Pollcast - Poll Tracker

pollcast.net2026 U.S. House Forecast2026 U.S. House forecast: per-district win probabilities, projected seat distribution, and the path-to-majority for each party.

22 June

POLLCAST 2026 MIDTERM FORECAST 🟣 Senate: Coin-flip that either party wins control 🔵 House: ~81% chance of a Democratic Majority See more: pollcast.net/house_forecast

New Texas Senate poll (Republican-sponsored): Cor Strategies/Heritage Action (Oct 15 - 1,409 LV) 🔵 Talarico 44 (D+4) 🔴 Paxton 40 View the average ->

New Iowa Governor poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 403 LV) 🔵 Sand 50 (D+4) 🔴 Lahn 46 Poll report ->

New Iowa Senate poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 403 LV) 🔵 Turek 45 (D+2) 🔴 Hinson 43 🟡 Laehn 7 View the average ->

New Florida Senate poll: ActiVote (Oct 27 - 400 LV) 🔴 Moody 53 (R+6) 🔵 Nixon 47 View the average ->

New Arizona Governor poll: HighGround (Oct 25 - 400 LV) 🔵 Hobbs 51.5 (D+12.2) 🔴 Biggs 39.3 🟢 Lombardo 1.5 Poll report ->

New Trump Approval poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 2,907 LV) 🔴 Disapprove 59 (+19) 🟢 Approve 40 View the average ->

New Generic Ballot poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 2,907 LV) 🔵 Dem 51 (D+5) 🔴 Rep 46 View the average ->

New Nebraska Governor poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 407 LV) 🔴 Pillen 47 (R+7) 🔵 Walz 40 🟡 Beard 7 Poll report ->

New Nebraska Senate poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 407 LV) 🔴 Ricketts 47 (R+1) 🟢 Osborn 46 View the average ->

New Florida Governor poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 515 LV) 🔴 Donalds 50 (R+6) 🔵 Jolly 44 🟡 Jewett 1 Poll report ->

New Florida Senate poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 515 LV) 🔴 Moody 51 (R+8) 🔵 Nixon 43 View the average ->

New Georgia Governor poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 508 LV) 🔵 Bottoms 49 (D+1) 🔴 Jackson 48 Poll report ->

New Georgia Senate poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 508 LV) 🔵 Ossoff 55 (D+15) 🔴 Collins 40 View the average ->

New Maine Governor poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 413 LV) 🔵 Pingree 51 (D+13) 🔴 Charles 38 🟢 Bennett 7 Poll report ->

New Maine Senate poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 413 LV) 🔵 Jackson 51 (D+7) 🔴 Collins 44 View the average ->

New Ohio Governor poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 508 LV) 🔴 Ramaswamy 47 (R+2) 🔵 Acton 45 🟡 Kissick 4 Poll report ->

New Ohio Senate poll: Echelon Insights/NetChoice (Oct 23 - 508 LV) 🔴 Husted 47 (R+0) 🔵 Brown 47 🟢 Levy 2 🟡 Redpath 1 View the average ->

New Trump Approval poll: YouGov/The Economist (Oct 26 - 1,131 LV) 🔴 Disapprove 58 (+17) 🟢 Approve 41 View the average ->

New Generic Ballot poll: YouGov/The Economist (Oct 26 - 1,123 LV) 🔵 Dem 52 (D+11) 🔴 Rep 41 View the average ->

New IN-05 House poll: Quantus Insights (Oct 22 - 634 LV) 🔴 Spartz 47.4 (R+2.8) 🔵 Ford 44.6 Poll report ->

New CA-34 House poll: USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab (Oct 24 - 423 LV) 🔵 Gonzales-Torres 51 (D+6) 🔵 Gomez 45 Poll report ->

New California Governor poll: SurveyUSA/KGTV-TV | San Diego Union-Tribune (Oct 24 - 799 LV) 🔵 Becerra 54 (D+22) 🔴 Hilton 32 Poll report ->

New Nevada Governor poll (Democratic-sponsored): Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies/A More Affordable Nevada (Oct 25 - 950 LV) 🔵 Ford 49 (D+4) 🔴 Lombardo 45 Poll report ->

New Vermont Governor poll: State Navigate (Oct 25 - 1,752 LV) 🔴 Scott 49 (R+3) 🔵 Janoo 46 Poll report ->

New Trump Approval poll: Marist University/NPR | PBS News ⭐ (Oct 20 - 1,289 LV) 🔴 Disapprove 59 (+19) 🟢 Approve 40 View the average ->

New Generic Ballot poll: Marist University/NPR | PBS News ⭐ (Oct 20 - 1,289 LV) 🔵 Dem 52 (D+8) 🔴 Rep 44 View the average ->

New Maine Senate poll: Marist University ⭐ (Oct 25 - 1,449 LV) 🔵 Jackson 49 (D+2) 🔴 Collins 47 View the average ->

New Maine Governor poll: Marist University ⭐ (Oct 25 - 1,449 LV) 🔴 Charles 44 (R+0) 🔵 Pingree 44 🟢 Bennett 6 Poll report ->

