Santa Fe Institute

Santa Fe Institute

@sfiscience.bsky.social

The premier research center for #ComplexSystems #science. santafe.edu linktr.ee/sfiscience

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Scientists have been refining ways to model systems, from bridges and space shuttles to forest fires and tumors. These “digital twins” mimic their real-world counterparts and evolve alongside them. SFI’s recent working group on digital twins discussed breakthroughs and open challenges.

santafe.eduBuilding better digital twinsScientists have been refining ways to model physical structures and systems, from bridges and space shuttles to forest fires and tumors. These “digital twins” mimic their real-world counterparts and e...

Mathematical proof dates back to Euclid in 300 BCE, yet little is known about what happens in the mind when humans solve proofs. This week, an SFI working group brought together mathematicians, cognitive scientists, computer scientists, and philosophers to ask what it means to understand a proof.

santafe.eduProofs and reasons: How math works in the mindMathematical proof dates back at least to Euclid in 300 BCE, and yet little is known about what happens in the mind when humans solve proofs. This week, an SFI working group co-organized by SFI Extern...

In this SFI Seminar, Keith Hengen (WashU) explores the criticality hypothesis, proposing that healthy brains operate near a tipping point that maximizes computational capacity. Using experimental evidence, he examines how criticality shapes learning, development, sleep, and neurological disorders.

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In her new book, "The Traveler," SFI Miller Scholar Andrea Wulf gives us George Forster, an explorer and naturalist who joined James Cook's expeditions at 17 and "observed with both his mind and his heart." Despite a sad end, Wulf makes the arc of his life glorious, writes SFI Professor Cris Moore.

santafe.eduA review of "The Traveler"In this essay, SFI Professor Cris Moore reviews Miller Scholar Andrea Wulf's latest book, The Traveler. Like her previous work, this book opens a window onto the science and philosophy of the 18th and...

As American midterm elections approach, conventional narratives no longer fully explain who votes how. SFI's Brandon Ogbunu and Andrew Stier mapped implicit racial bias in 140 American cities onto voting records and found patterns that didn't match conventional political wisdom.

santafe.eduOf midterms, mayors, and complex political identityWhy did Obama voters pick Trump, or New Yorkers pick Mamdani? It comes down to complex political identity, a new paradigm explored in a recent SFI working group. Conventional narratives no longer full...

Catch up on SFI’s recent Community Lecture “The Indefinite Sublime: Tom McCarthy on Moby-Dick.” In this lecture, McCarthy reflected on the richness and complexity of Melville’s novel, and on why Moby-Dick still invites new ways of reading and thinking.

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A random walk is a simple model of motion: each step goes in a randomly chosen direction, through surroundings that stay fixed. In a new Physical Review Letters paper, SFI's Sidney Redner and colleagues test what happens when the walker pushes obstacles aside, deforming the medium as it goes.

santafe.eduRandom walks get pushyWhen physicists study a “random walk,” they’re investigating the path followed when you’re allowed to take each step in a randomly determined direction. In a confined space, a random walker sometimes ...

Optimism isn't quite a taboo word in science, but it's not a sentiment most scientists would use to describe their outlook. In It Could Be Otherwise, SFI Fractal Faculty Stuart Firestein argues that optimism has always been a character in modern science, writes SFI Professor C. Brandon Ogbunu.

santafe.eduThe complexity of scientific optimism: A review of "It Could Be Otherwise"SFI Fractal Faculty member Stuart Firestein's new book, It Could Be Otherwise, "proposes a subtly radical notion," writes SFI Professor Brandon Ogbunu in this review: "that optimism, as much as confli...

Animals forage, immune cells patrol for pathogens, and algorithms trawl for optimal solutions. Searching is ubiquitous, says SFI's Aanjaneya Kumar. Searchers drop out, and new ones arrive. In a new paper, Kumar and Samantha Linn show how that shifting cast shapes the search.

santafe.eduChange the number of searchers, change the efficiency of a questIn natural and artificial systems, the act of searching is ubiquitous, but it's also complicated: Searchers may die off or disappear, and new searchers can join the hunt. But most rigorous investigati...

Influenza spreads faster in a crowded barracks or prison. Ebola proliferates when hospital beds run short. A new paper in Biology Letters, led by SFI's Brandon Ogbunu, introduces "structural causal influence," quantifying how social inequality shapes disease spread and whether interventions work.

santafe.eduModeling social inequality in epidemicsFor decades, researchers have rigorously documented the way social inequality shapes the spread of disease. In parallel, mathematical models have emerged for forecasting epidemics and weighing differe...

