RotoTrix

RotoTrix

@rototrix.bsky.social

Fantasy baseball & stats addict. Half-decent runner. Philadelphia Phillies & Eagles. #lufc ST holder. Literature, film & music.

402 followers842 following2.8K posts

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My #EPL predictions: 1. Arsenal ๐Ÿ† 2. Man City 3. Chelsea 4. Liverpool 5. Brentford 6. Man Utd 7. Bournemouth 8. Everton 9. Aston Villa 10. Tottenham 11. Nott'm Forest 12. #lufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› 13. Brighton 14. Crystal Palace 15. Newcastle 16. Fulham 17. Ipswich 18. Sunderland ๐Ÿ”ป 19. Coventry ๐Ÿ”ป 20. Hull City ๐Ÿ”ป

I feel like Jackson has seven really good GWs & then you'd want to move him on - plus I already own Manzambi. At 0.9m cheaper, Kostoulas is a potential season keeper - also not on pens but has a nice fixture run that goes beyond seven GWs ๐Ÿคท I feel like risking no Jackson is fine here โ‰๏ธ

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

Justin to Muha - already done โœ… 2 x FT remain. I'm tempted to do Calafiori & Pedro to Gabriel & Kostoulas. I'd bench Kostoulas this week. Thoughts welcomed. The other option is to simply do Pedro to Evanilson/Jackson ๐Ÿคท or I could roll, but I'd lose 0.1 on Pedro tonight, and miss any other rises.

Justin to Muha - already done โœ… 2 x FT remain. I'm tempted to do Calafiori & Pedro to Gabriel & Kostoulas. I'd bench Kostoulas this week. Thoughts welcomed. The other option is to simply do Pedro to Evanilson/Jackson ๐Ÿคท or I could roll, but I'd lose 0.1 on Pedro tonight, and miss any other rises.

Loosely translated: "We are working on a contract with Eddie Howe but it isn't finalised yet" - he is being given time to allow them time to sort a replacement. When Howe turns it down because he sees the writing on the wall, they will need a few weeks to sort their next Rangnick ๐Ÿคท #mufc

Ben Jacobs@jacobsben.bsky.social

๐Ÿšจ BREAKING: Michael Carrick set to be given time to turn things in around. Expected to be in charge for Chelsea. Training is taking place as usual. #MUFC now looking for a response at Stamford Bridge.

Imagine if both Manchester clubs go down ๐Ÿ‘€ it ain't happening, but we can dream. Lampard + UAE + Scum โœ…โœ…โœ…

I know people don't like "maths" but I have a spreadsheet that amalgamates & weights last season's xG totals, alongside this season's current xG totals & other offensive/defensive data, that then assessed probabilities against bookies' odds. ๐Ÿ‘‰ #lufc are very decent. Now you can all go to bed ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

I'm hearing people mention relegation battles. The hysterics are absolutely insane. If you fancy that, you can 28/1 at William Hill. #lufc are 12th favourites for relegation this year. Largely because all underlying data shows that we are really pretty decent, and almost certainly finish 7th-14th ๐Ÿคท

I'm hearing people mention relegation battles. The hysterics are absolutely insane. If you fancy that, you can 28/1 at William Hill. #lufc are 12th favourites for relegation this year. Largely because all underlying data shows that we are really pretty decent, and almost certainly finish 7th-14th ๐Ÿคท

It is crying out for Okafor. And if he ain't fit, get Bahoya on. Mukiele looks half asleep & you can get at O'Nien. Lacking enough pace to truly worry them so far. Bogle has been good & Muharemovic passing is breaking the lines. Okafor + Stach would allow intenser pressing & turnovers. #lufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

#CHETOT #thfc

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

Spurs were the better team there. You can see the basis of some good processes. I think they've sort of got The Yips around the box but it'll come. Think they have less points than they deserve so far, probably. #mufc #thfc #MUNTOT

0.93 xGI for MGW last night. #nffc could have scored four goals. I know that it feels like a trend but honestly, I think the luck will turn. They're playing well. And I've simply no intention of a sideways #FPL move to Tavernier or even Mbuemo (w/ tough fixtures) ๐Ÿคท MGW on pens; doing good work โœ…

#nffc completely outplayed & out-created #itfc there. And yet it seems to becoming a bit of them for them. No idea how they've only drawn that - you have to think this eventually turns but they've got to be more ruthless too ๐Ÿคท

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

How many chances do Forest need? It's kind of worrying in a way. The idea that they could leave Palace & Ipswich with only one point is wild. #IPSFOR

How many chances do Forest need? It's kind of worrying in a way. The idea that they could leave Palace & Ipswich with only one point is wild. #IPSFOR

๐Ÿ”€ Odegaard to Manzambi ๐Ÿ”€ Gonzalo to DCL ๐Ÿ”€ Kinsky to Raya ๐Ÿงข Haaland. The first two were early in the week, catching rises. Maybe mistakes. But allowed for Raya. Cest la vie. And I do want them from GW9 onwards (if fit). Actually reckon DCL plays. โšฝ 3 x FT in GW9; hope to roll. ๐ŸคžGood luck! #fpl

Is it crazy to consider MGW as captain? If he definitely starts tonight, that's not a bad shout, surely? One goal involvement & he's often on max bonus - and I really do think Forest's underlying numbers suggest they're quite strong (especially away from home) ๐Ÿคท #FPL

"Different with a muscle injury like Noah, have to be more careful. Would be just guessing if I said now" - sounds like Okafor is probably out, and I'd fire up the Wilson train now. Is this his chance to play higher up, closer to DCL? ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› #lufc - he could also use Aaronson, of course ๐Ÿคท

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

"Improved over the last days but not involved in team training yet. If game was today or tomorrow there would be no chance but we have time. An important player, not a muscle injury, just painful. As long as he can handle pain everything would be okay. Same with Anton" - I reckon both play ๐Ÿคท #lufc

"Improved over the last days but not involved in team training yet. If game was today or tomorrow there would be no chance but we have time. An important player, not a muscle injury, just painful. As long as he can handle pain everything would be okay. Same with Anton" - I reckon both play ๐Ÿคท #lufc

And this week he is out making claims on tactics, undermining the manager, and generally being totally unprofessional. Adds up ๐Ÿคท #mufc

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

I actually think that he's probably part of their issue as a club. He is brilliant in moments, of course. But he sets the culture. Players look up to him there & what he does, from the front, is set a culture of moaning & excuse-making. Contrast that with the culture set by Ampadu ๐Ÿคท #lufc #mufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

I actually think that he's probably part of their issue as a club. He is brilliant in moments, of course. But he sets the culture. Players look up to him there & what he does, from the front, is set a culture of moaning & excuse-making. Contrast that with the culture set by Ampadu ๐Ÿคท #lufc #mufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

Bruno Fernandes is embarrassing, by the way. Sometimes, you'll watch a player & think "yeh, he's annoying, but I'd like him if he played for my club". Despite all his quality, I can honestly say Bruno isn't one of those. Moaning, lobbying, whining, incessant bullshit. Embarrassing. #lufc #mufc

Bruno Fernandes is embarrassing, by the way. Sometimes, you'll watch a player & think "yeh, he's annoying, but I'd like him if he played for my club". Despite all his quality, I can honestly say Bruno isn't one of those. Moaning, lobbying, whining, incessant bullshit. Embarrassing. #lufc #mufc

It'll be a very tough, competitive game. I'm hopeful that Farke has a calm route planned to control things. Aggressive, but sensible. Fire in the heart but calm in the head. But I'm under no illusions - they have some very good players & they must be highly motivated today, surely. #lufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› #mufc

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

Come on Leeds. Let's fucking get at this lot. Tanaka to control that tempo. Ampadu & Stach to physically overpower them. ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› Just arrived at Elland Road ๐Ÿ‘Š #lufc #MOT

Come on Leeds. Let's fucking get at this lot. Tanaka to control that tempo. Ampadu & Stach to physically overpower them. ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› Just arrived at Elland Road ๐Ÿ‘Š #lufc #MOT

Never really go early but I've sold Odegaard for Manzambi. Probably benching him next week but i want him for GW9 & beyond - plus it saves me ยฃ0.8m budget. I'll decide whether to move Gonzalo to DCL or Thiago later in the week ๐Ÿคท #fpl

And again. Manzambi had a serious chance to play two in for a goal there. What is going on down Newcastle's right side? Porous. #NEWVIL #avfc #nufc

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

Newcastle can't defend. That's woeful again. One pass out wide & Villa are straight into the backline. #NEWVIL #avfc #nufc

Newcastle can't defend. That's woeful again. One pass out wide & Villa are straight into the backline. #NEWVIL #avfc #nufc

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

That is truly woeful defending on so many levels by Newcastle. Shall I criticise the total freedom of the cross, or the total freedom of the header? #NEWVIL #avfc #nufc

That is truly woeful defending on so many levels by Newcastle. Shall I criticise the total freedom of the cross, or the total freedom of the header? #NEWVIL #avfc #nufc

Not sure I can trust Gonzalo Garcia away at Coventry. With 5 x FT next week, I think I may use the one, and bring in DCL ๐Ÿคท ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› notwithstanding any further fires to put out. A bit annoying because he has the xGI - is he just in bad form? ๐Ÿคท #FPL

Can't stand Emi Martinez so I'm fully behind punishing him for delaying the game. But to be fair to Palmer & others, Everton are just running into blind alleys out wide & falling over at first contact - such an obvious tactic & the ref is buying it every time ๐Ÿคท #EVECHE #EFC #CFC

I feel like I could grab a player for two weeks, roll next week, and head into GW9 with 5 x FT - and I'll grab the likes of Manzambi & DCL then. Partly, I just keep envisaging Forest being quite competitive Vs Arsenal - it just doesn't feel like an Odegaard sort of game when I picture it unfolding.

Other options: ๐Ÿคท Roll. Start Odegaard. ๐Ÿ˜Ž Get Stach, MUN (H), sun (a) ๐Ÿ‘€ Get Doku, IPS (H), vil (a) ๐ŸŸฃ Get Manzambi now, new (a) - bench at City next week

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

As a two-week option (if Schade is out) is Jaiden Anthony the one? Liverpool are going to the G-Tech without Gravenberch, and they weren't even very good with him. Then Brentford get Hull (a) - and I can move him to Manzambi in GW9 ๐Ÿคท #FPL #BRELIV

As a two-week option (if Schade is out) is Jaiden Anthony the one? Liverpool are going to the G-Tech without Gravenberch, and they weren't even very good with him. Then Brentford get Hull (a) - and I can move him to Manzambi in GW9 ๐Ÿคท #FPL #BRELIV

I think my bottom five might be pretty accurate here y'know. Notwithstanding points deductions, of course. Understated Brighton - but reckon Spurs & Bournemouth will recover to at least some degree from the early season mud.

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

My #EPL predictions: 1. Arsenal ๐Ÿ† 2. Man City 3. Chelsea 4. Liverpool 5. Brentford 6. Man Utd 7. Bournemouth 8. Everton 9. Aston Villa 10. Tottenham 11. Nott'm Forest 12. #lufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› 13. Brighton 14. Crystal Palace 15. Newcastle 16. Fulham 17. Ipswich 18. Sunderland ๐Ÿ”ป 19. Coventry ๐Ÿ”ป 20. Hull City ๐Ÿ”ป

Spurs were the better team there. You can see the basis of some good processes. I think they've sort of got The Yips around the box but it'll come. Think they have less points than they deserve so far, probably. #mufc #thfc #MUNTOT

Last time we played Man Utd at home, Ampadu was banned. I was fearing the same scenario at half-time of that game today. But alas ... ๐Ÿ˜œ ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› #lufc

I think our main limitation so far this year is not one in Farke's control, actually - when he looks to make subs, he doesn't have "like for like" replacements for Noah or the RCM role, or even RWB. So any sub almost forces #lufc to change shape or approach. He needs backups that fit the system ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

The frustration is at 0-1 it felt like #lufc could get something there. The nature of the equaliser is disappointing because it's their first good chance, we lose the man at the back post & Trafford fails to make a save he should make (even though saving those close range unmarked ones ain't easy).

The frustration is at 0-1 it felt like #lufc could get something there. The nature of the equaliser is disappointing because it's their first good chance, we lose the man at the back post & Trafford fails to make a save he should make (even though saving those close range unmarked ones ain't easy).

Nothing to do with tactics or Farke - Arsenal have scored with their only two chances and that second one is top quality. They've got better players. Got to keep at it #lufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

Very well organised - great tempo about us set by Tanaka. Defenders passing the ball quickly has helped & DCL immense. Tough half incoming as they'll step it up + got to be careful with CMs on yellows. #lufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

Szob to Gross. Benched Konsa & Pedro for Egan & Gross, essentially. Got 4 x FT next week so I'm very relaxed on this. Good luck in #fpl all. And up the Whites ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› #lufc #MOT

"when we win the appeal" - it's the pure arrogance of #mcfc that is irking me now. Surely the correct legal stance here is "no comment" with the appeal ongoing etc. Just bore off. Any sympathy I might have had is just evaporating by the day. You can see the culture from ownership to football staff.

Another #lufc account biting the dust today, I'm afraid. Block button is out. I just can't do negative "playing devil's advocate" types. It gives me flashbacks to that sort of personality infecting my younger years. If you want to dream & smile, crack on ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

Maybe I actually do need my passport somewhat on standby then ๐Ÿ‘€ ๐Ÿ›‚ ๐Ÿ˜‚ #lufc ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› are Leeds more stable than Man City now? We are so back ๐Ÿ”™๐Ÿ˜Ž

One has to imagine that if #mcfc thought they had any chance of being relegated anytime soon, they wouldn't have spent like madmen again this past summer. I feel like they already know their probably punishment (and it likely isn't relegation). So many clubs will be livid if they get a light touch ๐Ÿคท

On that, don't let them all forget that they told us Spurs were definite Top Six immediately because they signed Tonali, Marmoush, Fernandes & Savio ๐Ÿคท I'm yet to see what others see in Fernandes, by the way - seems to be a fair weather sort to me โšฝ

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

Don't let the media forget that they told us Chelsea could challenge for the title, by the way. They said it's like one of the greatest attacking trios ever. Less xG than Hull at home, then one of 'em gets injured & they rack up 0.89 at Brentford. They've an ok chance at being in the mix for 4th ๐Ÿคท

Villa were 3/1. My model said VALUE!

RotoTrix@rototrix.bsky.social

Henderson & Welbeck start tonight. If Brentford win, the Chelsea meltdowns should be well worth the price of admission ๐Ÿ˜†๐Ÿ˜†๐Ÿ˜† Ps. My betting model says steer clear. No value here. The value is tomorrow ๐Ÿ‘€