Michael K. Ingram

Michael K. Ingram

@michaelkingram.bsky.social

Intel analyst and writer. Political, economic, and social analysis of these interesting times. Defend the Republic www.michaelkingram.com

233 followers357 following1.8K posts

We live in a golden age of negation. It is far easier to take down a burgeoning line of thought with a few googled facts than it is to formulate it. Social media promotes herd orthodoxy by brigading anyone who steps out of existence. Earnest belief is easily mocked.

I'm involved in many discussions with artists, and it's sometimes shocking how easily they turn on those who even obliquely question the dominant narrative. That's bad. We need our artists asking hard questions and creating new paradigms of thought, even--especially!--if they make us uncomfortable.

When it's all said and done, the consumer launch of AI is going to be seen as one of the most awful flops in history. The technology will certainly end up making a very big impact, but it's crazy how fast these people turned everyone against the idea of AI by shoehorning it into the dumbest places.

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Instead, because I had a brainfart and couldn't remember the word "API"I had to fight New Google to describe it because it now thinks it knows what I want more than I do. It's enraging. Google used to be predictable and efficient. Now it's a fight to try to get the results you need.

When it's all said and done, the consumer launch of AI is going to be seen as one of the most awful flops in history. The technology will certainly end up making a very big impact, but it's crazy how fast these people turned everyone against the idea of AI by shoehorning it into the dumbest places.

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But we've only just begun to see the backlash against AI in the consumer sphere. Some of that was inevitable with a radical technology, but most of it is just over-promising a product that would, right out of the box, transform your life. The reality is that in many cases it makes the product work.

When it's all said and done, the consumer launch of AI is going to be seen as one of the most awful flops in history. The technology will certainly end up making a very big impact, but it's crazy how fast these people turned everyone against the idea of AI by shoehorning it into the dumbest places.

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But they are just not delivering... at least on the consumer side. General purpose chatbots can be entertaining and even useful, but I struggle to think of a single time I've had "AI" crammed into an existing product and enjoyed the experience.

When it's all said and done, the consumer launch of AI is going to be seen as one of the most awful flops in history. The technology will certainly end up making a very big impact, but it's crazy how fast these people turned everyone against the idea of AI by shoehorning it into the dumbest places.

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And people wanted AI. They were excited about it! But Silicon Valley disrupters got high on their own supply (of ketamine) and convinced entire industries that if they didn't split an AI-enhanced product, all the other toaster manufacturers would leave them in the dust.

Between early returns on AI-ifying everything and the general hype storm that they built up, they've created these massive valuations that have been leveraged into absolutely unheard-of investments in hardware and facilities.

When it's all said and done, the consumer launch of AI is going to be seen as one of the most awful flops in history. The technology will certainly end up making a very big impact, but it's crazy how fast these people turned everyone against the idea of AI by shoehorning it into the dumbest places.

Not complaining too hard because I want it to stay on and have time to grow, but 1.5 episodes in... how tf does Alien Earth have "universal acclaim"? There's enough there to see it rounding into something good, but wow are these two episodes unfocused.

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Last complaint: there's a character that's 11 years old that (for yada yada plot reasons) she's played by an adult. But she talks like she's 6. It just doesn't feel like the dialogue is coming from someone who has recently been around kids of that age, and it makes some of those scenes painful.

Anyway, I'll keep watching, because the subject matter is interesting and I want the show to stay on the air. For that reason, I'm glad it seems like people like it a lot more than I do. But I really hope it hits its stride soon.

Not complaining too hard because I want it to stay on and have time to grow, but 1.5 episodes in... how tf does Alien Earth have "universal acclaim"? There's enough there to see it rounding into something good, but wow are these two episodes unfocused.

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The one thing that I have always felt loved about the Alien universe is the analog, CRT tech that just looks like it makes sense. Sure, it's doing things that we can't do now, but you see the wires, you see the dirty spots on the keys and lenders that get used.

And while there's definitely some well done stuff of that type, a major plot point revolves around one of the biggest flashy lights techno-magical hand waives that you'll see in SF, and that feels like it violates something foundational to the Alien ethos.

Not complaining too hard because I want it to stay on and have time to grow, but 1.5 episodes in... how tf does Alien Earth have "universal acclaim"? There's enough there to see it rounding into something good, but wow are these two episodes unfocused.

