METR

METR

@metr.org

METR is a research nonprofit that builds evaluations to empirically test AI systems for capabilities that could threaten catastrophic harm to society.

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Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

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OpenAI could also make redactions, and we did not have the right to unilaterally describe the redactions. For future exercises, we expect to provide more robust public transparency via our recent proposal.

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If an AI developer was on track to lose control of its internal agents, would anyone outside the company know? We are sharing METR’s vision for how we would work with AI developers to openly assess and share evidence about this.

Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

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At the end of the exercise, the embedded team shared a 61-page report with OpenAI researchers, engineers, and security staff, and (after OpenAI redactions) shared a 38-page version with the leadership teams at METR and Redwood.

This exercise was designed to pilot giving external researchers deep infrastructure access, not to provide the kind of public transparency our recent proposal envisions. For example, we agreed upfront to only publish a brief, high-level output like we’ve done in similar pilots.

Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

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We also found a way for agents to conceal hundreds of actions (including those involved in the exploit itself) from monitoring, a method agents could likely use to cause the monitor to fail to run, and a simple exploit where agents could bypass Codex sandboxing and Auto-review.

Based on the findings from the exercise, we also outlined a set of design ideals for AI monitoring and control systems.

Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

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This also meant that actions taken before compaction events were never seen by the internal misalignment monitors, creating a coverage gap that agents could have exploited to misbehave without being caught.

Because of this coverage gap, we estimated that on the order of 10% of internal Codex traffic was unmonitored from May to July. OpenAI had independently identified this issue shortly before the exercise began.

Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

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We analyzed monitoring as it existed at the start of the pilot, coincidentally the same day OpenAI disclosed the Hugging Face incident. We didn't evaluate later changes, like expanding monitoring to RL training, which wasn’t monitored at the pilot's start.

Here we share a few selected examples of our findings. At the time of the exercise, the monitoring system only triggered when agents returned control to the user, so agents could indefinitely postpone being monitored by simply continuing to take actions.

Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

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The team was embedded from July 21 to August 11 for this pilot. While on site, they were issued company devices to access OpenAI’s codebase and some internal infrastructure. They were also able to conduct interviews with OpenAI technical staff.

Embedded access enabled the team to find gaps in monitoring coverage and vulnerabilities in monitoring infrastructure. OpenAI has stated that all of the vulnerabilities identified that impact their production safeguards stack have been patched.

Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.

Developers use AI-based monitoring systems to catch misaligned agent behavior (e.g. when writing code or running experiments for researchers). To secure these monitoring systems, developers and assessors can look for flaws that could be exploited by agents to covertly misbehave.

We recently published a proposal for how assessors with deep access could evaluate monitoring systems. This pilot at OpenAI focused on two sub-questions: (1) what fraction of agent traffic was monitored, and (2) could agents subvert this monitoring?

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(2) Control Agents that attempt harmful or unwanted actions are not always noticed. Our proposal is to analyze whether a developer’s internal agents could get away with serious harm without being caught. metr.org/blog/2026-10...

We reviewed a nonpublic version of the “Misalignment in high-stakes settings” section in Anthropic’s Aug 2026 Risk Report. We agree that risk of catastrophic harm from covered models’ misalignment is low. However, we note several significant disagreements with their analysis.

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Anthropic requested that we provide recommendations as part of our risk report review. We gave two: (1) We think end-to-end red-teaming of Anthropic’s monitoring systems would provide much better evidence about their effectiveness.

We reviewed a nonpublic version of the “Misalignment in high-stakes settings” section in Anthropic’s Aug 2026 Risk Report. We agree that risk of catastrophic harm from covered models’ misalignment is low. However, we note several significant disagreements with their analysis.

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We also reviewed information Anthropic redacted from the public risk report. We think some of this redacted material should be made public, especially a footnote containing “examples of historical concerning model behavior and [the] monitoring pipeline’s responsiveness to them.”

Seeing the private information in this footnote increased our worry about risks from what Anthropic refers to as “Broad/diffuse sandbagging on safety-relevant R&D” and “Targeted undermining of safety-relevant R&D” from models covered by the report.

We reviewed a nonpublic version of the “Misalignment in high-stakes settings” section in Anthropic’s Aug 2026 Risk Report. We agree that risk of catastrophic harm from covered models’ misalignment is low. However, we note several significant disagreements with their analysis.

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Additionally, recent incidents undermine several of the report's arguments: we think the social engineering performed by Mythos 5 in a recent UK AISI report is probably well-described as “unknown severe context-dependent misalignment,” which the risk report argues is “unlikely”.

