Pierre-Simon Laplace

Pierre-Simon Laplace

@learnbayesstats.bsky.social

A podcast on #BayesianStats -- the methods, the projects, the people By @alex-andorra.bsky.social Listen: http://tinyurl.com/pvz4ekky Support: http://tinyurl.com/2p8mpxnp

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How can we make Bayesian inference faster? 🎧 In Episode 167 @alex-andorra.bsky.social @paulbuerkner.com and Steve Bronder discuss amortized inference, neural posteriors, GPUs in Stan, and GPU-ready linear algebra. Recorded live at StanCon 2026 in Uppsala! 🔗 lnkd.in/dUTHWeq3 #BayesianStatistics

learnbayesstats.comAmortized Inference & GPUs for Stan -- Live at StanCon 2026Paul Bürkner and Steve Bronder, live at StanCon 2026, discuss amortized inference, likelihood-free models, GPU computing in Stan, and sum-to-zero constraints.

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

Such a pleasure to host my friends Bill Engels and Jesse Grabowski, to talk #GaussianProcesses and #AIworkflows no less! Enjoy, my dear Bayesians 🖖

Pierre-Simon Laplace@learnbayesstats.bsky.social

New episode of LBS is out! @alex-andorra.bsky.social is joined by Bill Engels & Jesse Grabowski to discuss Gaussian processes, kernels, PyTensor, and PTGP, including HSGP, computational efficiency, AI-generated statistical code & more! 🔗Watch the full episode: learnbayesstats.com/episode/gaus...

What if we learned the likelihood instead of the posterior? In Episode 165, Alex Fengler joins @alex-andorra.bsky.social to discuss HSSM, likelihood approximation networks, amortized inference and simulation-based inference and more ... 🔗 learnbayesstats.com/episode/hssm... #Bayesian #PyMC

learnbayesstats.comHierarchical Sequential Sampling Modeling -- Alex FenglerAlex Fengler explains HSSM, amortized inference, and likelihood approximation networks for cognitive process models like the drift diffusion model

In this special episode of Learning Bayesian Statistics, @alex-andorra.bsky.social is joined by Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, and Richard McElreath to discuss Bayesian Workflow. From simulation and hierarchical pooling to causal inference, there’s a lot to unpack 🎧 lnkd.in/geX2QkxV #Bayesian

learnbayesstats.comBayesian Workflow - Gelman, Vehtari & McElreathAndrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, and Richard McElreath discuss their new book on Bayesian workflow, reverse Bayes and hierarchical pooling.

How can we make Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sample faster? In this episode, @alex-andorra.bsky.social , Adrian Seyboldt, and Eliot Carlson dive into HMC preconditioning, mass matrix adaptation, and Nutpie - including a median 4× speed-up across 114 models 🎧 learnbayesstats.com/episode/fast...

learnbayesstats.comSampling your models faster -- Seyboldt & CarlsonAdrian Seyboldt and Eliot Carlson explain Fisher divergence preconditioning, mass matrix adaptation, normalizing flows, and benchmarking samplers in Nutpie.

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

1/ Great chat with Alex Andorra aka @learnbayesstats.bsky.social about efficient inference, from amortized to surrogate-based approaches and a variety of related topics (prior-fitted networks, foundation models for inference and planning, etc.), many of which are neural processes in a trenchcoat.

Pierre-Simon Laplace@learnbayesstats.bsky.social

Episode 161 is out 🎧 In which @lacerbi.bsky.social explains why transformers are secretly neural processes, how his Amortized Conditioning Engine unifies inference and prediction, and why "amortize everything" needed a rethink. 🔗 learnbayesstats.com/episode/161-... #bayesian #bayesianinference

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

So this is apparently happening

Pierre-Simon Laplace@learnbayesstats.bsky.social

🚨 @rmcelreath.bsky.social @statmodeling.bsky.social & @avehtari.bsky.social are coming on the show mid-June to discuss their new book, Bayesian Workflow! ONE listener gets to bring a real Bayesian problem onto the recording and have the three of them work through it live. Here's how to enter 🧵

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If you've ever wanted to come on the show and ask Andrew, Aki or Richard "okay but what would YOU actually do here?" -- this is your shot! Good luck, my dear Bayesians 🖖 #BayesianStatistics #DataScience #MachineLearning #PyMC #Stan

Episode 158 is out 🎙️ @alex-andorra.bsky.social sits down with Stefan Radev to talk amortized Bayesian inference, multiverse analysis, and what a foundation model for Bayesian inference should actually look like and more.. 🔗 lnkd.in/dau9_eA7 #BayesianStatistics #AmortizedInference #MachineLearning

learnbayesstats.comBayesian Workflows, Foundation Models & SensitivityStefan Radev explains how simulations improve Bayesian workflows, how to do cheap sensitivity and multiverse analysis, and where BayesFlow is headed next.

