Per Touch

Per Touch ranks fantasy football players by two numbers: how much work they get (touches) and what they do with it (points per touch), with touchdown luck stripped out. Every call gets graded the following Tuesday, misses first. Weekly rankings: pertouch.beehiiv.com

7 players scoring less than their chances through Week 7. Michael Wilson 11.7 vs 17.5; Pierre Strong 8.2 vs 12.8. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-8-fan...

Jaylen Warren ran 18 times for 101 yards on Sunday and has played 62% to 97% of Pittsburgh's snaps in every game since Week 1. We project 20.1 touches against Cleveland and rank him RB8.

Week 7 snap share, 4 roles that grew: D'Andre Swift 50% to 86%; Bam Knight 19% to 53%. About 60% of a jump like this carries into the next game. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-8-fan...

With Davante Adams out, we project Puka Nacua for 12.3 targets against the Chargers: 26.1 points, a 50% chance of a 25-point game and a 1% chance of a dud. He's 4.6 points clear of every other receiver.

64% of Week 7's top fantasy scorers were in our top rankings before kickoff: 54 of 84. Worst miss: Nico Collins, 2.6 points on 5 targets. That one's on us. Every top-tier player, projected vs. scored, position by position: pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

Week 7's top 84, split into touches and points per touch. QBs: efficiency separates them. RB, WR, TE: touches do. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

Tony Pollard has one touchdown on touches that would normally produce about 4.2, including 13 inside the 10. We project 18.0 touches against Cleveland. That's a touchdown problem, not a talent problem.

Red Zone Report, through Week 6: 11 players average 2+ carries and targets a game inside the 10. Derrick Henry leads with 22 (15 inside the 5). pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

9 matchups to exploit in Week 7. Deshaun Watson +0.5; Jordan Love +0.4. Small edges: use them to break ties, not to bench stars. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

Where we part ways with the room in Week 7: Caleb Williams QB2 tonight (the room has him around QB13), Chase Brown RB5 (around RB14), and why we're lower on Lamar Jackson, Justin Jefferson and Mike Evans. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

Woody Marks has played 85% and 78% of Houston's snaps since David Montgomery got hurt, with 15 carries in each game. We project 24.1 touches against the Giants, second only to Jahmyr Gibbs among running backs.

Week 7 rankings, every position, built on touches × points per touch. Jared Goff QB1, Jahmyr Gibbs RB1, Puka Nacua alone at WR1, Trey McBride TE1. Four teams on bye. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

11 players scoring less than their chances through Week 6. Dameon Pierce 9.1 vs 14.8; Michael Wilson 11.8 vs 17.1. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

Week 6 snap share, 4 roles that grew: Germie Bernard 53% to 94%; A.J. Brown 44% to 76%. About 60% of a jump like this carries into the next game. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-7-fan...

With Davante Adams out six to 10 weeks, we project Puka Nacua for 12.8 targets against Las Vegas: 28.1 points, a 54% chance of a 25-point game and a 1% chance of a dud.

64% of Week 6's top fantasy scorers were in our top rankings before kickoff: 54 of 84. Worst miss: Bijan Robinson, 7.3 points on 9 carries and 2 targets. That one's on us. Every top-tier player, projected vs. scored, position by position: pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-6-fan...

Where we part ways with the room in Week 6: Caleb Williams QB4 if he's cleared, Jaylen Warren RB4 (the room has him around RB12), and why we're lower on Lamar Jackson coming back from his ankle. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-6-fan...

Rest of season, Weeks 6-17: Matthew Stafford rises to QB2 (21.4 a game so far, 25.2 projected), Chase Brown is still the buy, and Christian Watson is the sell. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-6-res...

9 players scoring less than their chances through Week 5. Michael Wilson 12.8 vs 18.0; Tony Pollard 8.7 vs 13.1. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-6-fan...

Malik Nabers saw 20 of the Giants' 52 targets last week, on 90% of the snaps: 11 catches, 121 yards, a touchdown. We have him WR6 for Week 6.

Week 6 rankings, every position, built on touches × points per touch. Matthew Stafford QB1, Christian McCaffrey RB1, Puka Nacua alone at WR1, Trey McBride TE1. Four teams on bye. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-6-fan...

Matthew Stafford projects for 30.6 points against Arizona in Week 6, with a 54% chance of a 28-point game and the highest floor of any quarterback (11.5). He's thrown 51+ passes in three of his last four games.

Week 6 Waiver Wire: Woody Marks is RB8 for us on 24.2 projected touches with David Montgomery hurt, rostered in 48% of ESPN leagues. Plus Jordan Love for bye weeks and 8 more. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-6-wai...

64% of Week 5's top fantasy scorers were in our top rankings before kickoff: 54 of 84, our best week yet. Worst miss: CeeDee Lamb, 2.9 points on 5 targets. Every top-tier player, projected vs. scored, position by position: pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

Isaiah Likely got 13 targets Sunday, about a quarter of the Giants' throws. 11 catches, 94 yards, two touchdowns: 32.4 PPR points and the week's TE1. The targets made it possible. The touchdowns made it huge.

