Dr Tamitha Skov

A partially Earth-directed solar storm comes! We may get a glancing blow late October 1. Using NASA's model solution I ran my flux rope 3D Visualizer to see how much of a side swipe the storm could give us. Check out the flux rope 3D animation https://shorturl.at/WzKwk (takes a minute to load)

A stealthy solar storm launches between fast wind streams which helps aurora photographers. Radio & GPS users get a short break from radio blackouts. Learn the details in the new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast: https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/173058797 (no paywall + graphics and blog)

Fast solar wind will boost activity starting late October 20-21, giving aurora photographers a chance for a show. Views may be bleached due to the bright moon on its way to being full October 25. Amateur radio & GPS users, flare activity decreases this week but the dayside radio bands remain noisy.

Two more solar storms plus some fast solar wind will impact Earth over the next couple of days, continuing this week's storming and extending aurora chances through October 14. I will do a storm impact wrap up and discuss what's next in my full forecast, out later this week.

Earth is getting hammered! Thanks to a fashionably late solar storm impact and continued flaring from Region 4549, impacts at Earth are strong. Aurora should brighten where skies are clear. Radio & GPS suffers increased signal degradation and noise. Conditions will worsen over the next 24 hours.

4 Earth-directed solar storms race towards Earth! Learn why in the latest SpaceWeatherWoman forecast. Get all the details and more. This could be the best chance aurora hunters have to catch views into mid-latitudes all year. https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/171747102 (no paywall)

Our Sun continues to dazzle with an M6.7-flare from Region 4549! Radio operators are being hit with an R2-level radio blackout on the dayside of Earth. It also launched a solar storm. This is now the fourth big solar storm headed towards Earth. Expect more to come from this highly unstable region!

The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast is up! Learn about the coming solar storm side swipe, see when we last saw a heart-shaped coronal hole, and take a 3D tour with the solar storm visualizer to discover what aurora chances are this week: https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/171080536

Our Sun shows how deep into the declining phase we are by flirting with the notion of a spotless day, but it doesnt last long! Fast wind comes, flare activity ramps up, and the promise for more solar storming rotates into view: https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/170124881 (no paywall)

The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast is up! Learn why the recent solar storms and fast wind have been unpredictable, watch how a radiation storm got delayed in transit & see why storming is likely not over yet https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/169673109 (no paywall + blog and graphics)

Our Sun has sent us a wave front of solar storms along with fast wind hitting Earth now. Learn the details of these events and why so many are being launched from sunspots that seem to have low flare potential: https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/168924837 (no paywall + blog & graphics)

Conditions at Earth have lit up like a Christmas tree! The GEOCHRON shows the radiation storm continues to grow more intense. This is causing ROTI turbulence zones (purple splotches) to increase. High-latitude GPS users & airline pilots should remain vigilant as signal degradation is possible now.

Look how fast the radiation storm rose. Higher energies (100 MeV) reached the S1-level 30 minutes before low energies did. This means the blast wave was extremely strong, despite only an M1-flare. This is why we cant judge the strength of radiation or solar storm launches by solar flare intensity!

Old region 4520 may have submerged back under the surface since September 3, but it sure has not lost its eruptive power! It fired an M1-class flare, hardly an R1-level radio blackout, but in the same breath, it launched a massive solar storm to the west of Earth along with a strong radiation storm!

Region 4524 makes an entrance with an M3-flare & high R1-level Radio Blackout! It also launched a massive solar storm to the East of Earth. Here's the GEOCHRON view of the R1-radio blackout over the western hemisphere. Degradation is likely over the next hour through the 20 MHz band on the dayside.

4 solar storms are on their way to Earth! Watch a new Rossby surge take hold of our Sun & a bunch of new regions emerge all at once. Check out aurora viewing chances, especially with a bright moon & partial lunar eclipse! https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/167808431 (no paywall + more)

The edges of our Sun light up! Regions 4507 and 4513 on the Sun's limbs are firing big flares and solar storm launches. But the biggest impact at Earth right now is from a radiation storm from the Sun's farside! Old Region 4503 fired a big event and now Earth is bathing in energetic particle fluxes.

