French students' experience in schools in worsening heat waves is also fueling anger. insideclimatenews.org/news/1710202...
Kathryn Harrison
Kathryn Harrison
@profkharrison.bsky.social
Climate policy researcher, UBC Professor, chemical engineer, political scientist, feminist, cyclist. Persistently hopeful, but losing patience!
7.8K followers422 following859 posts
Canada's going in the wrong direction. Emissions are going up not down, a direct result of weakened policies. Planned oil/gas production increases will further increase GHGs. Despite Ministers' insistence that we're still committed to net zero in 2050, the policies needed to do that aren't in place.
NEW: Our latest early estimate of Canada’s national emissions shows higher gas use drove up emissions in 2025. But clean electrification can help steer Canada back toward net zero. https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/early-estimate-canadas-emissions-increased-in-2025/
Mark your calendars for UBC post-municipal election panel October 19, with @jmcelroy.bsky.social @stewartprest.ca Robin Gill, Mario Canseco, Katie Hislop (all UBC poli sci alumni). But VOTE first!
Governments eager to land new fossil fuel projects, including but not only publicly-funded ones, turn to subsidies. But those are often less visible, taking the form of reduced tolls, regulatory concessions, lower electricity prices, reduction of other taxes. www.nationalobserver.com/2026/10/05/n...
Also critical to all this is that Canadian governments are themselves *in the fossil fuel business*. Mostly obviously when they're owners of infrastructure such as TM pipelines and proposed Pacific Link but provinces are also partners as constitutionally-designated owners of subsurface oil/gas/coal.
Cdn PM's address citing wildfires to exemplify resilience of Canada's oil industry, a CCS project that will not offset added GHGs and a promise to produce the lowest-C (heavy) oil *in 2050* to argue that a Mbpd pipeline advances "Canada's climate goals." paulwells.substack.com/p/mark-carne...
Cdn PM's address citing wildfires to exemplify resilience of Canada's oil industry, a CCS project that will not offset added GHGs and a promise to produce the lowest-C (heavy) oil *in 2050* to argue that a Mbpd pipeline advances "Canada's climate goals." paulwells.substack.com/p/mark-carne...
Vancouverites! The amazing Leah Stokes will be at #UBC tomorrow to talk about her new book, The Carbon Wave, which tells a very personal, and very moving, story about how the US Inflation Reduction Act was conceived and passed. Join us! Registration here: ubc.ca1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
Kathryn Harrison reposted
New survey research released today with @mattomildenberger.bsky.social -- a response to the "don't say climate change" crowd. Many have observed that climate change has moved down voters' list of priorities and have concluded that pro-climate policies would cost votes. That's testable! 🧵[1/13]
Reflecting further on @climateinstitute.bsky.social's analysis published yesterday. Not included in the figure below is what difference the Carney government has made to the 2030-2050 projections through weakening + abandoning climate policies and supporting projects that will increase emissions. /1
NEW: Canada’s emissions are now more than 20 years behind on the country’s 2030 target. Our latest analysis shows the policy choices that have Canada lagging and explains how to get back on track. 👇 https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/net-zero-canada-more-than-20-years-behind-2030-target/
The fall 2025 govt and CCI projections already incorporated some 2025 changes so I looked to the prev progress report. Huge difference! But getting close to the 2030 target depended on 1. policies in progress being adopted and 2. follow through on others. /2 climateinstitute.ca/wp-content/u...
Other things in modelling prob changed (e.g., oil prices) + pre-2025 there was some progress (CER, CH4) but also (if I'm recalling timing) weakening of the oil/gas emissions cap proposal. Still my takeaways: plans require actual policy implementation; and recent policy shifts have huge consequences.
👇👇👇!! The PM insists Canada is committed to net zero in 2050, but repealed and weakened policies mean we'll be lucky to hit our 2030 target by 2050. Getting to net zero demands adopting policies NOW to ensure longterm transition. You don't get to your destination by going in the opposite direction.
NEW: Canada’s emissions are now more than 20 years behind on the country’s 2030 target. Our latest analysis shows the policy choices that have Canada lagging and explains how to get back on track. 👇 https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/net-zero-canada-more-than-20-years-behind-2030-target/
Kathryn Harrison reposted
📣 Join us to hear author and UC Santa Barbara political science professor @leahstokes.bsky.social sit down for a timely discussion with UBC political science professor Kathryn Harrison about her new book. 🔗 Register: shorturl.at/lj036 📅 September 29 ⏰ 3:30–5:00 PM 📍 Franklin Lew Forum, Allard
Remarkable that fed govt released such an important report quietly just before a long weekend and the Minister wasn't available for comment. Same strategy for the Net Zero Act progress report last fall. Both in stark contrast to earlier reports.
From retreating glaciers to wildfires and marine heat waves, the impacts climate change will likely become even more pronounced in Canada, federal assessment finds, by @jennthornhillverma.bsky.social @ivansemeniuk.bsky.social www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/scien... via @theglobeandmail.com
Not sure the "Tragedy of the Horizon" analogy works when we're at that horizon yet still resisting action. I'm thinking Mark Carney underestimated Cdn govts' unwillingness to forgo $* from oil/gas. * As owners, prov govts are themselves in the oil/gas business www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/scien...
