Linus Hof

Linus Hof

@linushof.bsky.social

Predoctoral Researcher in Cognitive Psychology | Technical University of Munich | Decision Making, Information Search, Computational Modeling & Philosophy of Science

127 followers246 following4 posts

Linus Hof reposted

2023: 8,039 proposals 2024: 10,360 proposals 2025: 17,066 proposals 2026: 21,627 proposals Something's gotta give

Iva Vukušić@vukusiciva.bsky.social

This ridiculous number of applications is, in my view, the result of 2 nightmare developments happening concurrently 1.the precariousness of the job market for young PhD graduates which then fuels further: 2.the AI tools enabling overproduction of proposals. #Research #ERC #ResearchFunding #Academia

Linus Hof reposted

Replying to @devezer.bsky.social

Science will always appear to be in a crisis if we insist on comparing it to an ideal that has never existed and can never exist. It is delusional to claim that science cannot produce useful knowledge unless it matches a confabulation made up by those who refuse to understand it as a social process.

Linus Hof reposted

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Simulations also show that interplay of search and comparison rules can be a driver of the probability-weighting patterns often seen in decisions from experience. 3/4 • Roundwise comparison → underweighting of rarely sampled events • Summary-wise comparison → generally more overweighting

Empirical data suggests that people select strategies (i.e., combinations of search and comparison rules) that promote expected-value–maximizing choice. People tend to combine roundwise comparison with infrequent switching, and summary-wise comparison with frequent switching. 4/4

We formalizes sampling strategies along three components: a search rule (switching), a comparison rule (roundwise vs. summary), a stopping rule. Simulations show that roundwise comp. yields more maximizing w/ low switch rates, while summary comp. yields more maximizing w/ high switch rates. 2/4

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