Tim Clancy

Tim Clancy

@viewfromarchstreet.com

Arch Street=making connections in science, cybersecurity & innovation. former NSF, House Science Committee. environment, upstate NY, science & tech policy everywhere. Jazz. Occasional Boston Celtics musings Alexandria, Virginia viewfromarchstreet.com

1.7K followers837 following2.1K posts

The Framework would track data like IP development, commercialization activity, partnerships, additional investment raised, and the barriers that slow adoption. This would supplement administrative data to understand the outcomes of TIP-funded activities.

Tim Clancy reposted

BREAKING: Major shakeup in NSF leadership. Brian Stone, who has been performing the duties of NSF director since April 2025, is retiring on Dec. 31. Rebecca Keiser, who has been acting chief of staff, is also retiring, Oct. 31. Unclear who will replace Stone, since O'Neill's nom hasn't moved.

And the House Select Committee on Astronautics and Space Exploration, now the permanent House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology

Stephen Schwartz@atomicanalyst.bsky.social

At 7:28 pm GMT tonight in 1957 at the Tyuratam Test Range in Kazakhstan, the Soviet Union launched the first artificial satellite—Prosteyshiy Sputnik 1 (Elementary Satellite 1)—into low-Earth orbit, shocking the United States, igniting a Cold War space & ICBM race, and spurring the creation of NASA.

Fun Fact: John Dingell always called the SS&T Committee (somewhat derisively) the “Committee on Astronautics and Aeronautics” believing its science and energy research jurisdiction was somehow taken from *him*

The famous “ice palace” in the film Doctor Zhivago was actually made of wax, and the set was located in the Spanish desert.

Amy "Thunderjam" Chase@amythunderjam.bsky.social

We all know the "Viggo broke his toe" story but what's another movie fact you're personally compelled to bring up every time without prompting? For me, it's the fact that Robin Tunney is wearing a wig in The Craft because of having just shaved her head to save her job filming Empire Records.

Tim Clancy reposted

Replying to @normative.bsky.social

Literally never in human history has it been so easy to read such a dizzying variety of books either free or dirt cheap. And if you can make a relatively modest up-front investment in an e-reader, instantaneously. Cost is not the problem.

Tim Clancy reposted

Just gonna repost this: You can’t “prove” anything isn’t conscious — a plant, a rock, your iPhone — but even without deeply understanding the nature of consciousness, we can say there’s no good reason to expect it to correlate with what LLMs are good at. juliansanchez.substack.com/p/dont-fall-...

juliansanchez.substack.comDon't Fall in Love With Your ToasterA quick argument about AI consciousness
Will Stancil@whstancil.bsky.social

yeah a lot of this debate boils down to this: "shut up, nerd, why are you making me think about this obnoxious nerd stuff, everyone already knows the real answer" the problem is that the track record of the people saying "shut up, nerd, we already know this" is, historically, pretttttttty bad

Tim Clancy reposted

Y’all, I hate to rain on the dead bot parade, but the Yandex data center destruction doesn’t seem to have significantly impacted social media bots. I made temporal graphs of X posts about AfD around the time of the attack and there’s no sign of a sudden dip or residual impact on that conversation.

The commingling of civ/mil critical infrastructure has been going on for some time but now it’s hyper scaled.

David Kaye@davidakaye.bsky.social

As *everything* becomes powered by AI, where do we even begin in distinguishing mil and non-mil uses of data centers. The commingling is a looming catastrophe.

Tim Clancy reposted

I will not only be relieved but truly *ecstatic* to be wrong, if more and better studies soon start showing that AI actually improves learning and cognitive motivation. But so far they all show the opposite, and that is consistent with the evidence that I and other educators are seeing on the ground

This is one of the most inane and useless threads of all time.

Will Stancil@whstancil.bsky.social

Again: “AIs aren’t conscious” is a strong, affirmative claim. It implies a lot of specific things about consciousness. It requires strong evidence. “We can’t say for sure if AI is conscious” is a weaker, cautious claim. It doesn’t make any particular evidence about consciousness.