New Michigan Governor poll: Glengariff Group/Detroit News | WDIV-TV (Oct 22 - 600 LV) 🔵 Benson 51.4 (D+6.9) 🔴 James 44.5 Poll report ->

New Michigan Senate poll: Glengariff Group/Detroit News | WDIV-TV (Oct 22 - 600 LV) 🔵 El-Sayed 51.4 (D+6.3) 🔴 Rogers 45.1 View the average ->

New South Carolina Governor poll: Targoz Market Research/South Carolina Policy Council (Oct 25 - 895 LV) 🔴 Wilson 51 (R+10) 🔵 Johnson 41 🟢 Hakim 1 Poll report ->

New South Carolina Senate poll: Targoz Market Research/South Carolina Policy Council (Oct 25 - 895 LV) 🔴 Graham 47 (R+1) 🔵 Andrews 46 🟡 Whitener 2 View the average ->

New Iowa Senate poll: InsiderAdvantage (Oct 22 - 1,200 LV) 🔴 Hinson 47 (R+2) 🔵 Turek 45 View the average ->

New Nebraska Governor poll (Democratic-sponsored): Concord Public Opinion Partners/Education Reform Now Advocacy (Oct 18 - 500 LV) 🔵 Walz 43 (D+3) 🔴 Pillen 40 Poll report ->

New Nebraska Senate poll (Democratic-sponsored): Concord Public Opinion Partners/Education Reform Now Advocacy (Oct 18 - 500 LV) 🟢 Osborn 48 (I+7) 🔴 Ricketts 41 View the average ->

New Alaska Governor poll: Alaska Survey Research (Oct 25 - 1,068 LV) 🔵 Kreiss-Tomkins 50.7 (D+20.1) 🔴 Wilson 30.6 🔴 Bronson 12.1 🔴 English 6.6 Poll report ->

New Generic Ballot poll: Ipsos/Reuters (Oct 26 - 1,164 LV) 🔵 Dem 53 (D+9) 🔴 Rep 44 View the average ->

New Michigan Governor poll: Michigan State University / YouGov (Oct 19 - 836 LV) 🔵 Benson 53.3 (D+12.4) 🔴 James 40.9 Poll report ->

New Michigan Senate poll: Michigan State University / YouGov (Oct 19 - 836 LV) 🔵 El-Sayed 48 (D+2.5) 🔴 Rogers 45.5 View the average ->

New North Carolina Senate poll: Quantus Insights (Oct 25 - 722 LV) 🔵 Cooper 52.4 (D+9) 🔴 Whatley 43.4 🟡 Bray 1.2 🟢 Dublin 0.8 View the average ->

Senate polling averages, Oct 25 Closest races: 🔵 Texas D+2.6 (was D+2.7) 🔵 Michigan D+2.5 (was D+2.6) 🔵 Alaska D+2.4 (no change) 🔵 Maine D+1.9 (no change) 🔵 Iowa D+0.6 (was D+0.8) 🔵 Kansas Even (was R+0.1) 🔴 Nebraska R+0.3 (was Even) 🔴 South Carolina R+1.8 (was R+1.6) All Senate averages ->

Governor polling averages, Oct 25 Closest races: 🔵 Wisconsin D+3.8 (no change) 🔵 Ohio D+3.2 (no change) 🔴 Oregon R+0.1 (no change) 🔴 Georgia R+0.4 (was R+0.2) 🔴 Texas R+3.0 (no change) 🔴 Nevada R+3.1 (no change) 🔴 Nebraska R+3.5 (was R+3.4) 🔴 Vermont R+3.6 (no change) All Governor averages ->

New PA-07 House poll: The New York Times/Siena University/The Philadelphia Inquirer ⭐ (Oct 22 - 401 LV) 🔵 Brooks 49.2 (D+5.1) 🔴 Mackenzie 44.1 Poll report ->

New PA-01 House poll: The New York Times/Siena University/The Philadelphia Inquirer ⭐ (Oct 22 - 400 LV) 🔵 Harvie 48.3 (D+2.4) 🔴 Fitzpatrick 45.8 Poll report ->

New PA-08 House poll: The New York Times/Siena University/The Philadelphia Inquirer ⭐ (Oct 22 - 402 LV) 🔵 Cognetti 50.5 (D+4.1) 🔴 Bresnahan 46.5 Poll report ->

New PA-10 House poll: The New York Times/Siena University/The Philadelphia Inquirer ⭐ (Oct 22 - 404 LV) 🔴 Perry 48 (R+0.4) 🔵 Stelson 47.6 Poll report ->

New Arizona Governor poll (Republican-sponsored): GrayHouse/Friends of Elijah Norton (Oct 20 - 550 LV) 🔵 Hobbs 51 (D+6) 🔴 Biggs 45 🟢 Lombardo 0 Poll report ->

New South Carolina Senate poll (Democratic-sponsored): Impact Research/Fresh Start SC PAC (Oct 21 - 800 LV) 🔵 Andrews 45 (D+1) 🔴 Graham 44 View the average ->

New Ohio Senate poll: InsiderAdvantage (Oct 22 - 1,200 LV) 🔵 Brown 47 (D+3) 🔴 Husted 44 View the average ->