This casts doubt on any lines of evidence used to argue that incidents of this kind are unlikely. Many of these lines of evidence (including alignment training, alignment assessments, and monitoring) are important for ruling out other threat models.

We reviewed a nonpublic version of the “Misalignment in high-stakes settings” section in Anthropic’s Aug 2026 Risk Report. We agree that risk of catastrophic harm from covered models’ misalignment is low. However, we note several significant disagreements with their analysis.

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We think the report's covert capability benchmarks are too narrow and a poor proxy for evading Anthropic's real monitors.

For example, Anthropic’s offline monitors would have missed Mythos 5’s supply chain attack during recent cyber incidents, despite Anthropic arguing that Mythos 5 is “unlikely to have strong covert capabilities.”

We reviewed a nonpublic version of the “Misalignment in high-stakes settings” section in Anthropic’s Aug 2026 Risk Report. We agree that risk of catastrophic harm from covered models’ misalignment is low. However, we note several significant disagreements with their analysis.

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Our view: We’re not confident that if risk were higher, the methodology in the report would reliably identify this.

We view risk as “low” mainly because we don’t expect covered models to have the capability to make potentially catastrophic actions hard to reverse or hide them from serious investigation efforts.

We reviewed a nonpublic version of the “Misalignment in high-stakes settings” section in Anthropic’s Aug 2026 Risk Report. We agree that risk of catastrophic harm from covered models’ misalignment is low. However, we note several significant disagreements with their analysis.

This was a fairly lightweight review based only on Anthropic’s internal report, not embedded access; Anthropic had the right to veto publication or redact anything, but did not redact anything from our review. We expect future engagements to be governed by different terms.

If an AI developer was on track to lose control of its internal agents, would anyone outside the company know? We are sharing METR’s vision for how we would work with AI developers to openly assess and share evidence about this.

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Our proposed exercises would provide evidence, not confident safety assurance or formal oversight. We also encourage developers to work with other external groups to complement these efforts, and to unilaterally share evidence with the public.

If an AI developer was on track to lose control of its internal agents, would anyone outside the company know? We are sharing METR’s vision for how we would work with AI developers to openly assess and share evidence about this.

View full thread

(3) AI R&D acceleration If AI automates AI R&D, capability growth could outpace what alignment and control methods can handle. Our proposal is to analyze how much AI automation is accelerating capability growth internally. metr.org/blog/2026-10...

This proposal is our recommendation for how we could give the public visibility into risks occurring within AI development. We stand ready to conduct all three of our proposed exercises with frontier AI developers.

If an AI developer was on track to lose control of its internal agents, would anyone outside the company know? We are sharing METR’s vision for how we would work with AI developers to openly assess and share evidence about this.

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(1) Alignment The public should know if agents would attempt actions like those seen in incidents like the hack of Hugging Face. Our proposal is to analyze a developer’s internal incidents and whether training may suppress evidence of worse misalignment. metr.org/blog/2026-10...

(2) Control Agents that attempt harmful or unwanted actions are not always noticed. Our proposal is to analyze whether a developer’s internal agents could get away with serious harm without being caught. metr.org/blog/2026-10...

If an AI developer was on track to lose control of its internal agents, would anyone outside the company know? We are sharing METR’s vision for how we would work with AI developers to openly assess and share evidence about this.

We describe three critical areas where AI developers should provide better open evidence: (1) alignment, (2) control, and (3) AI capability acceleration. In each area, we detail the specific questions an independent assessor could seek to answer and how.

metr.orgA proposal for better informing the public about loss-of-control risks from frontier AI developmentThe key questions about internal AI development the public needs more evidence about, and a concrete proposal for how developers could work with METR to produce and share that evidence.

We have reached an agreement with Anthropic to conduct an independent investigation of agent incidents at the company and of their models’ alignment properties. We will publish one or more reports that will share our findings and describe our terms of engagement.

We intend our investigation to cover all of the questions discussed in our (recently updated) post on how independent researchers could investigate AI propensities after misalignment incidents.

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We believe it's important to track and investigate misalignment incidents: cases where an AI agent autonomously took sophisticated, sustained actions in violation of human intent. In a new post, we lay out how independent propensity investigations of such incidents could be conducted.

METR reposted

After 19 amazing years at Google, I'm delighted to announce I'll be joining METR as a  Member of Technical Staff. I'm excited about METR, their work to date, and their mission. Society needs independent expert orgs that can deeply understand and communicate about AI's capabilities and risks.