The solar storm has hit! See the vertical blue line in the plot. It comes with a precursor ramp up due to fast solar wind pushing the storm from behind. It's also slower than expected so we could have an "outsized" magnetic field response relative to the aurora show. It may be more bark than bite.

The new Space Weather Woman forecast is up! Learn the details of the jumble of storms coming from our leaky star, see activity pick up on the east limb & watch as a coronal hole pushes an erupting storm all the way across the Sun https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/166811939 (no paywall)

Perfect timing: Two solar storms hit Earth along with a total solar eclipse at the same time as the peak of the Perseid meteor shower? What a gift! Discover the details of this rare celestial convergence: https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/166355634 (no paywall + blog & eclipse links)

An extremely slow-moving solar storm is passing over Earth today and Ive been waiting to see if it might become newsworthy. In the last hour or so AE has begun to hover around ~1000 nT and stay there. In a general sense, this means aurora might finally build enough to dip down into mid-latitudes!

The latest mini-solar storm impact has been mild, but the larger solar storm has yet to arrive. The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast goes into detail about what is happening, including the big radiation storm hitting Earth, & when to see aurora and meteors this week: https://youtu.be/uXmqB-s9p0c

Region 4492 just fired an M1.9-flare, but the real story is the very HARD spectrum radiation storm building now. It is strongly penetrating at the flight levels of airlines and low Earth orbit (LEO). We are at an S1-level radiation storm alert now. High risk passengers take this into consideration.

Our Sun is peppering the Earth in solar storms and flares this week. The big focus is Region 4493, which has become a X-flare player and totally reshaped the nearby coronal hole. Learn the details and see what it all means for aurora, HF radio operators, & GPS users: https://youtu.be/jco1yfMTJo8

Great news! Aurora viewing chances just skyrocketed! Views possible even deep into mid-latitudes tonight thanks to a sharp flip in the magnetic orientation of the latest solar storm. Aurora chasers, if current conditions are sustained we could easily reach G3 storm levels over the next few hours.

Join me TODAY at 5:30pm PDT (00:30 UTC July 3) for a LIVE briefing on all the big activity from our Sun, what we should expect with the coming holiday solar storm train, and when things will quiet back down. https://youtube.com/live/-0YF6Y5VR-k?feature=share

Here is the full 3D interactive animation showing the first of the coming solar storms. Launched during the X1.1-flare on June 30, this storm uses the NASA/M2M fit, coronagraph imagery from GOES, SOHO, & STEREO-A (shown below). This takes about a minute to load: https://shorturl.at/NC2Qa

Want to kknow what the coming solar storms look like? Fly through this 3D solar storm visualizer to see the first of several storms that could bring us aurora. Launched during the X1.1-flare on June 30, this storm was modeled using the preliminary fit from NASA/M2M: https://shorturl.at/Mw6nd

Machine-Gun Sun! 5 storms are on their way to Earth--3 of them offer good chances for aurora views. NOAA and NASA model predictions do not show all the storms yet, but the first should hit before noon July 3 UTC. Expect G2+ level conditions, if the orientation of the storms are conducive for aurora.

Between the X-class flare and a slow solar storm hit, there's a lot of radio signal degradation today. An R3-level radio blackout of HF/ VHF (see the "bull's-eye" color pattern on the map) on Earth's dayside and an increase in blue-purple turbulent zones affecting GPS. Stay vigilant radio operators!

Our Sun does more than sizzle: Region 4479 just fired an X1.1-flare and big solar storm while in the Earth-Strike Zone! Fast wind from a coronal hole south of the source region could deflect the structure northward, but we could catch some of it. Waiting for coronagraphs to inform model runs now.

A new Space Weather forecast is here just in time for Field Day Weekend! Learn why X-flares and big Radio Blackouts are on the menu, find out why streamer blowouts are expected to hit Earth, and see when aurora chances should peak this week: https://www.patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman/posts/162169052

Finally, after flirting with the aurora for nearly 24 hours, we are finally getting some strong substorm indications. This is good news. The fast wind combined with a flanking solar storm blow should give us a short-lived G1 storm (I hope). Aurora chasers stay vigilant over the next 24 hours.

