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I've seen a few negative reactions to my recent vintage mods using AI, and I get it. The tech world is changing rapidly and it's frightening, even for someone who has expected this. I've had existential dread since I first used Claude Code last year Someone on X put it pretty well:

Yes, the status quo in software is dead. As scary as it seems now, it's possible that in a few years these tools will seem commonplace and maybe even boring You'll be able to run coding models equivalent to Opus 5.5 locally on a GPU in your device, so you won't need to "boil oceans" to do it

We are in an early period where demand for compute is outstripping supply, and it's leading to a speculative build-out of datacenters fueled by Big Tech billions that are delivering more capable AI a little sooner, but at a precarious cost I believe locally-run AI will level that out eventually

Also, some people have the mistaken impression that AI agents aren't very capable, based on the shortcomings of AI models as recently as January. But capabilities have improved rapidly, and they are not slowing down In the mean time, I am going to keep experimenting and showing you results

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Their capabilities only ever seem good when they're conducting tasks outside of the user's specific wheelhouse, no matter what their skillset may be, which suggests to me that no, they're not all that capable. And they are not worth the massive human health, energy and env. costs to play with.

They're capable enough in some domains to do superhuman feats of coding (creating new software, analyzing it, fixing bugs, modifying code) and doing machine translation tasks (like porting NES Rygar to the Atari 800). This alone will have impacts on jobs and society. So yeah, there are costs

It'll slow down when companies decide they're done making a loss on every customer and nobody can afford the bills any more.

economically speaking, it'll happen when investors finally realize they've been shoveling collectively billions into a furnace for several years now with zero hope of ever turning a profit

Oh, I grasp it. But I come back to the same question: how much of this is in pursuit of anything worthwhile? Do you look at the output of your average business/software company today and think "yes, this is useful". It's just speed, speed, speed in pursuit of... I don't know, and nor do they.

So many people reductively say "AI accomplished [feat]" without qualifying it in any way. It ported [x] game, but it's unplayable after a certain point, is composed of completely unreadable/unoptimized code, can only be updated by LLMs, and is undoubtedly comprised of stolen code.

There are very specific use cases but it's not a broad brush. But moreover putting Rygar on the 800 is something an actual coder could do and actually gain experience, understanding, expertise and have fun in the process. They can figure out what doesn't work in the translation. a data center can't.

They could, but they probably won’t. AI tools will allow many previously impractical projects to happen Also Rygar is mostly just an example of my testing over time to see how things change (been asking AI to port Rygar for a few years)

And again more broadly you're talking about massive amounts of air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, noise concerns, energy usage problems, component costs, etc. all going up, and every time someone runs one of these programs it makes the boondoggle seem just a tad more worth it.

I feel like if this were true then the entire field of mathematics would not currently be having a prolonged, public, existential crisis about what to do now that the computers can prove theorems just as well as them

Agreed. It will get you a result that if outside your expertise will SEEM good. It can build you a 3D model but if you understand topology you'll see just how bad that model is. It can generate a video but if you're a professional editor you'll see the continuity issues. And at WILD ecological cost.

That is no longer true. Certainly not for software engineering, although it was true until surprisingly recently.

I'm of two minds on it. What Claude can do is really impressive, but so many (maybe all other) AI applications just suck out loud and they get lumped together. If Claude's coding breakthroughs were all the AI boom was going to bring us, investors probably wouldn't have gone all in.

And if my assumption on investor interest is correct and that they aren't on board if it can't do literally everything, then AI might not be here to stay and we'll be wistfully remembering the good old days of automated coding and spreadsheets in a decade.

Not a fair or direct comparison, but I draw parallels to VR, tech that I do like quite a bit. Can do 5 or 6 game genres extremely well and transformatively. What about social networking? No. Video conferencing? No. Mobile computing? No. But just making cool games isn't enough to justify the cost.