O.S.

O.S.

@os513.bsky.social

Concerned with mortality analyses.

32 followers88 following146 posts

🚨New interactive Tool. Select age group (all ages, 65+, 45-64, 15-44) & any number of countries to compare ASMR/100k. Weekly, annual or seasonal (W26-W25) views. Overlay baseline (trend/mean/log-linear) & CIs. ESP13 weekly interpolated populations where possible. os513ghost.github.io/Mortality-Ex...

Tool update. Age Standardised Mortality Rates/100k. 15-44, 45-64, 65+, all ages. ESP13 5y bins 90+. Weekly interpolated pops. W99s included for Sweden. Germany 10y bins to 40 (they're 15-44 rates are actually 20-44). Select nations and age and click colour palette to highlight. t.co/7zAdkU8Id1

A did you know moment. Did you know that these Multiple Causes of Death (MCD's), that are secondary to any Underlying Causes of Death (UCD's) on this 15-24yo chart are coincidentally elevated, during that age group's vaccination drive?

The latest Hamas published Gaza Strip deaths, normalised to end 2022 populations, w/ natural deaths estimations removed (based on Turkish 2018 deaths age structure). It's quite similar to the original publication. It supports discriminate targeting & undermines "genocide" claims.

O.S. reposted

HAMAS IS INSIDE GAZA’S HOSPITALS. MSF revealed that Hamas terrorists are using hospitals in Gaza and that medical staff can no longer operate safely in Nasser hospital. Where is the UN’s condemnation? Where is Greta? Terrorists are inside hospitals. What are you waiting for?

Anti-zionism is a uniquely protected & particularly genocidal brand of antisemitism. While antisemitism in general is (still somewhat) frowned upon, Anti-zionism enjoys complete legitimacy & is even considered a desirable position to hold in most circles.

🚨UPDATE This one of a kind tool (in the world) allows you to select any number of countries & causes of death & view the age standardised rates by age group (all ages, 65+, 45-64 & 15-44). I've updated most countries to 2023. 🔗 t.co/1XIVeVwGhR

BTW X has been spitting antisemitic coded incitement & hate like mad in January. 400 million views for this tiny sample of accounts, with posts specificallyabout Jews. X is the largest proponent of antisemitism normalisation in human history.

Norway🇳🇴 now permanently stagnating. They simply stopped improving. Soon, their summer troughs will be as high as their winter peaks.

I think maybe something is going on w/ the Bulgarian data. It can't be this preliminary though. It can't be PFE (pull forward- baseline suitability)🤔

🇦🇹🇳🇱🇸🇪 ASMR/100k. ESP13, 5y bins (90+). Weekly interpolated populations. W99s included. 2015-19 average baseline,adjusted for 2013-19 off-seasonal mortality. Eurostat data.

December 2025 on X has been successful for antisemites, communists & grifters. 1.3 Billion views. At 10% organic traffic, this tiny sample destabilised & incited at a rate of 3K/minute throughout December.

O.S. reposted

This is good. NHS pressure continues to decline; even the BBC health reporters seem half-hearted in their continued attempts to hype it up. ("Waiting times WORSEN in NEARLY A QUARTER of hospitals ... "So they improved in three q... [shut-up, shut-up] ... and so overall bett... ? [shot rings out]).

Scandinavian women seasonal age standardised mortality rates per 100/k. Absolutely nothing in Sweden with it's narrow percived waves. Finland & Norway show some elevation, unique to a few seasons. Perhaps it wasn't a good idea to try to delay the periodic arrivals at the HITs.

Seasonal (w36-W35) age standardised mortality rates for 🇳🇱Netherlands. ESP135 y bins 90+. Weekly interpolated populations. The all ages observation is friven by 75+ mortality & is masking elevation in the younger cohorts.

UPDATE. X view counts on September 2025. Sample of 4 accounts reveals that if anything, antisemitic content on X is still growing, despite Israel-Hamas war slowing down. X remains the largest proponent of antisemitism legitimisation in human history.

A did you know moment. Did you know that there are more Arabs w/ full Israeli citizenship & equal rights in Israel, than there are Jews in all of Europe & the Arab world combined?

Primary objective has been achieved. All live Israeli Hostages have been released. But disarmament & de-radicalisation are as far as they've been. Let those who recognise "a Palestinian state" step in.

O.S. reposted

Without Israel's air defences, shelters & warning systems, Israel would have the same number of casualties in a week, than Gaza had in two years. 1/n

A did you know moment. Consanguineous marriages in Gaza account for 39.9 & 45.2% of the current generation & the previous generation respectively. First-cousin marriages make up the majority of cases, contributing significantly to the high rates of inherited genetic disorders in the population.

