Tommy Bennett

Tommy Bennett

@tommybennett.com

Civ pro, fed cts, con law. Also: baseball, charts, trivia. https://tommybennett.com/

3.9K followers798 following315 posts

Today's Supreme Court order list was the first good opportunity to test my cert-probability model. This chart shows the disposition of the cases distributed for the long conference for which my model generated a prediction. Looks pretty good.

9. Why make this? Mostly because I was tired of interacting with the Supreme Court's website, which is poor, and thought I could do better. With the help of recent advances in AI coding, what began as a project to track all new Supreme Court filings each day has grown to this.

10. I view this project as a kind of @baseball-reference.com for the Supreme Court. Comprehensive, updated every day (indeed, in this case, many times per day), analytical and numeric, and an essential companion. Please reach out with any issues, bugs, or objections!

4. The homepage provides the most urgent information: Which petitions filed recently are most likely to be granted? Which opinions and orders has the Court recently handed down (on both the regular and the interim docket)? What events are upcoming at the Court? Etc.

2. The site's model assigns a grant probability to every paid petition for certiorari. The model is trained on all the data in the database, and uses many different variables to derive its probabilities. Is it perfect? No. Is it better than any other public model? Yes.

This website and database compiles information about the Supreme Court's entire docket beginning with the 2017 Term and updated multiple times per day. It presents those dockets, and that data, in an accessible and user-friendly fashion.

I don't know if we should abandon SSRN for an alternative. But I do know that it's now essentially trivial to make a replacement, because I made one in an afternoon.

I try to teach my classes such that, even when they are vacationing across Europe in the summer, my students cannot escape thinking about National Pork Producers Council v. Ross.

Tommy Bennett reposted

Once again the world has turned, and baseball is back. To mark the occasion, here is my favorite literary quotation about baseball, from DeLillo's "Mao II"

Listening to the tariff oral argument from last week and my main reaction is that we need to deploy the nation’s strategic podcast-producer reserve to the Federal Circuit

A good bit of commentary on the exercise of equitable power has the flavor of, “ugh, isn’t it lawless how this whole area lacks hard rules and focuses on difficult judgments of fairness?”

Hi, friends. I'd like to share a new-ish paper that I'm delighted to have in print. It's called "Breaking Kayfabe," and it's about what professional wrestling can teach us about Supreme Court opinions. I'd be grateful if you gave it some time!

For reasons I'll make public soon, I have been tracking newly filed petitions for certiorari at the Supreme Court. Yesterday—July 1—the Court began assigning docket numbers beginning "25-" instead of "24-" Look who filed (first one is with the Stanford Clinic). What do they know?