Sentinel Alberta

Referendum update (unofficial): 5,536 of 5,537 voting locations reporting. Q10: Remain 1,544,819 (75.0%) / Referendum process 513,885 (25.0%). Official results Oct 29. results.elections.ab.ca Truth. Logic. Unity.

Mail-in ballots: 519,082 this referendum vs 51,351 in 2023. Real numbers, but Elections Alberta says 2023 isn't directly comparable. This time any eligible elector could apply, no reason needed, with signed declaration and ID copy. www.elections.ab.ca/resources/me... Truth. Logic. Unity.

AFP fact check: a high vote count on the separation question is not evidence of fraud. Voters got ten ballots, one per question, and the separation question was the one most people answered. Via AFP Canada. factcheck.afp.com/doc.afp.com....

Referendum update (unofficial): 98% of voting locations now reporting (5,453 of 5,560). Q10: Remain 1,545,665 (74.9%) / Referendum process 517,358 (25.1%). Counting continues; official results Oct 29. results.elections.ab.ca Truth. Logic. Unity.

Referendum update (unofficial): 90% of voting locations now reporting (5,022 of 5,583). Q10: Remain 1,454,120 (75.1%) / Referendum process 480,972 (24.9%). Counting continues; official results Oct 29. results.elections.ab.ca Truth. Logic. Unity.

Morning update (unofficial): with 4,399 of 5,586 voting locations reporting, Q10 stands at Remain 1,370,389 (75.8%) / Referendum process 438,693 (24.2%). Most Election Day ballots are now counted. Official results Oct 29. results.elections.ab.ca Truth. Logic. Unity.

Unofficial, early: 1,081 of 5,587 locations reporting. Q10: Remain 768,671 (76.6%) / Referendum process 235,215 (23.4%). About 71% of ballots counted so far are advance votes; Election Day counts still coming. results.elections.ab.ca Truth. Logic. Unity.

Four soldiers died at CFB Wainwright on Oct 17; 39 were injured. DND has named the fallen and briefed publicly, and an investigation is under way. Claims of a "cover-up", or blaming "DEI", have no evidence behind them. Their families deserve facts, not theories.

No referendum results yet - and none are official tonight. Voting locations closed late, so Elections Alberta publishes only once all are confirmed closed (earliest 10pm close). Q10 counts first, then Q1-9 in order. Unofficial results within 48 hours; official results Oct 29. results.elections.ab.ca

🗳️ TODAY Alberta votes. Polls open 9am–8pm, assigned location only. Bring ID proving name + current address. You've seen the claims vs the math — now show up. Vote informed. Guard the truth. 🇨🇦 elections.ab.ca #Alberta #Referendum

Tomorrow night, the “stop the steal” script comes out — a hand count moves, and movement will be sold as evidence. The field guide to count night, before it starts: sentinelab.substack.com/p/the-night-... 🛡️

Tomorrow, Alberta votes. 🛡️ You've seen the claims vs the math. You know who's trying to influence your vote — and why. Show up. Vote informed. Guard the truth. Polls open Oct 19. #Alberta #Referendum #SentinelAlberta

👀 Third-party advertisers can't appoint scrutineers for Oct. 19 — Elections Alberta is limiting access to official parties, citing space and logistics, and both sides have objected (CP). Its website still says third-party scrutineers “may be permitted.” 🛡️

🧢 A Canadian or Alberta flag on your clothing is NOT referendum advertising, and poll staff have been told not to prohibit it (Elections Alberta via Calgary Herald). Flags fine — slogans differ. Advance voting ends today, 8pm. 🛡️

🗳️ Advance voting ends TODAY, Sat Oct 17, 8pm. You don't have to answer all ten — each is its own ballot (CP); leave one blank rather than staying home. Any advance location in your division. Oct 19: assigned location only. 🛡️

⏰ Advance voting ENDS TODAY. The myths are debunked, the interference playbook is exposed — now it's your turn. Vote informed. Vote for facts over propaganda. Find your polling station and make it count. 🛡️🇨🇦 #Alberta #Referendum #SentinelAlberta

🛡️ Myth vs Reality: 'Alberta is rising up to leave.' Ipsos (June) found only 19% back a future binding referendum; latest Leger (Oct 2–4): Remain 70%, hold a referendum 22%. Loudest online ≠ majority. Advance voting ends today. 🇨🇦 #Alberta

⏰ 1M+ Albertans have already voted: 518,000+ at advance polls, 490,000+ special ballots processed (Elections Alberta via CTV, Oct. 16). Last advance day is TODAY, Sat Oct 17, 9am–8pm, any advance location in your division. 🗳️

⚖️ Reuters' Oct. 15 explainer calls all of Alberta's referendum nonbinding. Not the law: Q1–Q5 + Q10 are expressly non-binding, but Q6–Q9 bind Alberta — narrowly, to steps within its own power. Outcomes still need other governments. 🛡️

