervention is cost-effective and can reduce incidence and mortality. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

sciencedirect.comCost-effectiveness of conditional cash transfers with pre- and post-test tuberculosis counselling in South Africa: a modelling analysisTuberculosis (TB) disproportionately affects low-income populations due to socioeconomic barriers. Conditional cash transfers (CCTs) are promising str…

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

Another successful "Intro to TB Modelling" course in Copenhagen at #WLHC2025. Over 70 joined to learn about TB modelling! Followed by the now-traditional TB Modelling and Analysis Consortium social, which was also very well-attended and a lot of fun.

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

“Wow, I saw in the last GTB report undernutrition is much less important for TB than we previously thought” I hear you say… Well, no. We think this is an underestimate, & as much as 28% of TB could be attributable to undernutrition – see our latest comment here: www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

thelancet.comTuberculosis and undernutrition: improving estimates to reinforce the policy imperativeUndernutrition is a key driver of the global tuberculosis epidemic, increasing the risk of people developing tuberculosis disease and of poor outcomes in those who do.1 Each year, WHO publishes estima...

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

In a new preprint (NOT PEER REVIEWED) we continue to explore the challenge of overtreatment in community screening. It seems the benefits of TB treatment far outweigh the harms, especially once we accept that sputum culture is not perfect. Important food for thought. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...

medrxiv.orgDo no harm - re-evaluating the risks of overtreatment in community-wide tuberculosis screeningBackground Community-wide screening is a crucial strategy to end tuberculosis (TB), but a common concern is potential harm from overtreatment following false positive diagnoses. However, current refer...

Lara Goscé reposted

At a time when global resources for #TB research, development, prevention, and care are limited, which interventions should be prioritised in high burden settings? 📢 Our new pre-print compares the impact, cost, and cost-effectiveness of 9 TB interventions in 3 countries. 1/n bit.ly/3V3vXth

bit.lyThe potential impact, cost and cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis interventions - a modelling exerciseBackground While a range of interventions exist for tuberculosis prevention, screening, diagnosis, and treatment, their potential population impact and cost-effectiveness are seldom directly compared,...

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

Secretary of State Marco Rubio has imposed sanctions on Francesca Albanese, the U.N. special rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territory. Albanese says the move is an effort to “distract” from the genocide in Gaza.

Lara Goscé reposted

New systematic review led by @hannahrickman.bsky.social shows annual risk of Mycobacterium #tuberculosis conversion in men and women diverges during adolescence and remains higher among men throughout adulthood. www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

The LIGHT Consortium @lightontb.bsky.social

NEW STUDY! 📣 A large global study found men are more likely to be exposed to TB than women. The reason? Likely social behaviours: • More time in crowded indoor spaces • Delays in seeking care READ MORE ⤵️ 🔗 www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... @petermacp.bsky.social @hannahrickman.bsky.social

Lara Goscé reposted

Replying to @billgates.bsky.social

A study in the Lancet recently looked at the cumulative impact of reductions in American aid. It found that, by 2040, 8 million more children will die before their fifth birthday. b-gat.es/44wCCQO

b-gat.esThe Effects of Reductions in United States Foreign Assistance on Global HealthBackground: The United States (US) has traditionally been the largest donor to health programs in low- and middle-income countries. In January 2025 almost all s

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

Lara Goscé reposted

Amid all the bad news in Global Health, perhaps some good news? A first analysis on the risk of false positive diagnoses in community-screening for tuberculosis using Xpert shows our clinic-based data is likely (very) wrong and overestimates false positives by >80%: tinyurl.com/yfecute9.

Lara Goscé reposted

Climate change is likely to exacerbate determinants which drive TB, the world’s leading infectious disease killer. Commissioned by WHO, we developed an analytical framework outlining potential causal relationships between climate change and TB: medrxiv.org/cgi/content/... @lshtm.bsky.social @who.int

medrxiv.orgClimate change and tuberculosis: an analytical frameworkClimate change is likely to exacerbate a range of determinants which drive tuberculosis, the world's leading infectious disease killer. However, tuberculosis is often neglected in wider climate health...

Lara Goscé reposted

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