Free newsletter: I go over NVIDIA's earnings, the reality of OpenAI's $100 billion round, and the "analyslop" phenomenon of speculative, lie-ridden fan fiction that gets framed as meaningful research and promoted by the mainstream media. www.wheresyoured.at/on-nvidia-an...
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First, NVIDIA: on the surface things looked good, but obligations to suppliers like TSMC have nearly tripled from $30.8bn to $95.2bn, inventories are over $21 billion, and 36% ($77.7bn) of its FY2026 revenue came from two customers. Any capex cut is existential. www.wheresyoured.at/on-nvidia-an...
NVIDIA added that it "...estimated that one AI R&D company contributed to a meaningful amount of our revenue purchasing cloud services from our customers in fiscal year 2026," referring to OpenAI. NVIDIA is investing $30bn to keep it alive. www.wheresyoured.at/on-nvidia-an...
Which brings me onto the main event: Analyslop, a new annoying brand of speculative fiction that moves markets because the media and investors don't understand anything, the latest example being Citrini Research's lie-filled "global intelligence crisis." www.wheresyoured.at/on-nvidia-an...
Citrini Research's piece has no factual basis and is pumped full of outright lies. It's a scary story (science fiction, to quote @punkey.org) - that says all the right buzzwords, and ingests and regurgitates every AI booster half-truth and falsehood ad verbatim. www.wheresyoured.at/on-nvidia-an...
It's both deeply embarrassing and a failure of the media and markets' critical thinking that the Citrini Memo was taken seriously. No, Citrini's memo is not "provocative" or "brilliant" - it's slop! It doesn't hinge on any technological or financial evidence! www.wheresyoured.at/on-nvidia-an...
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The AI economy has become a grifter economy, with dodginess and chicanery at every level, where CEOs lie, and their lies are solidified into plausible-looking analyslop. And the institutions that should be challenging them are nowhere to be seen. www.wheresyoured.at/on-nvidia-an...
I think we can't entirely blame this one on the media - there's a bunch of programming "influencers" on twitter/youtube who are propagating nonsense - you also see garbage in OECD "research" (which a lot of policy people sadly still take seriously): bsky.app/profile/arch...
also how did OECD manage to find near-constant and universal ~2% worldwide gen"AI" use pre-chatgpt? the data does not even make sense then I looked into the OECD paper and it seems I found the same chart then I opened the source to check if I can find the same data it's not there