Scott Rinear

Scott Rinear

@munderdifflinff.bsky.social

Married my best friend, 2 rad daughters, Seahawks, Mariners, Hip Hop, Comedy, Fantasy Football | ‘22 @FSWA Finalist FF Series | ‘23 @FSWA Finalist Football Writer of Year Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/MunderDifflinFF

3.5K followers2.1K following3.1K posts

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Working on my fantasy matchup strength heat maps for Week 7 Based on FPTS allowed per game to each fantasy position compared to the average FPTS scored by their opponents per game (POA: Points Over Average) Typically I just show the ranks, but here are the POA allowed per game Starting with QB

Headed to a Halloween party, wife and I are going as Moira & Johnny Rose from Schitt’s Creek At the party, every ~20-30 minutes I’m going to secretly make my painted on eyebrows slightly bigger, so by the end of the party they’re humongous, see if anyone notices

⬇️Multiple stat tables showing a variety of NFL team defensive stats through 6 weeks 1st table defensive passing stats compared to opponent average (COA) 1st column is Pass Rate, the way to read this; DET opponents have, on average, passed the ball at a rate 15.3% higher than against other teams

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⬇️Multiple stat tables showing a variety of NFL team defensive stats through 6 weeks 1st table defensive passing stats compared to opponent average (COA) 1st column is Pass Rate, the way to read this; DET opponents have, on average, passed the ball at a rate 15.3% higher than against other teams

⤵️Team Defense Stats entering Week 7⤵️ This table shows where each team's defense stacks up across the following stats: -Points allowed per game -INTs per opponent pass attempt -Pressure rate -Sack rate (sacks per opponent drop back) -Turnover rate Hey Vikings! Chill the F out!

Here is the same data but sorted by team (alphabetical order) The darker the green, the better the defense is at that metric, hence the solid green line spanning all of the Vikings' numbers

Some helpful data when making those last minute toss-up fantasy decisions comes from Vegas For the Week 7 slate, here are: 🚨Over/Under total score lines 🚨Game spreads 🚨Corresponding implied total points for each team Sorted from highest to lowest implied point totals

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn’t exist, and also convincing me to spend any kind of draft capital on Marshawn Lloyd So in summary, it’s the tricking the whole world thing, but also the Marshawn Lloyd thing

Week 7 Fantasy Strength of Schedule Matchup strengths vs each fantasy position updated for Week 7 Showing rest of season matchups and next 4 games for QBs, RBs, RBs receiving, WRs, TEs, and DSTs Posting heat maps in separate post Available for free at my Patreon: www.patreon.com/MunderDiffli...

patreon.com2026 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule Week 7 | MunderDifflinFFWeek 7 Edition of my fantasy football strength of schedule and matchup strengths is ready. I use a "Points Over Average" system, tracking wh

Working on my fantasy matchup strength heat maps for Week 7 Based on FPTS allowed per game to each fantasy position compared to the average FPTS scored by their opponents per game (POA: Points Over Average) Typically I just show the ranks, but here are the POA allowed per game Starting with QB

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Here is DST: JAX has been the worst matchup for the DST position, holding fantasy DSTs 3.4 PPG below average LAC has been the best DST matchup, allowing DSTs to score 4.9 more PPG than average

And here is RB again, but this is specifically for RBs "Points From Receiving" (PFR) only (0.5PPR) Surprisingly, ARI is the toughest matchup for RBs scoring fantasy points via receiving (-3.8 PPG) MIA has been the best matchup with a POA of +4.3

Working on my fantasy matchup strength heat maps for Week 7 Based on FPTS allowed per game to each fantasy position compared to the average FPTS scored by their opponents per game (POA: Points Over Average) Typically I just show the ranks, but here are the POA allowed per game Starting with QB

View full thread

Working on my fantasy matchup strength heat maps for Week 7 Based on FPTS allowed per game to each fantasy position compared to the average FPTS scored by their opponents per game (POA: Points Over Average) Typically I just show the ranks, but here are the POA allowed per game Starting with QB