Our Sun wakes! Region 4473 fires an M6.9-flare with an R2 Radio Blackout that is calming slowly. Radio operators on the sunlit side of Earth expect HF/VHF comms issues over the next hour. Aviators in the northern hemisphere, stay vigilant for GPS issues especially where the Sun is low in the sky.

Early estimates of midday to late June 13 look to be spot on, at least with the NOAA/SWPC prediction. Here is their latest model run that captures the two eastward travelling solar storms. As for the south-westward filament launch, I am not so ready to dismiss that particular storm Expect G1-levels!

Yet another chance! Despite the most recent solar storm fizzle, 3 partially Earth directed solar storms launched in the last 24 hours and are on their way to Earth. All of these storms have a chance of at least grazing Earth, with impact starting likely mid to late day June 13. More analysis coming!

Join me LIVE today at 7pm PDT (02:00 UTC June 8) for a live forecast briefing! After I give the bottom line up front, I will deep dive into recent solar activity, launches, and talk about the crazy solar storm shape that is complicating thjings.

Just when everyone thinks the recent solar storm fizzles were all we were going to have this week, WHAM! Region 4461 fires a massive blast and launches a fast solar storm towards Earth. Aurora photographers get ready for arrival June 8, as this storm could easily outperform the others we just had!

This first solar storm arrival shows northward magnetic field (thanks @HaloCME), which means aurora remains at high latitudes for now. But ions upstream of Earth indicate a shock is coming, which means another storm approaches. New Zealand, Tasmania, & Australia stay vigilant. Aurora may build soon!

Fashionably late: The expected solar storms have yet to arrive, but they are drawing near! Learn the details of the 4 solar storms on their way, find out why Region 4455 has been so unstable & watch the recent X-flare disrupt satellite signals for a short bit! https://www.patreon.com/posts/160176272

Direct Hit! The solar storm launched during the M9.3-flare is indeed Earth-directed! NASA's solar storm prediction shows this second storm arrivaing late June 4. However, a small storm will precede this so expect some impact starting around mid-day June 4 with the stronger storm close behind!

Region 4455 strikes again! M9.3-flare (nearly an X-flare) with a high R2-level radio blackout now! Expect degraded radio communications over next hour, especially Asian Pacific, India, Asia, East Africa, Alaska & Hawaii (colored areas in map). X-flare risk remains elevated over the next 72 hours.

Our Sun wakes up! In the last 6 hours, our Sun has launched 3 solar storms with Region 4455 firing one straight at Earth now. Waiting for more data to come in, but this could finally give aurora photographers at mid-latitudes something to celebrate! Arrival possible by late June 4 or early June 5.

Farside flare players rotate into Earth view this week! Over 10 active regions grace the Sun's east limb and are firing flares and solar storms. Streamer blowouts hit amid some fast solar wind. Learn the details in the newest #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast:  https://www.patreon.com/posts/159443181

Here is the latest activity from our Sun. Quite a few new regions are rotating into view from the Sun's farside, which means more activity is coming our way. Working on a full forecast now!

On the Sun's farside old Region 4429 has been growing like gangbusters!. Not only that, another sunspot cluster has emerged nearby causing big instability. In the past 2 days it's fired 4 X-class flares & 13 M-class flares in Solar Orbiter's view. This region will rotate into view in about 6 days.

The fast solar wind is now giving us sustained southward field so aurora is dropping down to mid-latitudes now! Expect views to continue to brighten over the next several hours at least. The new moon tonight also means skies should be exceptionally dark! Perfect for viewing where skies are clear!

The new #SpaceWeatherWoman forecast is up! Learn lesser-known details of the recent M5.8-flare & solar storm launch, including the effect on a nearby coronal hole. See when the next chance for aurora is & why HF radio operators get a short reprieve from radio blackouts! https://youtu.be/qLnkogEGx5A