⏰ Mail-ballot deadline is TODAY, Oct. 16, 5pm — and it's when it ARRIVES, not when it's mailed. Still holding yours? Don't mail it: vote in person, advance voting to Oct. 17 or on Oct. 19. elections.ab.ca 🛡️

🛡️ Myth vs Reality #6: 'An independent Alberta gets its own dollar backed by gold, oil and Bitcoin.' A new currency means building a central bank from scratch — no track record, higher borrowing costs. Every option is a trade-off the separatists don't price in. 🇨🇦 #Alberta #Referendum

⏰ Athabasca update: extended hours at the Athabasca Seniors Centre — until 10pm Fri, Oct. 16, and until 9:22pm Sat, Oct. 17 (Elections Alberta, Oct. 15), making up Wednesday's outage closure. 🗳️ elections.ab.ca

📍 Athabasca–Barrhead–Westlock: advance voting resumes today at Athabasca Seniors Centre + Clyde returning office after Wednesday's power outage closed both (Elections Alberta). Turned away Wed? Vote today, 9am–8pm. 🗳️

⏰ Close to 175,000 Albertans voted on Day 1 of advance voting Tuesday (CP, Oct. 14). Beat the rush: go mid-morning or right after lunch, bring your voter card. Advance voting to Sat, Oct. 17, 9am–8pm, any advance location in your division. 🗳️

"53% of UCP members are separatists" was never polled. The real CBC number is about voters, not members — and a process, not separation. New on Substack: The 53% That Wasn't sentinelab.substack.com/p/the-53-tha... 🛡️

🛡️ Myth vs Reality #5: 'Ottawa fleeces $20,000 a year from every Alberta family.' That number was fabricated by Storm-1516, a Russian covert influence network, and spread through fake 'Albertan' accounts. It's not economics — it's foreign disinformation. 🇨🇦 #Alberta #Referendum #ForeignInterference

📬 Mail ballot still on your counter? Nearly two thirds were back as of Wednesday (CP, Oct. 14) — and yours must REACH Elections Alberta by Oct. 16, 5pm. Don’t gamble on the mail: vote in person, advance voting to Oct. 17 or Oct. 19. elections.ab.ca 🛡️

🇨🇦 Carney in person: Forever Canadian rallies Calgary Thu, Oct. 15 (BMO Centre) and Edmonton Fri, Oct. 16 (EXPO Centre), doors 5pm. Free, but no walk-up — everyone needs their own registered pass + matching photo ID. Register: www.forever-canadian.ca/en/rally 🛡️

📖 "What a Yes Actually Buys" — new on Substack. None of the 10 questions changes a law alone. Q1–Q5 + Q10 are expressly non-binding; Q6–Q9 bind Alberta only to pursue steps in its own power. A Yes buys a mandate, not a result. sentinelab.substack.com/p/what-a-yes... 🛡️

🛡️ Myth vs Reality #4: 'Alberta can walk away with half the CPP.' The asset transfer isn't the separatists' call to make — and it doesn't add up. 🇨🇦 #Alberta #Referendum #SentinelAlberta

Posted in Public: Musk told Alberta to separate — unpaid, uncoordinated, and worth understanding. Notice it. Then outvote it. sentinelab.substack.com/p/posted-in-...

🇨🇦 PM Carney's Thanksgiving video — filmed at his old Edmonton high school — was aimed at Oct 19: Canada is "worth fighting for" (CP, Oct 12). Poilievre is scheduled to speak in Calgary Friday, also urging Alberta to stay. Advance voting opens tomorrow, 9 a.m. 🛡️

🛡️ Myth vs Reality #3: 'Alberta could slash taxes after separation.' The tax-cut math doesn't survive contact with the real fiscal numbers. 🇨🇦 #Alberta #Referendum #SentinelAlberta

🗳️ What counts as a mandate? Smith named 50%+1 for Q10. For Q1–Q9 she named no threshold (CBC, Oct 9) — results + turnout first, direction Oct 20. Nine separate questions, no standard set in advance. The goalposts aren’t posted. 🛡️ #Alberta #Referendum

The court settled the voter-list rules. Nobody has answered for the breach. Six months, three investigations, zero charges. Our new piece: "The Leak Nobody Has Been Charged For" — sentinelab.substack.com/p/the-leak-n...

🛡️ Myth vs Reality #2: 'Independence means a $20B surplus.' Separatist promises vs. what the economists actually say. 🇨🇦 #Alberta #Referendum #SentinelAlberta

⚖️ RULING: Court dismisses the NDP's voter-list challenge — head-count-only lists stand for Oct 19. Government acted within its authority; referendum integrity not meaningfully undermined. The breach probe behind the rules is still open. 🛡️ #Alberta