Colston Loveland's targets by week: 2, 3, 4, 9. He played 92% of the Bears' snaps last Sunday and hasn't scored on touches worth about 1.6 touchdowns. We have him TE8 for Week 5. A touchdown problem, not a talent problem.

Week 5's top 84, split into touches and points per touch. QBs: efficiency separates them. RB, WR, TE: touches do. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

Red Zone Report, through Week 4: 14 players average 2+ carries and targets a game inside the 10. Derrick Henry leads with 17 (11 inside the 5). pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

Rest of season, Weeks 5-17: the fast starts will cool. Chase Brown is the buy (14.5 a game so far, 19.6 projected), and Caleb Williams is our #2 QB for the fantasy playoffs if he's back in Week 7. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-res...

7 matchups to exploit in Week 5. C.J. Stroud +0.6; Deshaun Watson +0.4. Small edges: use them to break ties, not to bench stars. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

Where we part ways with the room in Week 5: Will Shipley RB12 (the room has him around RB43), Matthew Stafford QB2 on 41 projected touches, and why we're lower on Ja'Marr Chase coming off a concussion. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

10 players scoring less than their chances through Week 4. Michael Wilson 14.2 vs 19.6; Tony Pollard 9.6 vs 14.2. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

Chris Olave has seen 13, 10, 13 and 12 targets. We project 11.1 touches this week, the most of any receiver, and rank him WR5. Volume is the one thing a receiver can't fake.

Week 5 rankings, every position, built on touches × points per touch. Jared Goff QB1, Jahmyr Gibbs alone at RB1, Puka Nacua WR1, Trey McBride TE1. Our QB2 is Matthew Stafford. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

Week 5 Waiver Wire: Will Shipley is RB12 for us on 19.0 projected touches, rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues. Plus Jacoby Brissett (QB5, 10% rostered), Malik Washington and 7 more. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-wai...

Week 4 snap share, 5 roles that grew: Braelon Allen 41% to 94%; Zay Flowers 31% to 73%. About 60% of a jump like this carries into the next game. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-5-fan...

Saquon Barkley is expected to miss Week 5 and Tank Bigsby is headed to IR. That leaves Will Shipley as the Eagles' only active running back with a role. We project 19.0 touches and rank him RB12. He's rostered in 1% of ESPN leagues.

Trey McBride got 12 targets Sunday, a third of Arizona's throws. That's the workload we projected for our TE1. He turned them into 7 catches for 31 yards (10.1 PPR points). The role held; the yards didn't. That's a bounce, not a demotion.

58% of Week 4's top fantasy scorers were in our top rankings before kickoff: 49 of 84. Worst miss: Ja'Marr Chase, 5.7 points on 3 targets, none after halftime. Every top-tier player, projected vs. scored, position by position: pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-4-fan...

Aaron Jones or David Montgomery this week? We'd take Jones: 19.8 projected touches to Montgomery's 17.0, and a 10% chance of a dud to Montgomery's 19%. Twenty touches beats seventeen.

Red Zone Report, through Week 3: 13 players average 2+ carries and targets a game inside the 10. Derrick Henry leads with 14 (9 inside the 5). pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-4-fan...

Touchdown Tax: Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 6 TDs on touches that would normally produce about 2.7. He's still a top-3 WR for us in Week 4, on volume. Just don't bank on the touchdowns.

Rest of season, Weeks 4-17: Josh Allen, Jahmyr Gibbs and Trey McBride stand alone. Chase Brown is the buy (13.0 a game so far, 19.1 projected), and Caleb Williams is our #2 QB for the fantasy playoffs. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-4-res...

Week 4's top 84, split into touches and points per touch. QBs: efficiency separates them. RB, WR, TE: touches do. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-4-fan...

11 players scoring less than their chances. Emanuel Wilson: 6 carries inside the 5, no TDs. Jeanty: 26 touches a game, 4 points short. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/fantasy-fo...

Which fantasy hot starts are real? Yards repeat; touchdowns mostly don't. Living on TDs: Jaguars, Raiders. TDs coming: Rams. Plus who's due. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/fantasy-fo...

Michael Wilson saw 17 targets last Sunday on 93% of Arizona's snaps, and he's been at 85% or more all season. We have him WR7 for Week 4. Workload first, then efficiency.

Week 4 rankings, every position, built on touches × points per touch. Josh Allen QB1, Jahmyr Gibbs alone at RB1, Amon-Ra St. Brown WR1, Trey McBride TE1. Our QB2 is Jared Goff. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-4-fan...

Week 4 Waiver Wire: Ollie Gordon II is Miami's lead back with Achane out for the season. 17 carries and 3 targets last Sunday, on 1% of ESPN rosters. Plus C.J. Stroud and 8 more. pertouch.beehiiv.com/p/week-4-wai...

Jahmyr Gibbs projects for 25.5 points in Week 4, with a 1% chance of a dud. The next running back is 5.5 points behind him. That's the widest gap at the top of any position this week.