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

⚽ Last week, I was thrilled and honored to present our #SoccerFactorModel to Field of Play 2026 in Manchester! 🎙️ It was an absolute blast meeting all these brilliant people, and I can't thank enough the FoP team, especially Dominic Jordan and John Carney for their trust and invitation! 🧵 Thread 👇

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

New episode is out, my dear Bayesians! All about #CausalInference, #Experimentation at scale, and #GaussianProcesses -- definitely a fun one!

Pierre-Simon Laplace@learnbayesstats.bsky.social

New Episode Alert! 🎙️ Scaling #BayesianCausalInference with Thomas Pinder, Netflix & creator of GPJax Essential listening for anyone working at the frontier of Bayes, Experimentation & Causal Inference 📈 🔗 learnbayesstats.com/episode/154-... #Bayesian #JAX #MachineLearning #CausalInference #GPJax

New Episode Alert! 🎙️ Scaling #BayesianCausalInference with Thomas Pinder, Netflix & creator of GPJax Essential listening for anyone working at the frontier of Bayes, Experimentation & Causal Inference 📈 🔗 learnbayesstats.com/episode/154-... #Bayesian #JAX #MachineLearning #CausalInference #GPJax

learnbayesstats.comBayesian Causal Inference at ScaleThomas Pinder discusses Bayesian causal inference and Gaussian processes. Explore synthetic control and diff-in-diff for industry

The show now has a blog section 🍾 Check out @alex-andorra.bsky.social 's first post!

Alexandre Andorra@alex-andorra.bsky.social

I taught my coding agent to think like a Bayesian, and wrote up what I learned. LLMs know #BayesianStats but skip half the workflow. So I built an open-source Agent Skill that enforces the full workflow every time Works with Claude Code, Cursor, Gemini, etc. learnbayesstats.com/blog-posts/b...

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

Just published my first open-source #AgentSkill! It's called bayesian-workflow, and helps you do #BayesianAnaylsis the right way -- well, at least I hope... Check it out here: github.com/Learning-Bay...

github.comGitHub - Learning-Bayesian-Statistics/baygent-skills: A set of skills to call your agent Bayes. Thomas Bayes.A set of skills to call your agent Bayes. Thomas Bayes. - Learning-Bayesian-Statistics/baygent-skills
Pierre-Simon Laplace@learnbayesstats.bsky.social

Hellooooooo my dear Bayesians! We just open-sourced an #AgentSkill that teaches coding agents to do #Bayesian stats properly. No more skipped diagnostics, no more point estimates without uncertainty, no more "trace plots look fine". Works with Claude Code, Cursor, Kimi, Gemini CLI, and more

Hellooooooo my dear Bayesians! We just open-sourced an #AgentSkill that teaches coding agents to do #Bayesian stats properly. No more skipped diagnostics, no more point estimates without uncertainty, no more "trace plots look fine". Works with Claude Code, Cursor, Kimi, Gemini CLI, and more

Enforces a 9-step workflow: prior elicitation, predictive checks, calibration (LOO-PIT, not vibes), diagnostics, and reporting adapted for non-technical audiences. All the stuff agents skip when left to their own devices. Lean, opinionated, adapted from the cutting-edge science you hear on the show!

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

My #AdvancedRegressionModeling course, written with the brilliant Ravin Kumar and @tomicapretto.bsky.social, is now available through my Topmate profile! So do give it a try and let me know what you think in the comments 👇 See you soon in the Intuitive Bayes' Discourse 🖖 topmate.io/alex_andorra...

topmate.ioYour All-in-One Creator StorefrontMake money from your content. Sell products, host sessions, and grow your business — all from a single link.

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

Now I'm also looking for a research software engineer to implement a pile of research results to R packages loo, posterior, bayesplot, projpred, priorsense, brms or/and Python packages ArviZ, Bambi and Kulprit. Apply by email with no specific deadline (see contact info at users.aalto.fi/~ave/)

Aki Vehtari@avehtari.bsky.social

I'm now also looking for a postdoc with strong Bayesian background and interest in developing Bayesian cross-validation theory, methods and software. Apply by email with no specific deadline (see contact information at users.aalto.fi/~ave/). Others, please share

Pierre-Simon Laplace reposted

How to run #BART and #TreeModels fast in #Python -- new episode is out, with @gstechschulte.bsky.social !

Pierre-Simon Laplace@learnbayesstats.bsky.social

🤔How do you keep Bayesian rigor when the data’s too big to behave? @gstechschulte.bsky.social joins @alex-andorra.bsky.social on Learning Bayesian Statistics to talk BART and how they’re bridging classic stats with modern, large-scale systems. 🎧 Listen here: learnbayesstats.com/episode/142-...