Eric Blair

Please follow Marisa. Also when the video w @markjacob.bsky.social came out many of us said that Healy was far too overconfident. In fact a lot of the public is pissed at bad NYT coverage but didn’t know who to blame. Now the public knows who to blame. That’s what’s happening here 👇

We are at the beginning of the end of bad 'basket-of-polls' politics, where politicians don't do anything without a poll. See this exchange. The public is now seeing what's really driving this so-called popularism approach: people who want to stop change and protect the status quo.

so, I'm out, for now

We are at the beginning of the end of bad 'basket-of-polls' politics, where politicians don't do anything without a poll. See this exchange. The public is now seeing what's really driving this so-called popularism approach: people who want to stop change and protect the status quo.

We have gone from a small group of people talking about the failure of basket-of-polls status quo politics—starting on Twitter back around 2018; a year or two before the E Levitz 2020 piece—to, now, widespread discussion. So it's broken containment.

Beginning 8 yr ago, people on Twitter, now on Bluesky, talked about how polls ruled D strategy. That pundits and pollsters used bad math to argue Dems shld be silent to support the status quo. @brianbeutler.bsky.social @whstancil.bsky.social @danancona.bsky.social Finally, things are changing.

I watch this Yglesias interview and I’m left with the impression that the game is up. everyone who is open to persuasion now knows that basket-of-polls politics is dead

Beginning 8 yr ago, people on Twitter, now on Bluesky, talked about how polls ruled D strategy. That pundits and pollsters used bad math to argue Dems shld be silent to support the status quo. @brianbeutler.bsky.social @whstancil.bsky.social @danancona.bsky.social Finally, things are changing.

And this core error has hurt America terribly. As Stancil discussed at length, Pelosi didn‘t act to impeach quickly after Jan 6 because the polls told her to do nothing, to wait, to sit on the status quo. What a lost opportunity.

Beginning 8 yr ago, people on Twitter, now on Bluesky, talked about how polls ruled D strategy. That pundits and pollsters used bad math to argue Dems shld be silent to support the status quo. @brianbeutler.bsky.social @whstancil.bsky.social @danancona.bsky.social Finally, things are changing.

Finally, we are seeing focus on the bad arguments people like Yglesias are using to reinforce the status quo that wealthy donors like. @mehdirhasan.bsky.social asked good questions and Yglesias answered directly.