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I'm not even actually trying to complain that hard. Writing is hard. Directing is hard. Acting is hard. Mostly, I'm just having a hard time seeing how critics are gushing. Like, there's something there, but there are some serious motivational inconsistencies and "huh?" dialogue.

Like... why the fuck end episode 2 with "Stinkfist"? That song has nothing thematic or tonal that has anything to do with the episode. Great song, but it kind of encapsulates my feelings about the first two episodes: a random handful of assorted ideas with no real logical connective tissue.

Not complaining too hard because I want it to stay on and have time to grow, but 1.5 episodes in... how tf does Alien Earth have "universal acclaim"? There's enough there to see it rounding into something good, but wow are these two episodes unfocused.

Outside of self interest, there's another reason Trump might want interest rates lower. There are a lot of "zombie corporations" that are perennially unprofitable and survive on new funding and/or low rate loans. If the economy slows, they're in rough shape. If rates also go up, they're toast.

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It could be interesting since IIRC the biggest driver of inflation is wages. Drive a boatload of Americans out of work and you just went a long way toward keeping inflation low. Unfortunately, it will enrage the unemployed, harm peoples' well-being, and violate the other half of the mandate.

Outside of self interest, there's another reason Trump might want interest rates lower. There are a lot of "zombie corporations" that are perennially unprofitable and survive on new funding and/or low rate loans. If the economy slows, they're in rough shape. If rates also go up, they're toast.

Tagging this thread about a career in domain-specific writing and communications in case it can be of use to anyone looking at these tags. Feel free to suggest more. #writing #writingq #career #careeradvice #writer #careerdevelopment

Michael K. Ingram@michaelkingram.bsky.social

Random piece of career advice that I like to share every once in a while: If you are a good writer and have some domain-specific knowledge that applies to almost any job that makes money, hybrid careers from technical writing to trade-media journalism are real options.

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Think about it: what's going to happen in court when a project manager says "we left the documentation to ChatGPT." Even if we were at a point that AI really could do it better, good luck getting a civil jury to see it way when the plaintiffs trot out buckets of bizarre AI hallucination stories.

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One potential emerging barrier is the adoption of generative AI, but I don't think it's a huge issue in the medium term future. The jobs that are most at risk from AI are the simple ones. The kind of jobs that entry level tech writers with no domain experience do.

I don't care what tech CEOs tell you, AI will have the power to do a lot of things in this sphere, but it will be a long time before people overcome their (justified) skepticism about an AI telling them how to repair a heart valve or design a safer jet engine.

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And don't sleep on whatever it is that you know well enough to be worrying about. You might think it's too niche, but you might be surprised to find that there are entire magazines devoted to that topic. Why? Because people make money from these jobs and knowledge is a competitive advantage.

Maybe too much information, but frequently the model is too send a publication directly to the people in the industry for free. The money is made from advertisers who are very happy to pay for the right to be in front of the eyeballs of exactly the people that need their products.

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If you just think you have the raw writing ability but don't have much experience or education in writing, there's going to be some things that you don't know. Do research, accept editor feedback graciously, and above all, REVISE BEFORE YOU SUBMIT.

I can't over emphasize that last part enough. The difference between a pro writer and an amateur with some talent is 80% in the revisions. The first draft of everything is shit. If you submit that, you are likely going to be seen as a shit writer.

It could be a little as an English minor or some publication credits. How do you get published? One of the easiest ways is to get in touch with a trade media outlet and offer to write something technical. If you've got the goods, they'll likely be very excited to have the content.

Random piece of career advice that I like to share every once in a while: If you are a good writer and have some domain-specific knowledge that applies to almost any job that makes money, hybrid careers from technical writing to trade-media journalism are real options.

Systems of systems of systems. It's impossible to know which (or even how many) fuses have been lit in such a massive interconnected machine like the global economic-political order. But we are going to see things "randomly" explode for decades as causality loops its way through the world.

A disturbingly rare, well-balanced take on the state of AI. It's increasingly clear that the people pushing LLMs don't understand the technology, and they're setting the terms for the discussion. Hence, it's usually a fucking stupid discussion.

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Slightly different domain, but all of these companies pushing customer-facing AI will eventually realize that it's going to be seen as digital polyester--perhaps functional, but cheap and tacky. Mark my words, "written/spoken by real people," will be mid-upper tier selling point very soon.

Katrina Navickas@katrinanavickas.bsky.social

Someone on here compared AI produced material as "digital asbestos " which in a few decades' time we will have to work out how to eradicate from the fabric of research.