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🚨Wow - this will be huge if it bears out. Exit polls show the pro-EU D66 party has WON the Dutch election. The far-right PVV party of Geeet Wildsrs has lost 12 seats, according to exit polls. Huge if true.

Exit polls in the Netherlands show the far-right defeated by the pro-EU D66 party in today's national election. Will it bear out?

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It remains lopsided to the right, if Wilders would actually want it, he'd have the leadership of the country. He wont want it. Thats the difficulty. 4 right parties - PVV, VVD, CDA, JA21 together have majority, could form a government, Its only Wilders' insufferability that prevents this.

far right defeated i wouldnt say. FVD +3 JA21 +8 (and they are pretty far out on the right side, even if they avoid the proletarian habitus). Thats alone all the -12 of Wilders. The PVV specifically has gotten bruised. But the numbers are still indicating extremist radicalisation on the right

My intuition says the same, but left-leaning Dutchies are still bummed out by the fact that far-right overall still has ~40 seats, and the D66 agenda is more conservative than before ( shifting Overton window in NL). We will see if D66 excludes all far right parties from the coalition.

The child who got the most reward points in school wasn't the well behaved, quiet student who handed their work in on time and well done, it was the disruptive, aggressive, shouting, truant, rewarded every time they complied. The right wing is rewarded for not being obnoxious & so bends the agenda.

That's the first problem. The second will be trying to control the Far Right party that shares the coalition. I believe we all know how Europe became engulfed in Fascism in WWII. Echoes of Mussert and all that. Fascism has been on the rise for years. Trump isn't helping 🤬

With 99.7% of the vote counted, D66 is still ahead by 15,000 votes. It seems safe to say they've won. How did the Netherlands' most pro-EU party come out on top while the far-right PVV of Geert Wilders lost a third of their seats? I broke it down in my Substack column today:

davekeating.substack.comThe most pro-EU party just won big in the Dutch electionD66 had a surprise surge, tripling their seats in yesterday's Netherlands election—and its openly gay leader Rob Jetten is set to become prime minister.

By failing to mention that the 11 ex-PVV seats have all gone to other far right parties (including 6 seats for FvD which is *even more fascist* than PVV) you are creating the misconception that the Dutch have collectively rejected fascism and saved democracy. Please be more responsible.

The Dutch still love themselves some fascism despite the previous gov's many fuckups. No one should be feeling complacent or triumphant here, all of us need to fight more than ever.

Cas Mudde@casmudde.bsky.social

On the “defeat” of the far right in the Netherlands 🇳🇱 The total number of far-right seats in the Tweede Kamer: 2021: 28 2023: 41 2025: 42 👈 And I don’t even count BBB here, which has radicalized significantly in the last year.