Kathryn Harrison

Kathryn Harrison

@profkharrison.bsky.social

Climate policy researcher, UBC Professor, chemical engineer, political scientist, feminist, cyclist. Persistently hopeful, but losing patience!

7.8K followers422 following859 posts

When #Vancouver proposed residential parking permits (~$50/yr) to reduce vehicle GHGs outrage ensued; motion defeated. Then pay parking came in at local community centre, shifting visitors to street parking. Residents voted for permit parking ($80/yr). Self-interest prevailed over collective goals.

Canada's going in the wrong direction. Emissions are going up not down, a direct result of weakened policies. Planned oil/gas production increases will further increase GHGs. Despite Ministers' insistence that we're still committed to net zero in 2050, the policies needed to do that aren't in place.

Canadian Climate Institute@climateinstitute.bsky.social

NEW: Our latest early estimate of Canada’s national emissions shows higher gas use drove up emissions in 2025. But clean electrification can help steer Canada back toward net zero. https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/early-estimate-canadas-emissions-increased-in-2025/

In this case, at least some of the receipts are public - though not details of government-oil industry negotiations. But fossil fuel subsidies often take the form of agreements between govt and a private investor that are released only via an FOI request, and with heavy redactions.

Also critical to all this is that Canadian governments are themselves *in the fossil fuel business*. Mostly obviously when they're owners of infrastructure such as TM pipelines and proposed Pacific Link but provinces are also partners as constitutionally-designated owners of subsurface oil/gas/coal.

This is surely driven by other things - the looming separation referendum in Alberta, and reducing Canada's economic dependence on exports to the US (though oil isn't a sector Trump has applied tariffs to) - but c'mon, let's stop pretending that increasing carbon emissions is good for climate.

Was in meeting so missed 1st part of David Eby's election announcement. I'm fascinating that he used the analogy of "building the firebreak" and not "throwing fuel on the fire" in light of recent climate/fossil energy policy changes. Did he mention climate earlier? Anyone got text of speech?

Reflecting further on @climateinstitute.bsky.social's analysis published yesterday. Not included in the figure below is what difference the Carney government has made to the 2030-2050 projections through weakening + abandoning climate policies and supporting projects that will increase emissions. /1

Canadian Climate Institute@climateinstitute.bsky.social

NEW: Canada’s emissions are now more than 20 years behind on the country’s 2030 target. Our latest analysis shows the policy choices that have Canada lagging and explains how to get back on track. 👇 https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/net-zero-canada-more-than-20-years-behind-2030-target/

Other things in modelling prob changed (e.g., oil prices) + pre-2025 there was some progress (CER, CH4) but also (if I'm recalling timing) weakening of the oil/gas emissions cap proposal. Still my takeaways: plans require actual policy implementation; and recent policy shifts have huge consequences.

👇👇👇!! The PM insists Canada is committed to net zero in 2050, but repealed and weakened policies mean we'll be lucky to hit our 2030 target by 2050. Getting to net zero demands adopting policies NOW to ensure longterm transition. You don't get to your destination by going in the opposite direction.

Canadian Climate Institute@climateinstitute.bsky.social

NEW: Canada’s emissions are now more than 20 years behind on the country’s 2030 target. Our latest analysis shows the policy choices that have Canada lagging and explains how to get back on track. 👇 https://440megatonnes.ca/insight/net-zero-canada-more-than-20-years-behind-2030-target/

Remarkable that fed govt released such an important report quietly just before a long weekend and the Minister wasn't available for comment. Same strategy for the Net Zero Act progress report last fall. Both in stark contrast to earlier reports.

André Picard @picardonhealth @picardonhealth.bsky.social

From retreating glaciers to wildfires and marine heat waves, the impacts climate change will likely become even more pronounced in Canada, federal assessment finds, by @jennthornhillverma.bsky.social @ivansemeniuk.bsky.social www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/scien... via @theglobeandmail.com

Not sure the "Tragedy of the Horizon" analogy works when we're at that horizon yet still resisting action. I'm thinking Mark Carney underestimated Cdn govts' unwillingness to forgo $* from oil/gas. * As owners, prov govts are themselves in the oil/gas business www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/scien...

theglobeandmail.comOttawa issues comprehensive climate report that reflects country’s physical transformationFrom retreating glaciers to wildfires and marine heat waves, climate change will likely become even more pronounced, assessment finds

To honour Gloria Steinem, let us all -- women and men -- undertake an "outrageous act and everyday rebellion" to advance social justice today. And then again tomorrow, and the next day... Feel free to share below what you're going to do or did.

