Philippe Papin

The first hurricane of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season made landfall in the U.S. late last week. Watch this satellite view covering the full journey of Hurricane Isaias from its formation in the Gulf to its dissipation over the Eastern U.S.

#Hurricane #Simon's track forecast today is exhibiting large uncertainty, related to it entering a COL in the steering flow or "saddle point". Here, small shifts in its initial position can result in very different track solutions. A visual helps explain things better👇

8 am EDT Oct 5 - A trough in the southwestern Gulf of America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the middle or latter portion of the week. This system is expected to... 🔗 hurricanes.gov

Yesterday, the Moon’s shadow crossed parts of Europe during a total solar eclipse! 🌖 Our satellites captured the event over Earth from 36,000km in space, featuring live imagery during RTBF’s special broadcast. See the full animation & imagery in our Image of the Week: bit.ly/3SrZCi5 🛰️

The life and death of twin cyclones in the West Pacific. A fascinating evolution and interaction.

A stunning satellite shot of a powerful nor'easter.

Further increases in confidence for an impactful winter storm are noted across the Carolinas with greater uncertainty still farther up the coast.

Take this storm seriously. Moderate to major impacts are expected from the Central US through to the Northeast through the weekend. - Hazardous to impossible driving conditions are expected. Avoid travel if at all possible. - Widespread closures and disruption to infrastructure may also occur.

I’d be very careful with posting snow maps for the weekend storm this far out. There’s still significant uncertainty with the amplitude & progression of both SW US + north stream troughs, which drives both the event duration & how far north heavy snow expands into the Northeast.

The National Weather Service is now hiring for both entry-level and seasoned meteorologist positions. Apply by January 29! The entry-level positions are available in: ▪️ Houston, TX ▪️ Ft. Worth, TX ▪️ Hastings, NE ▪️ Great Falls, MT ▪️ Marquette, MI Apply: www.usajobs.gov/job/854675700

Here is the latest update from WPC on the California atmospheric river event where a moderate to high risk of flash flooding is anticipated for southern California on Wednesday Christmas Eve. Please stay safe through the upcoming Christmas holiday. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/key_messages...

Unseasonable warmth is forecast across a large portion of the Lower 48 this week. High temps will soar to 30-40 degrees above normal, with some areas as much as 50 degrees above normal. Dozens of daily temp records could be broken. How warm will it be where you live this week? Check weather.gov.

Wildfires can spread quickly — by the time one is nearby, you may not have much time. Have an evacuation plan, and prepare an emergency supply kit ahead of time. Listen to local officials for emergency information and any evacuation orders.

❄️ D.C.'s first measurable snow of the season covers the capital in a hush of flurries. Winter is making a return with cooler than normal temperatures in the forecast for the next several days. Stay up to date with the latest forecast at weather.gov. Credit: Bob Hyatt, NWS

Persistent fog and low stratus clouds have been plaguing California's Central Valley for the last week.

December is the coldest month of the year for most areas from the Rocky Mountains to the Pacific Ocean.

11/30: Today is the last day of the 2025 hurricane season. The month of November has proven to be very quiet this year, with no named storms during the month. There weren't even any disturbances mentioned in the Tropical Weather Outlook the en... https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1995096242884358356

Is your vehicle ready for the winter? Watch this brief video to know what needs to be in your emergency kit and how to winterize your vehicle. For more winter weather safety tips visit weather.gov/safety.

Following the ongoing winter storm across the Upper Midwest, another storm system is forecast to impact parts of the Midwest and Great Lakes with wintry weather this weekend. Keep an eye on the forecast and check weather.gov for more information. ❄️

Here are the latest key messages for the current storm impacting the Great Lakes. Keep up to date with the latest forecast at weather.gov and find the latest storm summary here: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/...

JUST IN: The 2025 Atlantic #HurricaneSeason ends on Nov. 30 with 13 named storms, including 5 hurricanes, of which 4 intensified to be major hurricanes. Find our news release, images and wrapup video at: noaa.gov/news-release... @nws.noaa.gov

The National Hurricane Center has put together a 2025 Verification Preview. Covers a prelim view on seasonal track, intensity, & genesis 🌀forecasts. Also touching on rapid intensification forecasts & Melissa which was the most impactful storm of the year. URL: www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Veri...

What is poor practice during Hurricane season is also poor practice in Winter Season. Do not share deterministic models forecasts >5-7 days out. Snowfall maps are an especially poor choice of model graphic to share with much lead time. My 2️⃣🪙

A horrific accident early Saturday morning left a car in the side of an NWS office and the office relying on the NWS service backup system. Service backup is important in situations like this - but also is being increasingly used due to NWS staffing and infrastructure issues. tinyurl.com/4txuyhbz

That’s a lot of intense hurricanes over the past 5 years 😵‍💫 We added 4 more to the list this year, #Erin, #Gabrielle, #Humberto, & #Melissa.

Hurricane Melissa produced the fastest hurricane winds to be recorded by a dropsonde, verified by reviewing data at NSF NCAR! Hurricane Melissa’s 252 mph wind gust surpassed the previous record from Typhoon Megi over the Western Pacific in 2010, where a dropsonde measured wind gusts of 248 mph.

Still waiting for @bsky.app to build out functionality with direct messages. Namely, allow users to include images/videos in messages & ability to DM multiple users at once. Twitter's botched update on their platform for DMs should provide motivation to move here, but need similar functionality.⏰

Seems like the #Aurora is already visible over a large chunk of the CONUS tonight thanks to the #CME's over the last few days from a couple of significant X-class solar flares.

I love how the wake-free zone of stratocu nicely corresponds to the area of >50F dewpoints advected off the Florida Peninsula & adjacent Gulf coast area. Taking a while for the sfc fluxes to moisten boundary layer enough to reach convective temp. Plot via @burgwx.bsky.social's RTMA analysis. #FLwx

In the century leading up to 1975, nearly 6000 freighters went down in the Great Lakes. The Edmund Fitzgerald was the last. The last. In 50 years, not a single commercial freighter has been lost in the Great Lakes. Why? It's NOAA. Of course it's NOAA.

A strong cold front this weekend will put the "ber" in November as frigid air spills out across the Plains and Mississippi Valley. This winter-like chill will flood across the eastern half of the country early next week, bringing the potential for record cold temperatures to the Gulf by Tuesday.

A couple of recent examples from WPAC #Typhoons that Google DeepMind has been too intense with. First #Kalmaegi & now #Fung-Wong. Would be nice to look at TC structure DeepMind members depicted to see what went awry. Fung-Wong is intensifying, just much slower than the model forecasted.