EvidenceFirst

EvidenceFirst

@webforage.bsky.social

Exploring today's pressing questions with data-driven insights and intellectual honesty.

87 followers266 following56 posts

I am not a good Walmart shopper. I just want to go in, get my items, and leave. No browsing or wandering. But a good retailer does many things to get you to browse. So I built this app today.

Crypto is not safe: On February 21, 2025, cryptocurrency exchange Bybit suffered a record-breaking hack, with attackers stealing approximately $1.4–1.5 billion in Ethereum (ETH) from a cold wallet. This is considered the largest crypto heist in history.

From The NY Times: Black Student Enrollment at Harvard Law Drops by More Than Half After a Supreme Court decision ended race-based admissions, some law schools saw a decline in Black and Hispanic students entering this fall. Harvard appeared to have the steepest drop.

2025 will start with MAGA going through a hostile takeover bid by Musk. Trump's response to this attack on his power could be to nationalize SpaceX, Twitter (X), and other Musk assets. Trump could also have the DOJ start an open-ended Musk investigation.

Legal Considerations of US Regaining the Canal 1/4
 The legality of the US regaining control of the Panama Canal is highly questionable. The Torrijos-Carter Treaties explicitly state that Panama would assume full control of the Canal on December 31, 1999.

2/4 Any attempt by the US to unilaterally take back the Canal would be a clear violation of international law and would likely face widespread condemnation from the world community. Such a move could also have significant economic consequences for the US, potentially disrupting trade, US interests.

3/4 For the US to attempt to reclaim the Canal would not only undermine Panama's autonomy but also raise questions about US respect for international law and the sovereignty of other nations. Such a move would likely damage US relations with Latin America and the broader international community.

4/4 The future of the Panama Canal and US-Panama relations hinges on the choices made by both nations in the coming months and years. A commitment to diplomacy, respect for international law, and a recognition of the shared history and interconnectedness of the two countries will be essential.

5/5 These stark contrasts aren't accidents. They're symptoms of deep societal inequalities and unleveled power structures that have increased over the last 2 decades. Examining this disparity is crucial to understanding our world.

4/5 Ultra-elite lifestyles: Private jets, global networks, shaping the future through massive investments. Avg American lifestyle: concerned with daily needs & financial security. Worlds apart.

3/5 Ultra-elites possess extreme economic, cultural, & social capital. They control industries, shape policy, & influence public discourse. The average American has limited power and voice in comparison.

2/5 Avg American: constrained by work hrs, dependent on public systems, limited social networks, modest consumption. Ultra-elite: autonomy, vast networks, luxury lifestyle, immense financial power.

1/5 The avg American vs. ultra-elites: It's not just about more. It's about vastly different access to resources, power, & opportunity. We are experiancing social and economic stratification at its starkest.

In the video Boyle offers some advice on how to avoid being depressed by current events. Focusing on the positive: There are many positive things happening in the world. Taking action: Rather than dwelling on problems, focus on taking action to improve your life and the lives of those around you.

The concept of "beneficial constraints" from sociology offer's a fascinating lens to see why our critical institutions like the FDIC and the CFPB are so vital. The FDIC created constraints that paradoxically increased financial freedom, made deposits safer, and provided more money to banks.

The potential consequences of eliminating the FDIC and CFPB are not just theoretical. They could have a direct impact on the everyday lives of average Americans. Without deposit insurance, we might hesitate to put money in a bank, fearing that we could lose our savings if the bank fails.

Or consider a single mother struggling to make ends meet. Without the CFPB, she might fall prey to a payday lender who charges exorbitant interest rates, trapping her in a cycle of debt.

Since the establishment of the FDIC, bank failures have become much less common. While there have been periods of increased bank failures, such as the savings and loan crisis of the 1980s and the financial crisis of 2008, the FDIC has played a crucial role in mitigating the impact of these crises.

Bank Failures Before and After the FDIC Before the FDIC was established in 1933, bank failures were a frequent occurrence in the United States. During the Great Depression, approximately 4,000 commercial banks failed in 1933 alone.

Polio in the USA After the Vaccine The introduction of effective polio vaccines, starting with the inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) in 1955 and followed by the oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) in 1961, marked a turning point in the fight against polio. The impact was immediate and dramatic.

The number of polio cases plummeted, with less than 1,000 cases reported in 1962 and remaining below 100 cases each year thereafter. By 1979, the last case of wild poliovirus acquired in the United States was recorded. This rapid decline in polio incidence is a testament of vaccination programs.

Polio in the USA Before the Vaccine Before the introduction of the polio vaccine, the USA faced yearly epidemics of poliomyelitis, primarily during the summer and fall. These epidemics were increasingly severe, reaching a peak in 1952 with over 21,000 paralytic cases reported.

To put this into perspective, an average of 15,822 cases were reported annually between 1951 and 1955, the period immediately preceding the widespread use of polio vaccines. The situation was grim, with tens of thousands of people, mainly children, afflicted by this debilitating disease.

Based on the research, it appears that the potential costs of the tariffs outweigh the potential benefits. Policymakers should carefully consider the potential consequences of the tariffs before they are implemented.

Alternative policies, such as investing in education and training to improve worker skills, promoting innovation, and negotiating trade agreements that reduce barriers to trade, may be more effective in achieving the goals of promoting economic growth and creating jobs.

EvidenceFirst reposted

#Oligarchy: The Looming Threat to Humanity's Future Explore how extreme wealth concentration undermines #democracy and the promise of technological progress. Read now to understand the urgent need for #wealthtax and #limitarianism. #Trump #Musk #plutocracy #AI #Future #hope Check it out here ⬇️

open.substack.comOligarchy: The Looming Threat to Humanity's FutureHow Extreme Wealth Concentration Undermines Democracy and the Promise of Technological Progress