Marc Jacob

Voters may be reluctant to hold elites accountable for transgressions because they may, in fact, endorse those transgressions (low democratic support) or because they are unwilling to vote for a different party to do so (high partisan cost of switching).

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Weak democratic accountability, we conclude, is more a result of asymmetric polarization, leading some partisan groups to hold elites to account more than others, rather than of partisan groups subscribing to democratic values to different degrees.

marc-s-jacob.comLiving meta-analysis dashboard on how voters punish politicians who break democratic rulesInteractive companion to a meta-analysis of 13 candidate-choice experiments across 13 democracies (47,700 people) on whether voters reject candidates who break democratic rules, and how party loyalty ...

An overview of the meta-analytic results can be found here: www.marc-s-jacob.com/meta-analysis/

papers.ssrn.comDemocratic Support and the Partisan Cost of Electoral AccountabilityWhy do electorates often fail to hold transgressing electoral officials accountable? Two leading explanations point either to weak democratic values or to the p

@bermondscoggins.bsky.social and I distinguish between these two mechanisms of weakened electoral accountability and offer evidence from a meta-analysis of candidate choice experiments featuring transgressing candidates (47k respondents overall): papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.....

We find that democratic support varies little between partisan groups within societies. But some partisan groups are much more reluctant to move to other parties than others.

12 Aug

A thought-provoking and important paper: the diversity within pro-democracy coalitions may make them more likely to win elections, but it also makes it more challenging for them to govern effectively. And, as the analysis shows, there is much to learn from most different case comparisons.

Frances Cayton🇺🇦@francescayton.bsky.social

The "Victory Trap," my latest w/ @elvinongpolsci.bsky.social. Why do victorious pro-democracy coalitions often struggle to reverse autocracy? Using a most different case design (Malaysia🇲🇾 + Poland🇵🇱) we argue that internal weaknesses to the coalition lay the groundwork for autocratic comeback. 1/3

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Tadeas Cely

@celytadeas.bsky.social

25 Oct 2025

⚠️New paper fothcoming in POQ! ⚠️ With @marcjacob.bsky.social and @seanjwestwood.bsky.social, we worried about norm-violating local politicians rising to higher office. We tested when voters defect from such politicians in local, state and federal races. osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵...

Party leaders often face a tough choice: should they join forces with other parties in pre-electoral coalitions or run alone? The stakes are even higher when opposition parties try to unseat an authoritarian incumbent.

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Zooming in on this case, @ugurozdemir.bsky.social and I have examined when too much diversity in pre-electoral coalitions backfires; that is, when they reduce support from voters who might have backed any of the constituent parties if they had run separately.

papers.ssrn.comVoting for Pre-Electoral CoalitionsPre-electoral coalitions can improve parties' electoral prospects but may lose appeal when they combine ideologically diverse members. To analyze when coalition

In short, heterogeneous coalitions do backfire electorally, but mainly because voters feel distant from the coalition’s overall composition, not just because they dislike a particular partner party. More here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.....

@bachmannrudi.bsky.social

A case in point for this decision problem is the 2023 Turkish general election. A highly diverse opposition alliance united behind a single presidential candidate, while the main opposition party (CHP) opened its parliamentary lists to candidates from smaller allied parties.

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Rudi Bachmann

10 Feb 2025

. @notredame.bsky.social @robert-habeck.de

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Kellogg Institute at the University of Notre Dame

@kellogginstitute.bsky.social

10 Feb 2025

The Kellogg Institute is now officially on Bluesky! Please spread the word and follow us!

11 Dec 2024

German vibes on the Notre Dame campus in Indiana

6 Dec 2024

Consider following the wonderful Kellogg Institute community at the University of Notre Dame: go.bsky.app/CoZB5N8. Kellogg is a vibrant group of graduate, visiting, and faculty fellows working on topics related to democracy and human development worldwide.

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Scholars Working on East European Politics

3 Dec 2024

"Backsliding occurs either when citizens knowingly consent to erosion of democracy because they find the incumbent highly appealing or when citizens unconditionally oppose the incumbent, so that the incumbent can remain in office only by backsliding." (Luo/Przeworski 2023, QJPS)

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ProMarket

@promarket.bsky.social

20 Feb 2024

A new Stigler Center working paper proposes a mechanism linking legislative gridlock to voters’ support for candidates who hold extreme policy positions. @marcjacob.bsky.social, @bartonelee2.bsky.social (Stigler Affiliate Fellow), @grattonecon.bsky.social (UNSW): www.chicagobooth.edu/-/media/rese...

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@sweep-workshop.bsky.social

30 Jan 2024

✨ We're back this Friday (2/2) at 11AM EST w/ @hannafolsz.bsky.social and @slucek.bsky.social (Stanford) presenting "Losing my Religion? How Partisan Polarization Drives or Tempers Secularization" + @marcjacob.bsky.social (Stanford) discussing. Link+paper via email list: eepg-workshop.github.io

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Polarization Research Lab

@prl.bsky.social

1 Dec 2023

15 days left to apply to present at PRL's Annual Meeting March 21-22 in NOLA! polarizationresearchlab.org/annual-meeti... polisky

polarizationresearchlab.orgAnnual MeetingMeetings and Events Annual Meetings The 2024 PRL Annual Meeting will take place in New Orleans on March 21-22, 2024! This boutique conference brings together the best and most innovative wo…

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Barton Lee

@bartonelee2.bsky.social

15 Nov 2023

Is gridlock causing polarization? 🧐 Proud to be interviewed and have my work with @marcjacob.bsky.social and @grattonecon.bsky.social featured on my favorite podcast! Check it out — link below 👇 Thank you for the invitation Wiola Dziuda, Anthony Fowler, and William Howell t.co/v4Otr7cMSi

t.co‎Not Another Politics Podcast: Is Gridlock Causing Polarization? on Apple Podcasts‎Show Not Another Politics Podcast, Ep Is Gridlock Causing Polarization? - Nov 15, 2023

Three tentative patterns emerged in last Sunday’s Polish elections at the regional (powiaty) level:

The 2023 election was fundamentally different; this time, the opposition, not PiS, mobilized more voters.

Three tentative patterns emerged in last Sunday’s Polish elections at the regional (powiaty) level:

papers.ssrn.comUndemocratic Incumbents and the Shifting Electorate: Evidence from Polish ElectionsDo voters withdraw their support from undemocratic incumbents who seek re-election due to concerns about democracy? I argue that citizens can only hold their go

There was already a substantial increase in turnout in the 2019 elections, during which PiS gained compared to 2015. These electoral gains were mainly related to improved economic conditions and public goods provision (see papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....).

Three tentative patterns emerged in last Sunday’s Polish elections at the regional (powiaty) level:

and 3) the relative number of Ukrainian refugees seems unrelated to PiS punishment.

Three tentative patterns emerged in last Sunday’s Polish elections at the regional (powiaty) level:

2) increased turnout harmed PiS in all regions,

Three tentative patterns emerged in last Sunday’s Polish elections at the regional (powiaty) level: