Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter

pewresearch.orgQuiz: What Is Your Civic Personality?Take our civic personality quiz to find out how your engagement with news, politics, religious and civic activities compares with other U.S. adults.

Here's a cool new quiz my colleagues developed. Where do you fit? www.pewresearch.org/journalism/q...

pewresearch.orgCan AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not ReallySynthetic surveys using digital twins do a poor job estimating the public mood and are especially error-prone for some subgroups, including Republicans and Black adults.

Can AI models replace traditional polling? New report from colleagues at Pew Research Center finds that AI-generated survey results struggled to accurately reproduce the findings from high-quality public opinion polls in a variety of ways. Read more www.pewresearch.org?p=549336

pewresearch.orgWeighting Polls on Party Affiliation and Past VoteThis report explains how political weighting works, how Pew Research Center does it, and some of its limitations.

Almost 70% of national polls in 2024 were weighted on party affiliation or past vote. This kind of political weighting is controversial. But evidence shows it has made polls modestly more accurate. New report: how it works, how we do it and its limits: www.pewresearch.org/methods/2026...

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There is growing evidence that Republicans have become somewhat less likely than Democrats to participate in polls, particularly around presidential elections. But the need to do so has risen and the tools available to do it have gotten better.

Three ways to correct a poll’s political balance: weight on self-reported party affiliation, self-reported past vote, or voter file data such as party registration. Each has strengths and weaknesses. No one approach is clearly superior in all contexts.

pewresearch.orgWeighting Polls on Party Affiliation and Past VoteThis report explains how political weighting works, how Pew Research Center does it, and some of its limitations.

There are good arguments against weighting polls on past vote or party affiliation. We know because we’ve made many of those arguments over the years

pewresearch.orgNo Easy Fix for Bogus Respondents in Online Opt-In PollsA new study examining online opt-in polling finds that while removing bogus respondents generally improves data quality, no single method reliably solves the problem.

27 Aug

Bogus or fraudulent respondents constitute one of the most urgent problems in online opt-in polling. This new report by my colleague Andrew Mercer looks at three methods to identify bogus cases but finds no surefire solution www.pewresearch.org/methods/2026...

Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter reposted

Pew Research Center

@pewresearch.org

10 June

Do you feel like you don’t fit in as a ‘Democrat’ or a ‘Republican?’ Our new political typology shows this complexity, sorting the public into nine distinct groups based on their political and cultural values. The result is a picture of American politics with far more than just red and blue.

29 Oct 2025

The AAPOR Task Force on 2024 Pre-Election Polling has released its final report today. aapor.org/wp-content/u...

aapor.orgaapor.org

29 Oct 2025

Major conclusions:

29 Oct 2025

This AAPOR report is amazingly comprehensive. It's based on a massive data collection effort that compiled polling across elections at various levels and geographies extending back to 2000.

pewresearch.orgWhy and how we’re weighting surveys for past presidential voteThis piece explains why, when and how we are weighting our surveys on Americans’ past vote.

23 July 2025

Today's release of the 2025 NPORS survey and data wasn't the only thing we were up to. Here's a piece on why we decided to add past vote to our survey weighting and how it's done www.pewresearch.org/decoded/2025...

pewresearch.orgNational Public Opinion Reference Survey (NPORS)NPORS is an annual survey of U.S. adults conducted by the Pew Research Center used to to produce benchmark estimates for several topics.

23 July 2025

Calling all data nerds! Pew Research Center has just released its 2025 edition of the National Public Opinion Reference Survey, with estimates of U.S. party affiliation, religious affiliation and frequency of internet use. Fact sheet and links to the dataset: www.pewresearch.org/methods/fact...

pewresearch.orgParty Affiliation Fact Sheet (NPORS)Explore trends in partisan identification among U.S. adults using data from Pew Research Center’s National Public Opinion Reference Survey (NPORS).

23 July 2025

And here are party affiliation trends from six years of NPORS data www.pewresearch.org/politics/fac...

pewresearch.orgAmericans’ Trust in One AnotherAmericans trust each other less than they did a few decades ago. We explore why this is, and why some are more trusting than others.

8 May 2025

We took a broad look at social trust in America today. With a survey of almost 37,000 people we were able to look at levels of trust across the states and even in metro areas. Check out our new report here www.pewresearch.org/SocialTrust

Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter reposted

Laura Silver

@lauraruthsilver.bsky.social

8 Apr 2025

NEW from @pewresearch.org today: Americans Give Early Trump Foreign Policy Actions Mixed or Negative Reviews www.pewresearch.org/global/2025/... Below, a thread of some key findings

pewresearch.orgAmericans Give Early Trump Foreign Policy Actions Mixed or Negative ReviewsMore disapprove than approve of leaving the WHO and ending USAID. About half see tariffs on China as bad for the U.S. and them personally, but views differ by party.

pewrsr.chHow a glitch in an online survey replaced the word ‘yes’ with ‘forks’Dating back to at least early 2023, a bizarre and alarming technical glitch started popping up in some organizations’ online surveys and forms.

21 Mar 2025

You probably don't often turn to the survey methodology world for a good detective story, but here is one from my colleague Anna Brown pewrsr.ch/4isAu2s

Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter reposted

John Gramlich

@johngramlich.bsky.social

28 Aug 2024

Our new explainer looks at the key things Americans should know about election polling this year: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... One key point: While polling methods have diversified greatly in recent years, not all methods are equally sound. Caveat emptor.

pewrsr.chKey things to know about election polling in the United StatesThe real environment in which polls are conducted bears little resemblance to the idealized settings presented in textbooks.

28 Aug 2024

We put together a little grab-bag of things to know about election polling in the US, for example that polling methods are quite different today than in 2016, that the margin of sampling error captures just one of several kinds of error, and much more pewrsr.ch/3iay5d5

pewrsr.chNational Public Opinion Reference Survey (NPORS)NPORS is an annual survey of U.S. adults conducted by the Pew Research Center used to to produce benchmark estimates for several topics.

9 July 2024

Now available from Pew Research Center: the annual National Public Opinion Reference Survey (NPORS), which interviewed 5,626 U.S. adults identified via address-based sampling with a 32% response rate. View key estimates and download the data: pewrsr.ch/3ukleLR

pewresearch.orgPublic Opinion Polling BasicsHow do polls work? What are the different kinds of polls? And what should you look for in a high-quality opinion poll? A Pew Research Center survey methodologist answers these questions and more in si...

3 July 2024

This week we released a new version of our short course “Public Opinion Polling Basics.” In six short lessons, I discuss why we have polls, how polls work, the challenges facing polls, what to look for in a poll, and more. A new lesson focuses on election polling. www.pewresearch.org/course/publi...

pewresearch.orgQuiz: Test your polling knowledgeTest your knowledge of public opinion polling by taking our 10-question quiz.

3 July 2024

And of course there is a quiz www.pewresearch.org/methods/quiz...

Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter reposted

John Gramlich

@johngramlich.bsky.social

26 Mar 2024

"The majority of abortions in the U.S. now involve pills, according to both the CDC and Guttmacher. The CDC says 56% of U.S. abortions in 2021 involved pills, up from 53% in 2020 and 44% in 2019."

pewresearch.orgWhat the data says about abortion in the U.S.The U.S. abortion rate has generally declined since the 1980s, but there have been slight upticks in the late 2010s and early 2020s.

pewrsr.chMajority in U.S. Say Israel Has Valid Reasons for Fighting; Fewer Say the Same About Hamas57% of Americans express some sympathy with both Israelis and Palestinians, including 26% who say their sympathies lie equally with both groups.

21 Mar 2024

We just released a new report exploring views of Americans about the Israel-Hamas war, including views among Jewish and Muslim Americans. Despite sharp disagreement on many questions, a majority of the public (57%) expresses sympathy for both the Palestinian and Israeli people pewrsr.ch/4co9bUo

21 Mar 2024

Relatively few Americans (22%) say they are closely following news about the Israel-Hamas war, and only about half can correctly report that more Palestinians than Israelis have died since the war’s start. On many attitude questions about the war, sizable numbers express no opinion

pewrsr.chOnline opt-in polls can produce misleading results, especially for young people and Hispanic adultsWe examine how an opt-in poll may have unintentionally misled the public about the sensitive issue of Holocaust denial among young Americans.

5 Mar 2024

We just released a new analysis about the potential for opt-in surveys -- those where people volunteer to take surveys -- to provide misleading results, especially for young adults and Hispanics pewrsr.ch/49BMhqF

pewresearch.orgWho Are You? The Art and Science of Measuring IdentityAs a shop that studies human behavior through surveys and other social scientific techniques, we have a good line of sight into the contradictory nature of human preferences. Here's a look at how we c...

12 Feb 2024

To help describe the richness of public opinion, pollsters sort people into groups based on their religion, race, gender, partisanship and more. We've written a new data essay that takes a look at the stories behind those measures www.pewresearch.org/methods/2024...

@johngramlich.bsky.social

12 Feb 2024

We look at measures of religious affiliation, family income, political party affiliation, gender identity and sexual orientation, race and ethnicity, and age and generation. Many of these measures have evolved over time in response to growing diversity and changing attitudes among the U.S. public.

Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter reposted

John Gramlich

11 Dec 2023

NEW from the Pew Research Center: Striking findings from 2023 These findings and charts from the past year include a record-high share of unmarried Americans, record-low views of the Supreme Court, rising public concern about artificial intelligence, and more. Read the full list: pewrsr.ch/47PSOx4

pewresearch.orgDo You Tip More or Less Often Than the Average American?Compare your tipping habits with those of the overall public by visiting Tipping Point, the small town with a big-city feel.

28 Nov 2023

Looking for some non-political content to give your nerves a break? Visit the little village of Tipping Point USA to compare your tipping habits with those of a representative sample of U.S. adults www.pewresearch.org/2023/11/28/d...