If you're a NYT subscriber, highly recommend the "Good List" weekly email of quirky, happy things. My fave this week is a site that shares word-wide locations of public pianos. I LOVE them! Looks like my home province, BC, has the highest per capita share, but QC ftw! pianos.pub/location/can...
Led by "structural reductions in transport oil demand driven by electrification. Sinopec had forecast 6% and 5% drops in diesel and petrol consumption this year ... before the start of the war on Iran. Actual sales fell 9%" in first half of 2026. Not a great time to spend $40B on a pipeline.
NEW – Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions fall in Q2 2026 due to plummeting oil use | @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/P3nHdbA
Kathryn Harrison reposted
Vancouverites: @leahstokes.bsky.social will be at #UBC 9/29 to talk about her new book, which is both an expert and personal account of passage of the US IRA. It's truly inspiring (despite Republican rollbacks) and we can all use some of that. Register here: ubc.ca1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
Insights from @tyolsen.bsky.social, who really knows the Fraser Valley! A New Oil Pipeline Faces Mountains of Challenges: “It really seems to me like they’re picking names off; somebody in Alberta is circling names on a map and making that their submission.” @thetyee.ca thetyee.ca/Analysis/202...
To clarify, @tyolsen.bsky.social is a journalist. The quote is from an expert source, not Olsen’s own words.
American friends, watch this if you want to understand the depth of Canadians’ anger about this trade war. And our determination. We will not be broken. www.cbc.ca/player/play/...
It’s literal gaslighting to increase fossil gas consumption in the name of climate action. #bcpoli thenarwhal.ca/bc-hydro-buy...
Canada is repealing its EV Available Standard to achieve 100% EV passenger vehicle sales by 2035. Although the govt has stated its intent to adopt regs equivalent to 75% by 2035, there's no text or schedule for that. Not holding my breath given Can-US trade negotiation gazette.gc.ca/rp-pr/p1/202...
The fossil fuel subsidies just keep coming. The claim that TMX is making "oodles of money" (as Cdn Energy Minister described it) rests on clever accounting that downplays cost to taxpayers to build it. Trans Mountain Looks to Slash Pipeline Shipping Fees via @thetyee.ca thetyee.ca/News/2026/08...
Important analysis of how media report on climate and, separately, wildfires: industry, technology, and (distant!) net zero depicted positively; government/policy essential to achieve that goal more negatively. victimshttps://www.nationalobserver.com/2026/08/11/opinion/ottawa-climate-crisis-hushing
And it will keep getting worse as long as we keep burning fossil fuels. And no, no one’s suggesting we can do that overnight. But we have alternatives and we need to deploy them with greater urgency. The sooner we do, the better the outcome.
Human-driven climate crisis fuels Canada’s deadly wildfires, study finds
Can Eby Manage Growing NDP Divisions on LNG and Pipelines? via @thetyee.ca thetyee.ca/Opinion/2026...
Thoughts on announcement of a buyer for 2MT/yr of Ksi Lisims LNG for "up to 20 years," wording consistent with financial uncertainty for LNG as importers transition to domestic renewables. So we're de-risking private investments with public $$ and regulatory concessions. www.cbc.ca/listen/live-...
New Angus Reid poll: attention to climate is rebounding and voters most concerned are moving to the NDP and Bloc, causing the Liberal lead over CPC to shrink from 13% (Feb) to 4% (July). Decline in attention doesn't mean voters support weakening climate policies! angusreid.org/climate-vote...
Kathryn Harrison reposted
Yes! We need both to fix the underlying problem and save lives in the meantime. If we only do the latter, warming will quickly outpace our ability to adapt, even for those fortunate enough to afford a/c. And the mighty heat pump does both! Reduces emissions by displacing gas and provides cooling.
An emerging debate over how to best protect people seeking an escape from heat waves in air conditioned-indoors is degrading into a false choice between reducing emissions or adapting to climate change. Read more from Ryan Ness. https://ow.ly/MG6w50ZqTfc
Kathryn Harrison reposted
The Canada-Alberta MOU on carbon pricing promised a fix for Alberta’s carbon market: too many carbon credits meant low prices were undermining investment to reduce emissions. But the proposed solution makes this problem worse. Read more from Dale Beugin https://ow.ly/1Wf050ZqR60
Canadians increasingly believe wildfires are a new normal (30%) or will worsen (56%) yet acceptance that climate change is due to human activity has declined 71% to 59% in 5 yrs. NB: a deep partisan divide with deniers either sorting to CPC or persuaded by co-partisans. angusreid.org/wildfire-fea...
@angusreidinstitute.bsky.social didn't graph this one, but the data tables reveal a similarly huge partisan divide wrt belief that climate change "is a fact and is mostly caused by human activities" (ie., climate scientists' conclusion): Libs 82% BQ 77% NDP 84% CPC 27% angusreid.org/wp-content/u...