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Have you noticed, lately, or noticed people around you commenting, that there just seems to be no money anymore. There's no money for companies to make the tv shows you like, the video games you like, the local diner you like shut down, no one you know can find a job. Think about that in context of

Nicholas Grossman@nicholasgrossman.bsky.social

AI is now the biggest investment in all of US history as a percentage of GDP. Datacenter construction is up, all other construction is down. "AI Is Squeezing Out the Rest of the Stock Market," reported WSJ 2 days ago. We basically bet the whole economy on the most optimistic visions panning out.

I think AI investment crowding out other investment could only explain 1 or maybe 2 things on that list. Isn't it mostly a function of higher rates to borrow?

I don't think there's a benefit in specifically demonstrating "squeezing out" occurring; the investment, and the data center buildout, shows the money exists. If society wanted, the money could be spent on other things. "But capitalism wouldn't pick good things!" will not assuage the anticapitalists

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Right, there is only so much money circulating through the system, it’s a zero sum game by definition. Spending money on AI means you can’t spend it elsewhere, AND you have to take out loans or sell other assets to get more money to spend on AI, the investment is leveraged to the tune of almost $4T

Money is a thing we use to allocate resources. It's permission to do useful work. There is a limit to the resources in the system. I don't know if economics has a way of phrasing that. The closest they seem to get is "if public/private entities make too much money it wakes up the Inflation Monster"

Yeah, what I'm saying is that it doesn't seem like there is a practical, real limit to the amount of inflation that can be created by the issuance of debt right now since the feedback loop is maximizing liquidity.