Every human holds implicit biases, involuntary associations about members of different social groups. But these biases are not fixed, they are malleable reflections of our everyday experiences. A new study shows they are harder to change in large cities, with millions of people, than in small ones.

santafe.eduImplicit biases are harder to change in big cities than in small citiesEvery human has implicit biases, or involuntary associations about members of different social groups. But these biases are not fixed. Rather, they’re malleable reflections of our everyday experiences...

Competition to publish in elite journals is fierce, yet the confidentiality of the peer-review process — the gold standard for assessing whether a study meets the criteria for publication — has long made the process itself hard to study. A new paper in Science Advances offers a first look.

santafe.eduNew study examines publication trends at top journalsThe small fraction of papers that make it to publication in the top scientific journals plays a powerful role in scientific discourse, shaping both public policy and scientific careers, yet the confid...

In aviation, nations run their own airspace but follow shared rules that keep thousands of planes from colliding. Space needs the same. In an article for Nature, SFI's France Córdova, lead author Gioia Rau, and colleagues call for a shared framework to coordinate operations as orbital debris grows.

santafe.eduCoordinating international operations with “Space Diplomacy”In the comment article  “Space diplomacy: bridging the operating gaps between myriad missions,” which was recently published in Nature, SFI External Professor France Córdova, lead author Gioia Rau, an...

From HIV and hepatitis C to Zika, Ebola, and mpox viruses, the list of multiroute pathogens is growing rapidly. In a Focus article recently published in Science Advances, SFI's Samuel Scarpino explains why new modelling techniques are needed to capture the dynamics of these multiroute pathogens.

santafe.eduMultiroute Pathogen Transsmission is DifferentIn a Focus article recently published in Science Advances, SFI External Professor Samuel Scarpino (Northeastern University) explains why new modelling techniques are needed to capture the dynamics of ...

There's a paradox in anthropology: the larger a population gets, the better protected it should be from random fluctuations that could cause collapse. Yet the record is rife with large civilizations that failed. New research from SFI's Marcus Hamilton points to an unexpected culprit: cooperation.

santafe.eduCooperation both protects and weakens societiesWhen mega-societies like Rome collapse, it shows that no group is too big to fail. New research from SFI External Professor Marcus Hamilton shows why.

SFI's Andreas Wagner (University of Zurich) was awarded the European Research Council’s Advanced Grant to study fitness landscapes in evolutionary biology. The award will help the SEASCAPES project. Wagner believes this could have strong implications in fields like medicine and protein engineering.

santafe.eduAndreas Wagner awarded ERC Advanced GrantSFI External Professor Andreas Wagner has been awarded an Advanced Grant from the European Research Council to study fitness landscapes in evolutionary biology.

AI now touches every step of criminal justice, from police investigation to trial, with implications both desirable and less so. Last month, SFI's Cristopher Moore, Melanie Mitchell, and Melanie Moses addressed them at the National Judicial Summit in Santa Fe, attended by about 300 judges.

santafe.eduSFI Professors Give Judges Advice on AIIn June, three SFI Faculty members participated in panel discussions at the National Judicial Summit on the Foundation and Future of the Judiciary, addressing issues around AI use in the criminal just...

Last fall, SFI's John Krakauer was named director of the Centre for Restorative Neurotechnology (CRN) at Lisbon's Champalimaud Foundation, a center he helped create. Krakauer has been connected to Champalimaud for more than a decade, first as a visiting scientist at its Centre for the Unknown.

santafe.eduJohn Krakauer named director of Champalimaud's Centre for Restorative NeurotechnologyLast fall, SFI External Professor John Krakauer was named director of the Centre for Restorative Neurotechnology (CRN) — a center he helped create — at the Champalimaud Foundation in Lisbon. He takes ...

New book by SFI's Marten Scheffer. Our crises are intertwined: a warming planet, a rising human footprint, inequality, polarization. Yet Scheffer is hopeful: societies, like other complex systems, can tip suddenly toward a better, more stable state. Reviewed by SFI's Tim Kohler.

santafe.eduBook Review: "Tipping out of Trouble: How Societies Transformed and How We Can Do So Again""Marten Scheffer’s book, Tipping out of Trouble, will open your mind to how scientific knowledge can be turned into social change to address our most dire problems," writes Tim Kohler in this book rev...

Present-day LLMs like ChatGPT and Claude can write poetry and solve algebra problems. Some researchers call this "emergence," but not everyone agrees. A new paper by SFI's David Krakauer, Melanie Mitchell, and John Krakauer proposes a framework to clarify whether AI capabilities are truly emergent.

santafe.eduDoes intelligence ‘emerge’ in large language models?Present-day LLMs, such as ChatGPT and Claude, can perform complex tasks, such as writing poetry and solving difficult algebra problems, with astounding speed and precision. Some researchers have refer...

