Dem Senate candidates have lost a little less than 0.5 pts of vote margin over last 2 weeks, while the generic ballot has trended up for them by about 1 point. Overall state of the race is unchanged: Dems have leads well below size of normal poll error fiftyplusone.news/forecast/sen...
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fiftyplusone.newshttps://fiftyplusone.news/forecast/senate
Not Elliott, but in our sims a single Senate race's margin swings about 7 points from night to night, and the part all races share is about 4. So close races tend to break the same way, just not in lockstep.
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