Toughest matchup for QBs: SEA is allowing the fantasy QB position to score 6 fewer PPG than what their opponents' QBs have averaged per game season-long Most fantasy-friendly for QBs: DET is allowing QBs to score 6.6 more PPG than DET's opponents have averaged

Here is POA allowed per game for the fantasy RB position **All data based on 0.5PPR** CLE stands as the toughest RB matchup from this angle, holding the RB position 4.7 PPG below their opponents' RB average PPG Best matchup is NO, allowing the RB position to score 8.9 more PPG than average

There are four 5+ win teams (three undefeated) in the NFL through Week 6 Here’s the combined win-loss records of their opponents so far 1) SF (6-0) Opponents: 12-22 (0.353) 2) KC (5-0) Opponents: 9-20 (0.310) 3) MIN (5-0) Opponents: 11-18 (0.379) 4) BUF (5-1) Opponents: 14-21 (0.400)

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Scott Rinear@munderdifflinff.bsky.social

9 teams 7 wins already If I get… 1) 27 from Purdy/Evans 2) 22+ from CMC It’ll be 9-0, which would be my first ever clean sweep of a week So I guess that’s not really the same at all 😆

Remember when the Rams were the first ever team to win the Super Bowl in the preseason when Aaron Donald unretired? (Yes the Seahawks suck right now too but the rams suck worser)

📈RB Points From Receiving (PFR)📈 This is something I've tracked for a while now Same process as the rest of my SOS data, but specifically matchup strength based on adjusted FPTS allowed to RBs via receiving output only Multiple examples of teams stingy vs RB overall, but friendly to pass catching

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I'll be updating this each week along with the rest of my fantasy SOS data charts (see post below) bsky.app/profile/mund...

Scott Rinear@munderdifflinff.bsky.social

📈Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule📈 Week 6 Edition Based on FPTS allowed "over average" per game to each fantasy position: QB, WR, RB, TE, DST 🟢More fantasy friendly 🔴More difficult opponent I chart "Next 4" games and rest of season Here is the DST position Next 4 games (rest in thread)

📈RB Points From Receiving (PFR)📈 This is something I've tracked for a while now Same process as the rest of my SOS data, but specifically matchup strength based on adjusted FPTS allowed to RBs via receiving output only Multiple examples of teams stingy vs RB overall, but friendly to pass catching

View full thread

Some examples of tough matchups for RBs overall, but friendly for pts allowed to RB PFR: ATL: 8th-fewest pts allowed to RBs overall, but 7th-most pts allowed to RBs via receiving JAX vs RB: 11th toughest vs RB PFR: 25th WAS vs RB: 5th vs PFR: 19th

Flips side: Examples of good matchups for RBs overall, but tough for pts allowed to RB PFR: NO: vs RB: 24th vs PFR: 3rd-toughest LAC vs RB: 22nd vs RB PFR: 6th-toughest LV vs RB: 25th vs PFR: 11th

📈RB Points From Receiving (PFR)📈 This is something I've tracked for a while now Same process as the rest of my SOS data, but specifically matchup strength based on adjusted FPTS allowed to RBs via receiving output only Multiple examples of teams stingy vs RB overall, but friendly to pass catching

Like with all of these charts, green means more fantasy-friendly, red means tougher Based on FPTS allowed "over average" Using just raw FPTS allowed does not factor in the caliber of RB a defense has faced Here is the rest of season chart for RB PFR, sorted by season-long SOS from best to worst

Happy waiver wire eve 🚨🚨🚨 If you’re making waiver decisions, especially with some of the potential shorter term fill in starters, check out my fantasy strength of schedule charts⬇️⬇️⬇️ These show the opponent strength in adjusted FPTS allowed to each position over the next 4 weeks

Scott Rinear@munderdifflinff.bsky.social

📈Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule📈 Week 6 Edition Based on FPTS allowed "over average" per game to each fantasy position: QB, WR, RB, TE, DST 🟢More fantasy friendly 🔴More difficult opponent I chart "Next 4" games and rest of season Here is the DST position Next 4 games (rest in thread)