Nashville Severe Weather

Close Call If We Get Dry Trick or Treating. Tuesday's blog here buff.ly/zfFqQ3g

Rain Returns Halloweekend, But When? Monday blog here buff.ly/CjNHadI

We apologize to users of our brand new, fancy-pants, website. Some of the graphics are displaying with symbols for Saturday and Sunday we haven't seen before. We're looking into it.

Our next chance of rain is approximately next Sunday. It also happens to be that the sunset next Sunday will be at 4:50p.

Headed down to the Titans vs. Browns game? No poncho today! 70s and lots of Sun. ☀️

Seasonal fall night. Chilly in the wee hours.

I don't know exactly when National Get Outside Day is - but I think it should be today.

Have you seen the El Niño hype on social media? Check out our two meteorologists discussing what it means for the Nashville area. Hype-free. Hyper-Local. buff.ly/4oenYX6

Different day, same story.

Drought Continues to Worsen, No Rain Anytime Soon. Thursday's blog here buff.ly/Gvs6pF3

Trending worse (as expected) in the drought map this week. Extreme drought for a good chunk of us. But, moderate drought still hanging on for those in N Robertson/Sumner and E Wilson. Grats to y'all! Still no rain in the 7 day forecast.

Chilly this morning. Mid 70's this afternoon.

So dry

If you liked yesterday's weather, you'll enjoy today - along with the next 6 days.

Around 50° now, warming up nicely into the mid 70s. Still no rain in the forecast over at least the next seven days.

Have You Ever Seen The Rain? Monday blog here buff.ly/gB7Cnj9

Copy + paste forecast. Cool mornings with mild afternoons. Not too shabby.

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Some of us are likely in the upper 40's. Most in the low 50's. 62º forecasted high.

Fall Weather Here for the Weekend, No Rain In Sight. Friyay blog here buff.ly/hXzeYrk

In all likelihood, it seems that yesterday's high temperature of 92° (which yes, did break the daily record high) was our last 90°+ day of the year. Our latest 90°+ day in a calendar year is October 19 and while long-range models do suggest us warming up next week, none think we get close to 90°.

It was 76º at midnight. 46º for the low toinght. See ya later, Summer!

Cold Front Tracker 2000 - Tomorrow's cold front is currently coming through the Oklahoma City metro with a stiff north wind and temps in the 50s behind it. We'll be in the low-mid 60s and falling by this time tomorrow.

Don't you know? Don't you know, things can change Things'll go your way... If you hold on for one more day Can you hold on for one more day? Things'll go your way... Hold on for one more day. Check out the revamped site: NashSevereWx.com

Worsening Drought, Fall Weekend Ahead. Thursday blog here buff.ly/53yq9TV

Pretty soon you'll need something for your hot cocoa. :)https://buff.ly/MNrTqkh

Extreme drought now covers portions of our counties, most concentrated in Cheatham/Davidson. We're now over 11 inches below average on rainfall YTD at BNA. However, area reservoirs are in great shape, running very close to normal levels. Top notch water management happening there.

It's like a reward.

Outflow boundary (dashed line) continues to slowly push S, sparking off the occasional shower, but things continue to dwindle down. / 9:35p

Blob of heavier rain continues to weaken as it pushes E into Sumner. Elsewhere, the outflow boundary continues to undercut any additional showers trying to form, which leads me to believe most, if not all activity tonight will remain N of I-40. / 9:12p

NWS Nashville has allowed the SWS to expire as the general weakening trend continues. Heavy rain w/ gusty winds continues to be mostly confined to Robertson and Sumner, although some may leak into northern Davidson. / 8:55p

Outflow boundary has pushed in front of the line, which should help with additional weakening. Heavy rain with gusts up to 30-40mph continues from Pleasant View thru Orlinda. No recent lightning strikes, good news for NSC game - for now. / 8:40p

Pleasant View, Springfield, Cross Plains next in line for heavy rain and gusts up to 40mph. SWS remains in effect until 8:45p. / 8:26p

Lightning continues to be on the downtrend, which is a good sign. Regardless, heavy rain still possible. Radar reading gusts up to 30-40mph in the circled areas. / 8:15p

Slight uptick has caused NWS Nashville to go ahead and issue a SWS for parts of Robertson, Sumner and Davidson. Heavy rain and gusts up to 40mph possible. Generally moving WSW. / 8:05p

Things holding together slightly better than models had anticipated, but still on the general downtrend. Robertson and Sumer still the favorites to get rain, but possible for anyone. / 7:52p

Based on current trends, relatively higher rain chances appear to be set for Robertson and Sumner counties but doesn't mean rain is impossible elsewhere. Storms continue to gradually weaken - as expected. / 6:45p

Regarding the Nashville SC game and other evening plans - we're watching this cluster of storms sitting off to our NW. Models continue to be adamant about these falling apart, perhaps maybe holding together enough for some showers N of I-40. I don't foresee any sort of delays related to lightning.

Not to sound like a broken record - but we keep breaking records. BNA reached 93° today, which not only beats the old daily record of 89°, but is also the latest in a calendar year we've ever reached 92°+.

A few quick, isolated showers are moving NE, mostly confined to north of I-40. Forecast for the remainder of the day remains on track. buff.ly/6U9hNMJ / 2:35p

Rain Chances This Evening, Fall Arrives Friday. Wednesday blog here buff.ly/Xlsw75h

The morning run of the HRRR model shows evening showers, perhaps a storm, falling apart upon arrival to the area, giving those N of I-40 the better chance of seeing some rain. No guarantees, but this seems to be the general consensus amongst models.

The evening run of the HRRR model shows the cluster of showers/storms (ETA Wednesday evening) holding together better than previous runs thought. We'll see if this is a trend or just a one-off, but something to keep in mind for evening plans tomorrow.

BNA has reached 91°, breaking the old daily record high of 88° set in 1947. This is the 11th daily record high we've broken this year.

Three More Hot Days Before A Fall Weekend. Tuesday's blog here buff.ly/enNWzng

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We've reached 89°, which breaks the daily record high of 88° set in 1969. Waking up to 55° feels like forever ago.

Record Highs Possible Tuesday - Thursday. But Then... Monday's blog here buff.ly/FESCGIQ

Not a drought buster, but yesterday's rainfall was beneficial - with most of us receiving between 0.5 - 1". BNA is still 10.9" behind where we ought to be for the year.

Next weekend 👀. Before that, mist/drizzle should let up sometime between mid-morning and lunch, could be a buzzer beater if it's gone for the Titans game. Probably a dry week ahead, with temperatures well above average Monday - Thursday.