Your dominant hand isn't better because it's "born" that way. It's just had more practice, a new PNAS study finds. The skill gap appears only when you pick up a tool, suggesting handedness is, in part, a fingerprint of human tool-use culture.

santafe.eduYour dominant hand is made, not bornMost people favor one hand, and that hand tends to be the better one at writing, at throwing, at managing chopsticks. The long-standing view is that the dominant hand is “born” more capable, its skill...

The dominant model of opinion dynamics has long assumed that people average all views, outliers included. In a new paper, SFI's Kaleda Denton and colleagues test a different model, based on the most popular opinion, against real-world data and find it consistently beats DeGroot averaging.

santafe.eduModel redefining conformity excels against real-world dataIn a new paper in PNAS, SFI Complexity Postdoctoral Fellow Kaleda Denton, SFI External Faculty Fellow, and Science Board Fellow Marcus Feldman, and independent researcher Jonathan F. Johannemann offer...

SFI's Nicholas de Monchaux has been named the new dean of UC Berkeley’s College of Environmental Design. De Monchaux, an acclaimed architect, urbanist, and scholar, has led MIT’s Department of Architecture since 2020 and is returning to UC Berkeley, where he was a professor from 2006 to 2019.

santafe.eduSFI External Professor Nicholas de Monchaux named Dean of UC Berkeley College of Environmental DesignSFI External Professor Nicholas de Monchaux has been named the new dean of UC Berkeley’s College of Environmental Design (CED), with a term commencing July 1, 2027.

SFI's Brian Enquist has received the Ecological Society of America’s Robert H. MacArthur Award, one of the field’s highest honors for mid-career ecologists. The award recognizes Enquist’s work linking functional traits in organisms to the structure and functioning of communities and ecosystems.

santafe.eduBrian Enquist receives Robert H. MacArthur AwardSFI External Professor Brian Enquist (University of Arizona) has been awarded the Ecological Society of America's prestigious Robert H. MacArthur Award, which celebrates a mid-career ecologist for “me...

SFI's Han van der Maas has been named the next director of the University of Amsterdam’s Institute for Advanced Study (IAS). A professor of psychological methods, he has been involved with the IAS since its founding in 2016, previously as a principal investigator and with the management team.

santafe.eduHan van der Maas named director of Amsterdam’s Institute for Advanced StudySFI External Professor Han van der Maas has been named the next director of the University of Amsterdam’s Institute for Advanced Study (IAS). Van der Maas, a professor of psychological methods at the ...

SFI Complexity Postdoctoral Fellow Marina Dubova (@mdubova.bsky.social) has received a 2026 Glushko Dissertation Prize from the Cognitive Science Society and the Glushko-Samuelson Foundation. The prize recognizes recent Ph.D. dissertations for groundbreaking work in cognitive science.

santafe.eduMarina Dubova receives Dissertation PrizeThe Cognitive Science Society and the Glushko-Samuelson Foundation have awarded SFI Complexity Postdoctoral Fellow Marina Dubova a 2026 Glushko Dissertation Prize. The prize recognizes up to five rece...

In March, SFI's Aaron Clauset (University of Colorado Boulder) received two notable honors: he was elected a 2025 Fellow of the @aaas.org and named 2026 Distinguished Alumni by UNM. Both honors recognize Clauset’s foundational contributions to network science and computational social science.

santafe.eduAaron Clauset receives honors from AAAS and University of New MexicoIn March, SFI External Professor Aaron Clauset (University of Colorado Boulder) received two notable honors: he was elected a 2025 Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and...

SFI's Laurent Hébert-Dufresne has received the 2026 Erdős-Rényi Prize, the top honor for early-career researchers in network science. “This recognition reflects the deeply collaborative nature of complex systems research,” says Hébert-Dufresne.

santafe.eduLaurent Hébert-Dufresne receives Erdős-Rényi PrizeSFI External Professor Laurent Hébert-Dufresne (University of Vermont) is the 2026 recipient of the Erdős-Rényi Prize, the top honor for early-career researchers working in network science.

All of biology is transient. Over time, identical cells can diverge into subgroups with different behaviors (size, protein expression, metabolism). A new paper by SFI’s James Holehouse shows these population patterns don’t always reflect single-cell behavior or mechanisms.

santafe.eduWhy noise may be the key to understanding cell group patternsAll of biology is transient. Over time, a population of identical cells can change so that some subgroups exhibit different behaviors — everything from varying sizes to the expression of certain prote...