Tim Clancy reposted

Tim Clancy reposted

Replying to @cantb.bsky.social

Even when private foundations do a good job of supporting important work, they tend to be more narrow and rely more on networks and relationships relative to open calls and peer review. They can also be highly motivated, pushing preferred solutions and even ideologies. 

Most computer models of socio-technical systems are garbage without the deep understanding of social systems that SBE provides.

Dan Garisto@dangaristo.bsky.social

NEW: In March the White House released an FY27 budget request that zeroed out the National Science Foundation's directorate of Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences (SBE). For months it was unclear what would happen. Now, with FY26 over, the damage to SBE is coming to light. My reporting:

Most complex problems facing the U.S. are socio-technical. Cybersecurity for example.

Dan Garisto@dangaristo.bsky.social

NEW: In March the White House released an FY27 budget request that zeroed out the National Science Foundation's directorate of Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences (SBE). For months it was unclear what would happen. Now, with FY26 over, the damage to SBE is coming to light. My reporting:

FWIW one cannot have a full understanding of A.I. without SBE

Dan Garisto@dangaristo.bsky.social

NEW: In March the White House released an FY27 budget request that zeroed out the National Science Foundation's directorate of Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences (SBE). For months it was unclear what would happen. Now, with FY26 over, the damage to SBE is coming to light. My reporting:

Tim Clancy reposted

Replying to @pwnallthethings.bsky.social

Like I am very shamelessly pro-human on this; it simply does not matter to me if a computer can think. It is not an interesting question to me, because it is not a factor whatsoever in how I see the morality of interacting with it.

Supply chains

Funny ripple effect of the cyclospora outbreak: McCormick sold fewer spices to other businesses because their traffic dropped. *MCCORMICK: US CYCLOSPORA OUTBREAK PRESSURED B2B FLAVOR VOLUMES

Tim Clancy reposted

Is this bad? Seems bad.

Jeff Passan Bot@jeffpassanbot.bsky.social

The Boston Red Sox have not scored a run in their last 26 postseason innings. In that time, which dates back to Game 2 of the 2025 wild card series, they are hitting .136/.183/.148 with one extra-base hit in 88 at-bats. The Yankees have shut them out through five again tonight.

The Boston Red Sox have yet to score in 13 playoff innings. In their last 13 1/2 games, including the current one, they have averaged less than 2 runs per game (25 total).

Jeff Passan Bot@jeffpassanbot.bsky.social

The Boston Red Sox have not scored a run in their last 26 postseason innings. In that time, which dates back to Game 2 of the 2025 wild card series, they are hitting .136/.183/.148 with one extra-base hit in 88 at-bats. The Yankees have shut them out through five again tonight.

This is correct - the truth value of an LLM output is essentially zero. Errors are not "hallucinations" they're probabilistic results given when the system runs out of data or has poor data. The system is performing as intended. Even at 90+% probability, that means *a lot* of answers are wrong.

John Scalzi@scalzi.com

A thing I learned not too long ago is that when an LLM selects a token that leads it down an incorrect path (factually), it has no way to back up, or even know that it should back up, it's just on to the next likely bit. Literally every LLM is just posting their way through it. What an image.

Tim Clancy reposted

Replying to @viewfromarchstreet.com

Congress is not hamstrung in regulating complex technologies like AI or biotechnology because they pound foolishly killed off OTA 30 years ago.

Tim Clancy reposted

Joe Romm gave one of the most memorable talks I’ve ever heard at Columbia many years ago. Among other things, he said, “Sustainable development is like teenage sex. Everybody says they're doing it, very few people actually are, and those who are doing it are doing it badly.” RIP legend.

Michael E. Mann@michaelemann.bsky.social

It is with tremendous sadness and sense of loss that we regretfully share the news that @penncssm.bsky.social senior research fellow, and my close personal friend Joseph Romm has passed away unexpectedly. He will be sorely missed here. web.sas.upenn.edu/pcssm/news/r...