Led by "structural reductions in transport oil demand driven by electrification. Sinopec had forecast 6% and 5% drops in diesel and petrol consumption this year ... before the start of the war on Iran. Actual sales fell 9%" in first half of 2026. Not a great time to spend $40B on a pipeline.

Carbon Brief@carbonbrief.org

NEW – Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions fall in Q2 2026 due to plummeting oil use | @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/P3nHdbA

Kathryn Harrison reposted

Perfection. No notes. Endorse

Alex Usher@alexusherhesa.bsky.social

Here is my letter to the MacDonald Laurier Institute on the subject of their appalling research. Use as you will. I recommend sending something of your own, though. And if you know anyone associated with MLI - and Board directors, say - send it to them, too.

Insights from @tyolsen.bsky.social, who really knows the Fraser Valley! A New Oil Pipeline Faces Mountains of Challenges: “It really seems to me like they’re picking names off; somebody in Alberta is circling names on a map and making that their submission.” @thetyee.ca thetyee.ca/Analysis/202...

thetyee.caIn the Fraser Valley, a New Oil Pipeline Faces Mountains of Challenges | The TyeeGetting through the steep, narrow stretch cost Trans Mountain billions. But Alberta’s plans to avoid a repeat is full of holes.

Canada is repealing its EV Available Standard to achieve 100% EV passenger vehicle sales by 2035. Although the govt has stated its intent to adopt regs equivalent to 75% by 2035, there's no text or schedule for that. Not holding my breath given Can-US trade negotiation gazette.gc.ca/rp-pr/p1/202...

gazette.gc.caCanada Gazette, Part 1, Volume 160, Number 33: Regulations Amending the Passenger Automobile and Light Truck Greenhouse Gas Emission RegulationsAugust 15, 2026, Part 1, Volume 160, Number 33, Canada Gazette

The fossil fuel subsidies just keep coming. The claim that TMX is making "oodles of money" (as Cdn Energy Minister described it) rests on clever accounting that downplays cost to taxpayers to build it. Trans Mountain Looks to Slash Pipeline Shipping Fees via @thetyee.ca thetyee.ca/News/2026/08...

thetyee.caTrans Mountain Looks to Slash Pipeline Shipping Fees | The TyeeThe deal would leave the public on the hook for more of the TMX megaproject’s cost overruns.

Important analysis of how media report on climate and, separately, wildfires: industry, technology, and (distant!) net zero depicted positively; government/policy essential to achieve that goal more negatively. victimshttps://www.nationalobserver.com/2026/08/11/opinion/ottawa-climate-crisis-hushing

nationalobserver.comThe country is burning. The feds are hushingCanada’s conversation about why heatwaves are happening and the federal government's plans to address the crisis are both as quiet as they have been in a decade.

And it will keep getting worse as long as we keep burning fossil fuels. And no, no one’s suggesting we can do that overnight. But we have alternatives and we need to deploy them with greater urgency. The sooner we do, the better the outcome.

My month-old grandchild is breathing unsafe air from wildfires. Canadians are evacuated and losing homes to wildfires. Firefighters are risking their lives. Cities across Europe are under red alert for life-threatening heat. And our political leaders are promising to expand oil and gas production.

4 stories on wildfire evacuations in news section of Globe & Mail yesterday, then these 3 in business section on booming profits of oil/gas companies that cause the problem. Worse than failure to link those the news stories, Canada is increasing subsidies for oil/gas as the world burns. #cdnpoli

Kathryn Harrison reposted

There's a lot of variation across #cdnecon in exposure to the new 50% U.S. tariffs (on August 19). Here's a preliminary estimate of the share of exports affected (based on HS6, so a slight over-estimate). BC/ON/QC most exposed. Others far less so.

Yes! We need both to fix the underlying problem and save lives in the meantime. If we only do the latter, warming will quickly outpace our ability to adapt, even for those fortunate enough to afford a/c. And the mighty heat pump does both! Reduces emissions by displacing gas and provides cooling.

Canadian Climate Institute@climateinstitute.bsky.social

An emerging debate over how to best protect people seeking an escape from heat waves in air conditioned-indoors is degrading into a false choice between reducing emissions or adapting to climate change. Read more from Ryan Ness. https://ow.ly/MG6w50ZqTfc

Kathryn Harrison reposted

The Canada-Alberta MOU on carbon pricing promised a fix for Alberta’s carbon market: too many carbon credits meant low prices were undermining investment to reduce emissions. But the proposed solution makes this problem worse. Read more from Dale Beugin https://ow.ly/1Wf050ZqR60

ow.lyNot all carbon market price floors are created equalThe “administrative” carbon market price floor proposed by the Alberta-Canada MOU will entrench oversupply in credit markets over time.