It's claimed (by someone rather random tbh) that the map here, shows real wages change (%) from 1994 to 2024. In that case Italy & Spain stand out as both losers & (LE) winners. Huh🤔

David Lammy: <Speakes to "Syrian Foreign Minister", as part of the British efforts to urge a peaceful resolution.> Jolani's ISIS Jihadists: <Continue their genocide (but really) of the Syrian Druze population> *Just imagine I stuck one of the super graphic clips of Syrian Druze being executed.

These were done by someone else who is not on this platform x-@orwell2022. shows extreme temperatures impact in mortality is country (latitude) dependent- how well local systemic adaptaion mitigates the impact such as it is.

There has been some publications recently, regarding NZ mortality: Things that I have posted years ago (elsewhere). One of the important & interesting insights that remain hidden though, is that 45-64s had a *very* high uptick. bsky.app/profile/os51...

O.S.@os513.bsky.social

This might be a surprise to many, but these age specific crude mortality rates per 100k, from New Zealand, Australia & Sweden (for some reason) suggest an alternative narrative. 1/2

Pretty much done, w/ available data. CZ & EE had to be excluded (no 2023 data at the moment. DE-> national. Some missing NUTS. The Canary islands remind me of NZ's pattern, w/ low winter mortality during 2021. bsky.app/profile/os51... Here is the link to the tool: public.tableau.com/app/profile/...

public.tableau.compublic.tableau.com
O.S.@os513.bsky.social

You'll be able to select any week range 2020-2024 & see standardised excess, defaulting to 2012-19 trends (specified when hovered- you can see the timeline of how the rates & baseline look). ESP13, 5y bins (90+), static average pops. Added NL & EL 2015-19 trends & SE w/ W99s.

You'll be able to select any week range 2020-2024 & see standardised excess, defaulting to 2012-19 trends (specified when hovered- you can see the timeline of how the rates & baseline look). ESP13, 5y bins (90+), static average pops. Added NL & EL 2015-19 trends & SE w/ W99s.

O.S.@os513.bsky.social

Well...work in progress. You'd be able to select any (week ending) date range 2020-W01 to 2024-W52, see the age standardised excess in each sub national area & hover to see the rates & baseline. Eurostat has some broken data & bugs (for me) to sort, it looks. When it gets close, I'll post a link.

And... Norway's sub national Age-Standardised excess (2012-19 trends) is now added too. If you want a lint to the tool, just ask & you shall receive.

Well...work in progress. You'd be able to select any (week ending) date range 2020-W01 to 2024-W52, see the age standardised excess in each sub national area & hover to see the rates & baseline. Eurostat has some broken data & bugs (for me) to sort, it looks. When it gets close, I'll post a link.

France is all done. First 4 sample (They have loads). 2013-19 baseline though, instead of 2012-19. They don't give data earlier than 2013. I might just post the map so you can play, adding as I go along. We'll see. Thus far I'm talking to myself, so what's the difference? bsky.app/profile/os51...

O.S.@os513.bsky.social

Denmark sub national areas (NUTS2) Age Standardised Mortality Rates per 100k & 2012-19 Week specific trends (3 weeks middle averages). ESP13, 5y bins (90+), Static average populations. 2020-2024. ->Earlier than expected winter peaks in zones 1 & 2. Significant & continuous excess in 2021 in zone 3.

Here is Italy's data. Lombardia & Marche high & first. Valle d'Aosta a lot higher than the rest 2 weeks later. bsky.app/profile/os51...

O.S.@os513.bsky.social

I've started updating this sub national (NUTS2) age standardised excess map tool to end 2024. (public.tableau.com/app/profile/...). Here is a sample of Spain. Focusing on early 2020. Madrid & Castilla-La Mancha are a lot higher than the rest. Eurostat data. ESP13, 5y bins (90+) static average pops.

Five X accounts alone have had a billion & a half views in the month of June 2025. X is the largest proponent of Nazi hate normalisation in human history. There are likely 100's of millions of instances per hour, where hate is induced, under the guise of free speech absolutism.

Here it is Cumulatively (the Amish unsmoothed, noisy & inappropriate excess). I've seen some pretty shitty analyses elsewhere getting a lot of traffic. If you follow me here, you're in luck. Nobody else knows that their excess is identical to gen pop. bsky.app/profile/os51...

O.S.@os513.bsky.social

The Amish have experienced similar sort of excess during 2020-21, as all the (main) states in which they reside. B/C their numbers are are EXTREMELY low, additional smoothing is required. Unsmoothed results also shown. plainanabaptistjournal.org/index.php/JP... wonder.cdc.gov/mcd.html