Nick Huntington-Klein

Nick Huntington-Klein

@nickchk.com

Econ prof at Seattle University. Book The Effect http://theeffectbook.net out now! Substack https://nickchk.substack.com/ Twitter @nickchk

8.6K followers287 following1.4K posts

The magic format I am worst at by a decent margin is cube. I don't know why but I never manage to *get it* no matter which cube Also whenever I play online I make really awful misplays I would never make on paper Anyway it's good you don't need that solid a record to make arena power cube free

It is really telling that my record with decks I think are completely broken is, like, fine, while my record with decks I think are ok I guess is "that's where all my 7-xs come from" Thankfully I can be reassured that if I know a deck is awful it is indeed awful

i have no interest in wading into the chart wars because it seems to me like there is some very real and valid pain that has found arguing about misunderstood economic statistics to be an outlet. whether they are technically wrong is not the issue and is a response that could never be accepted

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it all reminds me of the time when a friend on facebook went on a rant about how economics as a field does not think nurse work counts as labor because nurses are mostly women, which was incorrect.

i have no interest in wading into the chart wars because it seems to me like there is some very real and valid pain that has found arguing about misunderstood economic statistics to be an outlet. whether they are technically wrong is not the issue and is a response that could never be accepted

but also if your processing takes the form of being very confidently and snarkily wrong about the nerdy technical shit i happen to know about, i have a brain where that is equivalent to dropping to your knees and begging me to please please whatever i do please don't find you sympathetic

i logged into my school account in an AWS instance today and now until tomorrow i am 100% locked out of all my university stuff. no emails, no student messages, i can't do any grading. shucks i hope i don't log into AWS tomorrow

The toddler has a Little People version of Rosa Parks and he also has a bus toy with seats in it and I'm just sitting here watching him and sweating profusely

It's that time again, and there's a slight change!!! GPT-6: Fails Gemini 3.1-pro: Fails Opus 6: **Success**! I asked it twice and it was right both times, both in terms of calculating who wins and the chain of logic that works out why Opus 6 is the first model that has ever succeeded on this task.

Inspired by @proptermalone.bsky.social 's plan of having Opus 4.6 figure out the matches for bluesky 3CB (which i will definitely be participating in) I tried this task once again with Opus 4.6. It does better than previous models! But it still gets the wrong answer.

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It's that time again, and there's a slight change!!! GPT-6: Fails Gemini 3.1-pro: Fails Opus 6: **Success**! I asked it twice and it was right both times, both in terms of calculating who wins and the chain of logic that works out why Opus 6 is the first model that has ever succeeded on this task.

Inspired by @proptermalone.bsky.social 's plan of having Opus 4.6 figure out the matches for bluesky 3CB (which i will definitely be participating in) I tried this task once again with Opus 4.6. It does better than previous models! But it still gets the wrong answer.

i have an op-ed in the actual newspaper next week on a topic that positions me against an opinion i'd call "nextdoor/facebook-typical". how many angry emails should i prepare for

i am still on facebook for the purposes of sharing baby photos with family and man there is not an algorithm on this planet less able to figure out what i want to see. like not even malicious, just incompetent.

every time i log in: - right-wing culture war stuff - christian vs atheist "debates" in the form of extremely smug memes - people whose politics i agree with but who post exclusively about people who send them mean comments - inflation pregnancy vore fetish pages??? as in all three combined

my daughter's 7th birthday happened recently and every child, without any prior coordination, knew all the words to two different Zara Larsson songs. you may use this as a barometer of your in-touchness

she has been my daughter's favorite artist for about a month, which is about how long she typically holds a favorite, so i've heard a lot of it now. i'd say she has two good tracks (Lush Life and Midnight Sun) and a whole lot of pretty generic pop music you could very easily skip forever

i am a drinker of actual alcohol but my experiences with non-alcoholic drinks allows me to summarize: old NA beer brands: awful new NA beer brands: really shockingly good any NA that's not beer: it's not bad or anything but also it's just extremely expensive juice.

yeah lemme just pay $4/can for "non-alcoholic wine" that somehow tastes exactly like a slightly less sweet grape juice and not at all like wine, or $50 for a bottle of "non-alcoholic scotch" which is, like, some herb water i guess that has nothing to do with whiskey

One of my empirical-work econ takes is that I think academia should be *more* open to publishing work based on best-we-can-do weak data, as long as there's really no other way to address the question and that work is very clear about what it can and can't actually say.

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But the number of useful more-signal-than-noise papers I've skipped bc I know that R2 will peace out between the part of the paper where it becomes clear there's a gap and the part where I take the gap seriously is a lot.

(and besides, many of the "clean" papers have similarly important gaps, they're just ones we're used to so we let them slide. the difference between "this flaw is unacceptable" and "this flaw is fine" is usually a social one not a rigorous one)

One of my empirical-work econ takes is that I think academia should be *more* open to publishing work based on best-we-can-do weak data, as long as there's really no other way to address the question and that work is very clear about what it can and can't actually say.

Like we don't need a weak entry on what the returns to education are. But there are a ton of questions where something suggestive or with iffy identification would be a clear plus relative to what we have. But this is very hard to publish. Lampposts and lost keys and all that.

There are lots of cities where driving is difficult because of heavy traffic or nutty drivers. Portland is the only city that's extremely confusing to drive in and would be equally confusing if you were the only car on the road.

This episode is interesting as it's about a research group explicitly trying dozens to hundreds of quasi experiments, progressing only with the ones that "work", backing them up with a bunch of robustness tests, and then extrapolating a lot from the results. podcastaddict.com/freakonomics...

podcastaddict.comFreakonomics Radio - 668. Do Taylor Swift and Bad Bunny Have Blood on Their Hands?Listen to Freakonomics Radio - 668. Do Taylor Swift and Bad Bunny Have Blood on Their Hands? by Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher on Podcast Addict. As one researcher told us: “We’ve engineered a world wh...

the "gotta hand it to em" the first time around was rapid approval and aided development of a vaccine that saved hundreds of thousands of lives, and this time it's "uhhh i guess they got rid of the penny"