I'm as depressed as anyone about the US dropping all climate ambition but more important for global climate is which path countries like ๐ฎ๐ณ take en route to energy abundance. This @ember-energy.org analysis shows India is skipping the "fossil detour". ember-energy.org/latest-insig...
Max Dugan-Knight
Max Dugan-Knight
@maxduganknight.bsky.social
๐ Data and climate guy ๐ผ Solutions Architect at Databricks ๐จ๐ฆ based in Toronto โ๏ธ maxdk.substack.com also Arsenal โฝ๏ธ and hip hop ๐ง
5.4K followers1.3K following226 posts
Thanks for the great analysis and desperately needed source of optimism @kingsmillbond.bsky.social and Sumant Sinha.
I'm as depressed as anyone about the US dropping all climate ambition but more important for global climate is which path countries like ๐ฎ๐ณ take en route to energy abundance. This @ember-energy.org analysis shows India is skipping the "fossil detour". ember-energy.org/latest-insig...
That is genuinely great news. Pakistan is similarly embracing cheap solar and storage. www.volts.wtf/p/pakistans-... Countries developing now have access to clean energy tech at a price that beats out most fossil energy sources.
Personal update time! I have a new job and a new Substack: maxdk.substack.com Job: I am moving to Databricks as a Solutions Architect. Substack: I want to keep thinking and writing about the data behind climate change and the tools we have to fight it. I'd love to have you follow along!
To be clear, this "High-warming" scenario is where we're headed under our current emissions trajectory. Climate action is often presented as too expensive. But what's actually expensive is huge stock market losses and people losing their retirements. www.ortecfinance.com/en/about-ort...
It's always refreshing to read analysis of a real risk that few are talking about. A new report from Ortec is more clear-eyed than most about institutional investors' dangerous exposure to climate risk. "A failed low-carbon transition could wipe 33% off pension fund returns worldwide by 2050".
Itโs not often I strongly disagree with every other person quoted in an article in which I am also quoted. But I have to admit thatโs true of this @businessinsider.com story that came out Sunday. www.businessinsider.com/malibu-ocean...
Itโs not often I strongly disagree with every other person quoted in an article in which I am also quoted. But I have to admit thatโs true of this @businessinsider.com story that came out Sunday. www.businessinsider.com/malibu-ocean...
Letโs ignore all of the data on increasing wildfire risk due to climate change and just look at insurersโ actions. Our June report found that home insurers in California are raising prices and abandoning homeowners in the highest risk wildfire zip codes. www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/insurer...
Itโs not often I strongly disagree with every other person quoted in an article in which I am also quoted. But I have to admit thatโs true of this @businessinsider.com story that came out Sunday. www.businessinsider.com/malibu-ocean...
This confusion is part of why the obsession with global average temperature bothers me. Climate change is operating at the extreme ends of the distribution (temperature, precipitation, etc.) If you just look at the average youโre missing the biggest impacts.
The discourse surrounding precipitation changes in a warming climate (both public discussion and even scientific one at times) is complicated by widespread conflation of changes in averages vs extremes (and also actual vs *potential* evaporation/evaporative demand). [Thread]
In our spring report about the upcoming wildfire season we projected abnormally high risk in several parts of Western Canada ๐จ๐ฆ But the fires so far have surpassed my expectations. Here's our latest update on wildfire risk in Canada www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/wildfir...
Pleased to see Deep Sky Research cited in this great article on an under-reported topic ๐ฝ๐ โWeโre losing 120 calories per person, per day, for every degree of global warming.โ www.forbes.com/sites/felici...
Our cited hurricane report found that extreme rainfall during hurricane season has become 300% more common and 33% more severe. Online version of article here: time.com/7289719/hund...
Great article from @pilitaclark.bsky.social out today on the potential for climate financial shock. www.ft.com/content/9e5d...
We're all getting used to warmer temperatures ๐ In the UK you hear a lot about the heat wave of 1976 but those temps would not have been out of the ordinary today. I'm quoted in this article which takes a broader view: uk.news.yahoo.com/heatwave-197...
Thanks @climateeconomics.bsky.social! ๐ฅ Only saw this now.
New analysis by Deep Sky shows insurance companies are abandoning US homeowners in the highest-risk areas, with over 150,000 households now uninsured in Californiaโs most fire-prone regions alone... apnews.com/press-releas...
Max Dugan-Knight reposted
Wild how the Fed chair saying that *entire regions of the United States* wonโt be able to get a mortgage in the next decade barely registered as a news event
The Trout and Buck fires burning in New Mexico right now are precisely in the darkest red part of Western NM that our report identified. Evacuations have been ordered and a state of emergency declared. Thinking of all affected. www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/insurer...
Great summary here of our research on wildfire risk and home insurance in California. "No safety net: Insurance starts to go away" www.resilience.org/stories/2025...
1. This chart is awesome. 2. This conclusion is terrifying: There is around half a degree of warming today that is [still] โhiddenโ by aerosols.
Human-caused emissions of aerosols โ tiny, lightโscattering particles produced mainly by burning fossil fuels โ have long acted as an invisible brake on global warming. This is largely because they absorb or reflect incoming sunlight and influence the formation and brightness of clouds.
Update: bill signed! In the sea of horrifying news out there (to which I definitely contribute) it's nice to see an actual policy win for people and healthcare. Thanks @warren.senate.gov for supporting this. bsky.app/profile/warr...
This is off topic but my little brother is fighting to stop private equity companies from gutting healthcare in Oregon. He's Rep Ben Bowman's Legislative Director. And they're winning! @tinakotek.bsky.social just needs to do the right thing ๐ www.wsj.com/articles/ore...
The @betakit.com wildfire guide is excellent. And I don't just say that because they cite Deep Sky Research ๐ betakit.com/wildfire/
New Deep Sky Research report out today: "Insurers Retreat as 2025 Wildfire Risk Reaches Dangerous Levels" Insurance companies are abandoning homeowners in high risk wildfire areas ๐๏ธ And fire risk in 2025 poses serious threat ๐ฅ Some findings in thread ๐งต www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/insurer...
There are a lot of findings in here so I'll stop there. Read the full report here: www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/insurer...
New Deep Sky Research report out today: "Insurers Retreat as 2025 Wildfire Risk Reaches Dangerous Levels" Insurance companies are abandoning homeowners in high risk wildfire areas ๐๏ธ And fire risk in 2025 poses serious threat ๐ฅ Some findings in thread ๐งต www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/insurer...
New Deep Sky Research report out today: "Insurers Retreat as 2025 Wildfire Risk Reaches Dangerous Levels" Insurance companies are abandoning homeowners in high risk wildfire areas ๐๏ธ And fire risk in 2025 poses serious threat ๐ฅ Some findings in thread ๐งต www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/insurer...
New Deep Sky Research report out today: "Insurers Retreat as 2025 Wildfire Risk Reaches Dangerous Levels" Insurance companies are abandoning homeowners in high risk wildfire areas ๐๏ธ And fire risk in 2025 poses serious threat ๐ฅ Some findings in thread ๐งต www.deepskyclimate.com/blog/insurer...
Max Dugan-Knight reposted